Premier League· Kick-off : Saturday, October 31, 2026, 12:30 (UK time)
Chelsea vs Manchester United prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Chelsea take on Manchester United on Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 12:30 (UK time), a Premier League, matchday 9 fixture. Venue: Stamford Bridge, London. Our model makes Chelsea clear favourites: a 70% chance of winning, against 20% for the draw and 10% for Manchester United.
Over their last 5 matches, Chelsea have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Manchester United have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 11. Chelsea therefore arrive in far better shape than Manchester United. On average Chelsea score 1.60 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Manchester United score 0.60 and concede 2.20. In the table, Chelsea sit 5th with 13 points from 8 games, Manchester United 16th with 7 points from 8. 11 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Chelsea have averaged 1.23 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.99 for Manchester United.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Chelsea, 2 for Manchester United and 1 draw. The most recent ended Chelsea 0-1 Manchester United (Apr 18, 2026). Chelsea out or doubtful: R. James, Joao Pedro, E. Martinez, M. Caicedo (doubtful), P. Chavarria (doubtful), J. Gittens (doubtful) and M. Lacroix (doubtful). Manchester United: P. Dorgu, K. Mainoo, M. Rashford (doubtful), B. Sesko, L. Shaw and M. Ugarte. In double chance terms, "Chelsea or draw" stands at 90%, "Manchester United or draw" at 30% and "no draw" at 80%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Exact score and goal markets 🔒
The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Chelsea
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | Liverpool · EFL Cup | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Tottenham · Premier League | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Everton · Premier League | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bournemouth · Premier League | 5-1 | W |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Brentford · Premier League | 0-3 | L |
Manchester United
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Bournemouth · Premier League | 0-3 | L |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Como · UEFA Champions League | 1-4 | L |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Leeds · Premier League | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Atletico Madrid · UEFA Champions League | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tottenham · Premier League | 1-1 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 5 | 13 | 8 |
| Manchester United | 16 | 7 | 8 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Chelsea 0-1 Manchester United | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Manchester United 2-1 Chelsea | Premier League |
| May 16, 2025 | Chelsea 1-0 Manchester United | Premier League |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Manchester United 1-1 Chelsea | Premier League |
| Apr 4, 2024 | Chelsea 4-3 Manchester United | Premier League |
Out and doubtful
Chelsea
- R. James (out)
- Joao Pedro (out)
- E. Martinez (out)
- M. Caicedo (doubtful)
- P. Chavarria (doubtful)
- J. Gittens (doubtful)
- M. Lacroix (doubtful)
Manchester United
- P. Dorgu (out)
- K. Mainoo (out)
- M. Rashford (doubtful)
- B. Sesko (out)
- L. Shaw (out)
- M. Ugarte (out)
Most regular starters
Chelsea
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- J. Henderson4/5
- M. Lacroix4/5
- M. Rogers4/5
- C. Palmer3/5
- E. Martinez3/5
- L. Colwill3/5
- M. Caicedo3/5
- P. Neto3/5
- D. Welbeck2/5
- J. Acheampong2/5
- Joao Pedro2/5
Manchester United
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- B. Mbeumo5/5
- S. Lammens5/5
- Y. Tielemans5/5
- Andrey Santos4/5
- H. Maguire4/5
- L. Yoro4/5
- A. Diallo3/5
- B. Fernandes3/5
- C. Baleba3/5
- L. Martinez3/5
- A. Heaven2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Hull City – IpswichOct 31, 2026
- Bournemouth – LeedsOct 31, 2026
- Manchester City – BrightonOct 31, 2026
- Brentford – Nottingham ForestOct 31, 2026
- Coventry – SunderlandOct 31, 2026
- Tottenham – Crystal PalaceOct 31, 2026
- Aston Villa – FulhamOct 31, 2026
- Liverpool – ArsenalNov 1, 2026
- Newcastle – EvertonNov 2, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Chelsea vs Manchester United prediction?
Our AI gives Chelsea a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Manchester United 10%. Chelsea are therefore favourites.
When and where is Chelsea vs Manchester United played?
Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 12:30 (UK time), Premier League, matchday 9. Venue: Stamford Bridge, London.
What form are Chelsea and Manchester United in?
Chelsea: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 7 conceded). Manchester United: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 11 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Chelsea and Manchester United?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Chelsea, 2 for Manchester United and 1 draw. The most recent ended Chelsea 0-1 Manchester United (Apr 18, 2026).
Go further
- All Chelsea predictions
- All Manchester United predictions
- Premier League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology