Premier League· Kick-off : Sunday, November 8, 2026, 16:30 (UK time)
Manchester United vs Aston Villa prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Premier League, matchday 10: Manchester United vs Aston Villa kicks off on Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 16:30 (UK time). Venue: Old Trafford, Manchester. Our model makes Aston Villa clear favourites: a 74% chance of winning, against 16% for the draw and 10% for Manchester United.
Manchester United have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 11. Over their last 5 matches, Aston Villa have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 12 and conceding 5. Aston Villa therefore arrive in far better shape than Manchester United. On average Manchester United score 0.60 and concede 2.20 goals per game; Aston Villa score 2.40 and concede 1.00. In the table, Manchester United sit 16th with 7 points from 8 games, Aston Villa 9th with 11 points from 8. 7 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Manchester United have averaged 0.99 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.97 for Aston Villa.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Manchester United, 1 for Aston Villa and 1 draw. The most recent ended Manchester United 3-1 Aston Villa (Mar 15, 2026). Manchester United out or doubtful: P. Dorgu, K. Mainoo, M. Rashford (doubtful), B. Sesko, L. Shaw and M. Ugarte. Aston Villa: A. Onana, M. Ruggeri and A. Wan-Bissaka. In double chance terms, "Manchester United or draw" stands at 26%, "Aston Villa or draw" at 90% and "no draw" at 84%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Exact score and goal markets 🔒
The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Manchester United
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Bournemouth · Premier League | 0-3 | L |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Como · UEFA Champions League | 1-4 | L |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Leeds · Premier League | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Atletico Madrid · UEFA Champions League | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tottenham · Premier League | 1-1 | D |
Aston Villa
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | Bournemouth · EFL Cup | 0-3 | L |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Manchester City · Premier League | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Viking · UEFA Champions League | 3-1 | W |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Newcastle · Premier League | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Fenerbahçe · UEFA Champions League | 6-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 16 | 7 | 8 |
| Aston Villa | 9 | 11 | 8 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Manchester United 3-1 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Aston Villa 2-1 Manchester United | Premier League |
| May 25, 2025 | Manchester United 2-0 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Aston Villa 0-0 Manchester United | Premier League |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Aston Villa 1-2 Manchester United | Premier League |
Out and doubtful
Manchester United
- P. Dorgu (out)
- K. Mainoo (out)
- M. Rashford (doubtful)
- B. Sesko (out)
- L. Shaw (out)
- M. Ugarte (out)
Aston Villa
- A. Onana (out)
- M. Ruggeri (out)
- A. Wan-Bissaka (out)
Most regular starters
Manchester United
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- B. Mbeumo5/5
- S. Lammens5/5
- Y. Tielemans5/5
- Andrey Santos4/5
- H. Maguire4/5
- L. Yoro4/5
- A. Diallo3/5
- B. Fernandes3/5
- C. Baleba3/5
- L. Martinez3/5
- A. Heaven2/5
Aston Villa
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- I. Mbaye3/5
- João Gomes3/5
- N. Jackson3/5
- Pau Torres3/5
- T. Mings3/5
- Z. Suzuki3/5
- A. Wan-Bissaka2/5
- Alysson2/5
- B. Kamara2/5
- E. Buendía2/5
- J. McGinn2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Everton – CoventryNov 6, 2026
- Leeds – TottenhamNov 7, 2026
- Arsenal – Hull CityNov 7, 2026
- Fulham – NewcastleNov 7, 2026
- Nottingham Forest – Manchester CityNov 7, 2026
- Crystal Palace – LiverpoolNov 8, 2026
- Sunderland – ChelseaNov 8, 2026
- Ipswich – BournemouthNov 8, 2026
- Brighton – BrentfordNov 8, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Manchester United vs Aston Villa prediction?
Our AI gives Manchester United a 10% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Aston Villa 74%. Aston Villa are therefore favourites.
When and where is Manchester United vs Aston Villa played?
Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 16:30 (UK time), Premier League, matchday 10. Venue: Old Trafford, Manchester.
What form are Manchester United and Aston Villa in?
Manchester United: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 11 conceded). Aston Villa: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 5 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Manchester United and Aston Villa?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Manchester United, 1 for Aston Villa and 1 draw. The most recent ended Manchester United 3-1 Aston Villa (Mar 15, 2026).
Go further
- All Manchester United predictions
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