Senegal Ligue 1· Kick-off : Saturday, October 3, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)
Wally Daan vs Stade de Mbour prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Wally Daan take on Stade de Mbour on Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), a Senegal Ligue 1, matchday 1 fixture. The edge goes to Wally Daan (52%), ahead of the draw (25%) and a Stade de Mbour win (23%). The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.7%), ahead of 1-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.6%).
Wally Daan have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 6 and conceding 6. Stade de Mbour have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 5. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Wally Daan score 1.20 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Stade de Mbour score 0.60 and concede 1.00.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Wally Daan and Stade de Mbour: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Wally Daan or draw" stands at 77%, "Stade de Mbour or draw" at 48% and "no draw" at 75%.
In short : Wally Daan are favourites for this Wally Daan v Stade de Mbour, with a 52% win probability from our model. On recent form, Wally Daan have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss in 5 while Stade de Mbour have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Wally Daan – Stade de Mbour. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Wally Daan 1-1 Stade de Mbour | 11.7% |
| Wally Daan 1-0 Stade de Mbour | 11.5% |
| Wally Daan 2-1 Stade de Mbour | 9.6% |
| Wally Daan 2-0 Stade de Mbour | 9.4% |
| Wally Daan 0-1 Stade de Mbour | 7.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.66 goals in total (1.64 for Wally Daan, 1.02 for Stade de Mbour): over 2.5 goals has a 50% probability and both teams to score 52%. Wally Daan keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, Stade de Mbour in 19%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Wally Daan expected goals | 1.64 |
| Stade de Mbour expected goals | 1.02 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Wally Daan clean sheet | 36% |
| Stade de Mbour clean sheet | 19% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Wally Daan
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 2026 | La Linguère · Senegal Ligue 1 | 1-1 | D |
| May 22, 2026 | Gorée · Senegal Ligue 1 | 1-1 | D |
| May 17, 2026 | Guédiawaye · Senegal Ligue 1 | 3-2 | W |
| May 13, 2026 | Teungueth · Senegal Ligue 1 | 0-1 | L |
| May 10, 2026 | Stade de Mbour · Senegal Ligue 1 | 1-1 | D |
Stade de Mbour
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 2026 | Gorée · Senegal Ligue 1 | 0-0 | D |
| May 22, 2026 | Guédiawaye · Senegal Ligue 1 | 0-2 | L |
| May 17, 2026 | Teungueth · Senegal Ligue 1 | 0-2 | L |
| May 13, 2026 | DSC · Senegal Ligue 1 | 2-0 | W |
| May 10, 2026 | Wally Daan · Senegal Ligue 1 | 1-1 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wally Daan | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| Stade de Mbour | 5 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Wally Daan and Stade de Mbour: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Wally Daan
No absences reported.
Stade de Mbour
No absences reported.
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Teungueth – OuakamOct 3, 2026
- Gorée – La LinguèreOct 4, 2026
- HLM – Casa SportOct 4, 2026
- Jaraaf – AJELOct 4, 2026
- Génération Foot – PikineOct 4, 2026
- Guédiawaye – DSCOct 4, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Wally Daan vs Stade de Mbour prediction?
Our AI gives Wally Daan a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Stade de Mbour 23%. Wally Daan are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Wally Daan vs Stade de Mbour?
1-1 (11.7%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%), 2-1 (9.6%), 2-0 (9.4%) and 0-1 (7.1%).
Will both teams score in Wally Daan vs Stade de Mbour?
The probability that both Wally Daan and Stade de Mbour score is 52%. Wally Daan have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Stade de Mbour 19%.
How many goals should we expect in Wally Daan vs Stade de Mbour?
The model expects 2.66 goals (1.64 for Wally Daan, 1.02 for Stade de Mbour). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Wally Daan vs Stade de Mbour played?
Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), Senegal Ligue 1, matchday 1.
What form are Wally Daan and Stade de Mbour in?
Wally Daan: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 6 conceded). Stade de Mbour: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 5 conceded).
How is the Wally Daan vs Stade de Mbour prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.64 for Wally Daan, 1.02 for Stade de Mbour) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Wally Daan predictions
- All Stade de Mbour predictions
- Senegal Ligue 1 predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology