Argentine Primera División· Kick-off : Sunday, October 11, 2026, 21:00 (UK time)
Rosario Central vs Independ. Rivadavia prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Argentine Primera División: the Rosario Central vs Independ. Rivadavia match is scheduled on Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 21:00 (UK time). Venue: Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre, Rosario. The edge goes to Rosario Central (53%), ahead of the draw (24%) and a Independ. Rivadavia win (23%). The most likely correct score is 1-0 (11.6%), ahead of 1-1 (11.6%) and 2-0 (9.7%).
Over their last 5 matches, Rosario Central have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Over their last 5 matches, Independ. Rivadavia have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 8. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Rosario Central score 1.40 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Independ. Rivadavia score 2.00 and concede 1.60. In the table, Rosario Central sit 3rd with 19 points from 11 games, Independ. Rivadavia 5th with 18 points from 11. The two teams are close in the standings.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Rosario Central, 1 for Independ. Rivadavia and 0 draws. The most recent ended Independ. Rivadavia 2-0 Rosario Central (Mar 23, 2026). In double chance terms, "Rosario Central or draw" stands at 77%, "Independ. Rivadavia or draw" at 47% and "no draw" at 76%.
In short : Our model backs Rosario Central to edge Independ. Rivadavia (53% probability). In the table, Rosario Central (3rd, 19 pts) host Independ. Rivadavia (5th, 18 pts). Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 51%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Rosario Central – Independ. Rivadavia. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Rosario Central 1-0 Independ. Rivadavia | 11.6% |
| Rosario Central 1-1 Independ. Rivadavia | 11.6% |
| Rosario Central 2-0 Independ. Rivadavia | 9.7% |
| Rosario Central 2-1 Independ. Rivadavia | 9.7% |
| Rosario Central 0-0 Independ. Rivadavia | 6.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.67 goals in total (1.67 for Rosario Central, 1.00 for Independ. Rivadavia): over 2.5 goals has a 50% probability and both teams to score 51%. Rosario Central keep a clean sheet in 37% of scenarios, Independ. Rivadavia in 19%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Rosario Central expected goals | 1.67 |
| Independ. Rivadavia expected goals | 1.00 |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Rosario Central clean sheet | 37% |
| Independ. Rivadavia clean sheet | 19% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Rosario Central
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P. · Super Copa International | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Argentinos JRS · Argentine Primera División | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Tigre · Argentine Primera División | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Newells Old Boys · Argentine Primera División | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Gimnasia L.P. · Argentine Primera División | 1-2 | L |
Independ. Rivadavia
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2026 | Barracas Central · Argentine Primera División | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Atletico Tucuman · Copa Argentina | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Aldosivi · Argentine Primera División | 4-3 | W |
| Sep 6, 2026 | River Plate · Argentine Primera División | 1-3 | L |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Racing Club · Argentine Primera División | 3-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rosario Central | 3 | 19 | 11 |
| Independ. Rivadavia | 5 | 18 | 11 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2026 | Independ. Rivadavia 2-0 Rosario Central | Argentine Primera División |
Out and doubtful
Rosario Central
No absences reported.
Independ. Rivadavia
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Rosario Central
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Di Maria5/5
- A. Sandez5/5
- F. Ibarra5/5
- G. Avila5/5
- I. Ovando5/5
- E. Copetti4/5
- E. Coronel4/5
- J. Campaz4/5
- V. Pizarro4/5
- A. Rodriguez3/5
- C. Ledesma3/5
Independ. Rivadavia
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- J. I. Florentin Bobadilla5/5
- L. Costa5/5
- N. Bolcato5/5
- A. Arce4/5
- G. Rios4/5
- I. Villalba4/5
- M. Fernandez4/5
- M. Salas4/5
- T. Bottari4/5
- F. Sartori3/5
- J. M. Elordi3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Barracas Central – HuracanOct 10, 2026
- Central Cordoba de Santiago – Estudiantes L.P.Oct 10, 2026
- Tigre – BanfieldOct 10, 2026
- River Plate – Estudiantes de Rio CuartoOct 11, 2026
- San Lorenzo – Deportivo RiestraOct 11, 2026
- Platense – Argentinos JRSOct 11, 2026
- Racing Club – Belgrano CordobaOct 11, 2026
- Talleres Cordoba – IndependienteOct 12, 2026
- Lanus – Velez SarsfieldOct 12, 2026
- Gimnasia M. – Newells Old BoysOct 12, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Rosario Central vs Independ. Rivadavia prediction?
Our AI gives Rosario Central a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Independ. Rivadavia 23%. Rosario Central are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Rosario Central vs Independ. Rivadavia?
1-0 (11.6%), followed by 1-1 (11.6%), 2-0 (9.7%), 2-1 (9.7%) and 0-0 (6.9%).
Will both teams score in Rosario Central vs Independ. Rivadavia?
The probability that both Rosario Central and Independ. Rivadavia score is 51%. Rosario Central have a 37% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Independ. Rivadavia 19%.
How many goals should we expect in Rosario Central vs Independ. Rivadavia?
The model expects 2.67 goals (1.67 for Rosario Central, 1.00 for Independ. Rivadavia). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Rosario Central vs Independ. Rivadavia played?
Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 21:00 (UK time), Argentine Primera División. Venue: Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre, Rosario.
What form are Rosario Central and Independ. Rivadavia in?
Rosario Central: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 4 conceded). Independ. Rivadavia: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 8 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Rosario Central and Independ. Rivadavia?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Rosario Central, 1 for Independ. Rivadavia and 0 draws. The most recent ended Independ. Rivadavia 2-0 Rosario Central (Mar 23, 2026).
How is the Rosario Central vs Independ. Rivadavia prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.67 for Rosario Central, 1.00 for Independ. Rivadavia) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Rosario Central predictions
- All Independ. Rivadavia predictions
- Argentine Primera División predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology