Ligue 1· Kick-off : Sunday, November 1, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
Marseille vs Toulouse prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Ligue 1, matchday 9: Marseille vs Toulouse kicks off on Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time). Venue: Orange Vélodrome, Marseille. The edge goes to Marseille (54%), ahead of the draw (23%) and a Toulouse win (23%).
Over their last 5 matches, Marseille have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 11 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, Toulouse have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 7. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Marseille score 2.20 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Toulouse score 2.00 and concede 1.40. In the table, Marseille sit 8th with 12 points from 8 games, Toulouse 11th with 10 points from 8. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Marseille have averaged 1.47 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.39 for Toulouse.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Marseille, 0 for Toulouse and 2 draws. The most recent ended Toulouse 0-1 Marseille (Mar 7, 2026). Marseille out or doubtful: D. Cornelius. Toulouse: M. Niflore (doubtful), S. Oppong (doubtful) and R. Messali. In double chance terms, "Marseille or draw" stands at 77%, "Toulouse or draw" at 46% and "no draw" at 77%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Exact score and goal markets 🔒
The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Marseille
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Le Havre · Ligue 1 | 4-3 | W |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Sturm Graz · UEFA Europa League | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Angers · Ligue 1 | 5-2 | W |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus · UEFA Europa League | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Estac Troyes · Ligue 1 | 2-0 | W |
Toulouse
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Estac Troyes · Ligue 1 | 0-0 | D |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Le Mans · Ligue 1 | 3-0 | W |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Monaco · Ligue 1 | 2-2 | D |
| Oct 3, 2026 | PAU · Club Friendlies | 2-3 | L |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Le Havre · Ligue 1 | 3-2 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 8 | 12 | 8 |
| Toulouse | 11 | 10 | 8 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Toulouse 0-1 Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Marseille 2-2 Toulouse | Coupe de France |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Marseille 2-2 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Marseille 3-2 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Toulouse 1-3 Marseille | Ligue 1 |
Out and doubtful
Marseille
- D. Cornelius (out)
Toulouse
- M. Niflore (doubtful)
- S. Oppong (doubtful)
- R. Messali (out)
Most regular starters
Marseille
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Emerson4/5
- A. Gouiri3/5
- H. Abdelli3/5
- Igor Paixão3/5
- J. de Lange3/5
- N. Aguerd3/5
- T. Nnadi3/5
- T. Weah3/5
- A. Gomes2/5
- A. Harit2/5
- B. Meité2/5
Toulouse
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- C. Tengstedt4/4
- G. Restes4/4
- J. Russell-Rowe4/4
- M. McKenzie4/4
- R. Messali4/4
- C. Casseres3/4
- C. Tape3/4
- N. Sigur3/4
- T. Jorgensen3/4
- I. Azizi2/4
- R. Nicolaisen2/4
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Le Havre – Paris Saint GermainOct 30, 2026
- Nice – RennesOct 30, 2026
- Lille – LensOct 30, 2026
- Estac Troyes – Le MansOct 31, 2026
- Strasbourg – AuxerreNov 1, 2026
- Lyon – AngersNov 1, 2026
- Paris FC – MonacoNov 1, 2026
- Lorient – Stade Brestois 29Nov 2, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Marseille vs Toulouse prediction?
Our AI gives Marseille a 54% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Toulouse 23%. Marseille are therefore favourites.
When and where is Marseille vs Toulouse played?
Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), Ligue 1, matchday 9. Venue: Orange Vélodrome, Marseille.
What form are Marseille and Toulouse in?
Marseille: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 7 conceded). Toulouse: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Marseille and Toulouse?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Marseille, 0 for Toulouse and 2 draws. The most recent ended Toulouse 0-1 Marseille (Mar 7, 2026).
Go further
- All Marseille predictions
- All Toulouse predictions
- Ligue 1 predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology