Argentine Primera División· Kick-off : Monday, October 12, 2026, 22:30 (UK time)
Gimnasia M. vs Newells Old Boys prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Gimnasia M. take on Newells Old Boys on Monday, October 12, 2026 at 22:30 (UK time), a Argentine Primera División fixture. Venue: Victor Legrotaglie, Mendoza. The edge goes to Gimnasia M. (51%), ahead of the draw (25%) and a Newells Old Boys win (24%). The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.8%), ahead of 1-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.5%).
Over their last 5 matches, Gimnasia M. have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Newells Old Boys are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), scoring 5 and conceding 3. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Gimnasia M. score 1.60 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Newells Old Boys score 1.00 and concede 0.60. In the table, Gimnasia M. sit 7th with 17 points from 11 games, Newells Old Boys 6th with 17 points from 11. The two teams are close in the standings.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Gimnasia M., 1 for Newells Old Boys and 0 draws. The most recent ended Newells Old Boys 1-0 Gimnasia M. (Mar 21, 2026). In double chance terms, "Gimnasia M. or draw" stands at 76%, "Newells Old Boys or draw" at 49% and "no draw" at 75%.
In short : Gimnasia M. are favourites for this Gimnasia M. v Newells Old Boys, with a 51% win probability from our model. On recent form, Gimnasia M. have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in 5 while Newells Old Boys have 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Gimnasia M. – Newells Old Boys. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Gimnasia M. 1-1 Newells Old Boys | 11.8% |
| Gimnasia M. 1-0 Newells Old Boys | 11.4% |
| Gimnasia M. 2-1 Newells Old Boys | 9.5% |
| Gimnasia M. 2-0 Newells Old Boys | 9.2% |
| Gimnasia M. 0-1 Newells Old Boys | 7.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.65 goals in total (1.61 for Gimnasia M., 1.04 for Newells Old Boys): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 52%. Gimnasia M. keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, Newells Old Boys in 20%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Gimnasia M. expected goals | 1.61 |
| Newells Old Boys expected goals | 1.04 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Gimnasia M. clean sheet | 35% |
| Newells Old Boys clean sheet | 20% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Gimnasia M.
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Deportivo Riestra · Argentine Primera División | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Defensa Y Justicia · Argentine Primera División | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Boca Juniors · Argentine Primera División | 2-2 | D |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Independiente · Argentine Primera División | 3-0 | W |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gimnasia L.P. · Argentine Primera División | 3-2 | W |
Newells Old Boys
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Platense · Argentine Primera División | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Velez Sarsfield · Argentine Primera División | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Rosario Central · Argentine Primera División | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P. · Argentine Primera División | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Banfield · Argentine Primera División | 2-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia M. | 7 | 17 | 11 |
| Newells Old Boys | 6 | 17 | 11 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Newells Old Boys 1-0 Gimnasia M. | Argentine Primera División |
Out and doubtful
Gimnasia M.
No absences reported.
Newells Old Boys
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Gimnasia M.
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- C. Rigamonti5/5
- D. Mondino5/5
- E. Fernandez5/5
- E. Munoz5/5
- L. Cingolani5/5
- L. Paredes5/5
- M. Recalde5/5
- F. Antonini4/5
- F. Lencioni4/5
- A. Modica3/5
- T. O'Connor3/5
Newells Old Boys
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- F. Guch4/5
- J. Reinatti4/5
- L. Giannetti4/5
- L. Regiardo4/5
- M. Ortega4/5
- W. Mazzantti4/5
- L. Carrizo3/5
- M. Coccaro3/5
- R. Herrera3/5
- F. Escobar2/5
- J. Russo2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Central Cordoba de Santiago – Estudiantes L.P.Oct 10, 2026
- Tigre – BanfieldOct 10, 2026
- River Plate – Estudiantes de Rio CuartoOct 11, 2026
- San Lorenzo – Deportivo RiestraOct 11, 2026
- Rosario Central – Independ. RivadaviaOct 11, 2026
- Platense – Argentinos JRSOct 11, 2026
- Racing Club – Belgrano CordobaOct 11, 2026
- Talleres Cordoba – IndependienteOct 12, 2026
- Lanus – Velez SarsfieldOct 12, 2026
- Sarmiento Junin – River PlateOct 14, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Gimnasia M. vs Newells Old Boys prediction?
Our AI gives Gimnasia M. a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Newells Old Boys 24%. Gimnasia M. are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Gimnasia M. vs Newells Old Boys?
1-1 (11.8%), followed by 1-0 (11.4%), 2-1 (9.5%), 2-0 (9.2%) and 0-1 (7.3%).
Will both teams score in Gimnasia M. vs Newells Old Boys?
The probability that both Gimnasia M. and Newells Old Boys score is 52%. Gimnasia M. have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Newells Old Boys 20%.
How many goals should we expect in Gimnasia M. vs Newells Old Boys?
The model expects 2.65 goals (1.61 for Gimnasia M., 1.04 for Newells Old Boys). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Gimnasia M. vs Newells Old Boys played?
Monday, October 12, 2026 at 22:30 (UK time), Argentine Primera División. Venue: Victor Legrotaglie, Mendoza.
What form are Gimnasia M. and Newells Old Boys in?
Gimnasia M.: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 6 conceded). Newells Old Boys: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 3 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Gimnasia M. and Newells Old Boys?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Gimnasia M., 1 for Newells Old Boys and 0 draws. The most recent ended Newells Old Boys 1-0 Gimnasia M. (Mar 21, 2026).
How is the Gimnasia M. vs Newells Old Boys prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.61 for Gimnasia M., 1.04 for Newells Old Boys) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Gimnasia M. predictions
- All Newells Old Boys predictions
- Argentine Primera División predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology