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Ligue 1Ligue 1· Kick-off : Friday, October 30, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)

Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

Ligue 1, matchday 9: Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain kicks off on Friday, October 30, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time). Venue: Stade Océane, Le Havre. With a 85% win probability, Paris Saint Germain go in as strong favourites against Le Havre (6%), with the draw rated at 9%.

Le Havre have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 12 and conceding 12. Paris Saint Germain are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 16 and conceding 6. Recent momentum is clearly with Paris Saint Germain. On average Le Havre score 2.40 and concede 2.40 goals per game; Paris Saint Germain score 3.20 and concede 1.20. In the table, Le Havre sit 18th with 2 points from 8 games, Paris Saint Germain 1st with 17 points from 8. 17 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Le Havre have averaged 1.97 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.71 for Paris Saint Germain.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Le Havre, 4 for Paris Saint Germain and 1 draw. The most recent ended Le Havre 0-1 Paris Saint Germain (Feb 28, 2026). Le Havre out or doubtful: E. Jelert, F. Mambimbi, L. Mpasi-Nzau, T. Pembele, A. Toure and S. Zagadou. Paris Saint Germain: O. Dembele, K. Kvaratskhelia, A. Longoni, Marquinhos and N. Mendes. In double chance terms, "Le Havre or draw" stands at 15%, "Paris Saint Germain or draw" at 94% and "no draw" at 91%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

6%
Le Havre (Win)
9%
Draw
85%
Paris Saint Germain (Win)

Double chance

15%
Le Havre or draw
94%
Paris Saint Germain or draw
91%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Le Havre

DateOpponentScore
Oct 25, 2026Marseille · Ligue 13-4L
Oct 18, 2026Auxerre · Ligue 11-3L
Oct 10, 2026Lille · Ligue 10-1L
Oct 2, 2026Boulogne · Club Friendlies6-1W
Sep 19, 2026Toulouse · Ligue 12-3L

Paris Saint Germain

DateOpponentScore
Oct 26, 2026Lyon · Ligue 12-0W
Oct 20, 2026Barcelona · UEFA Champions League4-2W
Oct 17, 2026Strasbourg · Ligue 13-1W
Oct 14, 2026Manchester City · UEFA Champions League4-2W
Oct 10, 2026Le Mans · Ligue 13-1W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Le Havre1828
Paris Saint Germain1178

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 28, 2026Le Havre 0-1 Paris Saint GermainLigue 1
Nov 22, 2025Paris Saint Germain 3-0 Le HavreLigue 1
Apr 19, 2025Paris Saint Germain 2-1 Le HavreLigue 1
Aug 16, 2024Le Havre 1-4 Paris Saint GermainLigue 1
Apr 27, 2024Paris Saint Germain 3-3 Le HavreLigue 1

Out and doubtful

Le Havre

  • E. Jelert (out)
  • F. Mambimbi (out)
  • L. Mpasi-Nzau (out)
  • T. Pembele (out)
  • A. Toure (out)
  • S. Zagadou (out)

Paris Saint Germain

  • O. Dembele (out)
  • K. Kvaratskhelia (out)
  • A. Longoni (out)
  • Marquinhos (out)
  • N. Mendes (out)

Most regular starters

Le Havre

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • G. Gallon5/5
  • A. Richardson4/5
  • A. Touba4/5
  • D. Ouziad4/5
  • J. Maja4/5
  • S. Ebonog4/5
  • A. Samatta3/5
  • A. Seko3/5
  • J. Mwanga3/5
  • M. N'Diaye3/5
  • R. Ndiaye3/5

Paris Saint Germain

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Hakimi4/5
  • M. Safonov4/5
  • D. Doué3/5
  • Fabián Ruiz3/5
  • João Neves3/5
  • M. Akliouche3/5
  • Vitinha3/5
  • W. Pacho3/5
  • Ferran Torres2/5
  • I. Zabarnyi2/5
  • Marquinhos2/5

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain prediction?

Our AI gives Le Havre a 6% chance of winning, the draw 9% and Paris Saint Germain 85%. Paris Saint Germain are therefore favourites.

When and where is Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain played?

Friday, October 30, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), Ligue 1, matchday 9. Venue: Stade Océane, Le Havre.

What form are Le Havre and Paris Saint Germain in?

Le Havre: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 12 conceded). Paris Saint Germain: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (16 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Le Havre and Paris Saint Germain?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Le Havre, 4 for Paris Saint Germain and 1 draw. The most recent ended Le Havre 0-1 Paris Saint Germain (Feb 28, 2026).

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Key terms explained