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Premier LeaguePremier League· Kick-off : Saturday, October 31, 2026, 15:00 (UK time)

Bournemouth vs Leeds prediction: correct score and AI tips

BournemouthBournemouth–LeedsLeeds

Match analysis

Premier League, matchday 9: the Bournemouth vs Leeds match is scheduled on Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time). Venue: Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth. Our model makes Bournemouth clear favourites: a 84% chance of winning, against 10% for the draw and 6% for Leeds.

Bournemouth are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 14 and conceding 0. Leeds have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 6 and conceding 4. Bournemouth therefore arrive in far better shape than Leeds. On average Bournemouth score 2.80 and concede 0.00 goals per game; Leeds score 1.20 and concede 0.80. In the table, Bournemouth sit 13th with 9 points from 8 games, Leeds 7th with 11 points from 8. 6 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Bournemouth have averaged 3.08 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.95 for Leeds.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Bournemouth, 2 for Leeds and 2 draws. The most recent ended Bournemouth 2-2 Leeds (Apr 22, 2026). Bournemouth out or doubtful: J. Araujo, V. Milosavljevic, A. Scott and A. Toth. Leeds: N. Elvedi (doubtful), D. James (doubtful), M. Joseph and J. Rodon. In double chance terms, "Bournemouth or draw" stands at 94%, "Leeds or draw" at 16% and "no draw" at 90%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

84%
Bournemouth (Win)
10%
Draw
6%
Leeds (Win)

Double chance

94%
Bournemouth or draw
16%
Leeds or draw
90%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Bournemouth

DateOpponentScore
Oct 28, 2026Aston Villa · EFL Cup3-0W
Oct 25, 2026Manchester United · Premier League3-0W
Oct 22, 2026AC Milan · UEFA Europa League3-0W
Oct 18, 2026Sunderland · Premier League2-0W
Oct 15, 2026Sturm Graz · UEFA Europa League3-0W

Leeds

DateOpponentScore
Oct 25, 2026Sunderland · Premier League0-0D
Oct 18, 2026Manchester United · Premier League1-1D
Oct 10, 2026Arsenal · Premier League1-2L
Sep 20, 2026Crystal Palace · Premier League0-0D
Sep 14, 2026Newcastle · Premier League4-1W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Bournemouth1398
Leeds7118

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 22, 2026Bournemouth 2-2 LeedsPremier League
Sep 27, 2025Leeds 2-2 BournemouthPremier League
Apr 30, 2023Bournemouth 4-1 LeedsPremier League
Nov 5, 2022Leeds 4-3 BournemouthPremier League
Jan 20, 2015Leeds 1-0 BournemouthChampionship

Out and doubtful

Bournemouth

  • J. Araujo (out)
  • V. Milosavljevic (out)
  • A. Scott (out)
  • A. Toth (out)

Leeds

  • N. Elvedi (doubtful)
  • D. James (doubtful)
  • M. Joseph (out)
  • J. Rodon (out)

Most regular starters

Bournemouth

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • António Silva5/5
  • Evanilson4/5
  • B. Diakité3/5
  • B. Doak3/5
  • M. Tavernier3/5
  • Á. Rodríguez2/5
  • Adam Smith2/5
  • Adrien Truffert2/5
  • Đorđe Petrović2/5
  • J. Soler2/5
  • James Hill2/5

Leeds

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Tanaka5/5
  • D. Calvert-Lewin5/5
  • E. Ampadu5/5
  • G. Gudmundsson5/5
  • J. Bogle5/5
  • J. Justin5/5
  • J. Trafford5/5
  • A. Stach4/5
  • N. Elvedi4/5
  • N. Okafor4/5
  • T. Muharemovic4/5

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Bournemouth vs Leeds prediction?

Our AI gives Bournemouth a 84% chance of winning, the draw 10% and Leeds 6%. Bournemouth are therefore favourites.

When and where is Bournemouth vs Leeds played?

Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), Premier League, matchday 9. Venue: Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth.

What form are Bournemouth and Leeds in?

Bournemouth: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (14 scored, 0 conceded). Leeds: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 4 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Bournemouth and Leeds?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Bournemouth, 2 for Leeds and 2 draws. The most recent ended Bournemouth 2-2 Leeds (Apr 22, 2026).

Go further

Key terms explained