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Premier LeaguePremier League· Kick-off : Sunday, November 8, 2026, 14:00 (UK time)

Sunderland vs Chelsea prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

Premier League, matchday 10: the Sunderland vs Chelsea match is scheduled on Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time). Venue: Stadium of Light, Sunderland. Nothing is settled in advance: the AI gives Sunderland 31%, Chelsea 44% and the draw 25%.

Over their last 5 matches, Sunderland have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Chelsea have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 7. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Sunderland score 1.20 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Chelsea score 1.60 and concede 1.40. In the table, Sunderland sit 20th with 5 points from 8 games, Chelsea 5th with 13 points from 8. 15 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Sunderland have averaged 1.64 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.23 for Chelsea.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Sunderland, 0 for Chelsea and 0 draws. The most recent ended Sunderland 2-1 Chelsea (May 24, 2026). Sunderland out or doubtful: D. Ballard, K. Danso (suspended), W. Isidor (doubtful), T. Meunier, R. Mundle, N. Mukiele (doubtful) and J. Ta Bi (doubtful). Chelsea: R. James, Joao Pedro, E. Martinez, M. Caicedo (doubtful), P. Chavarria (doubtful), J. Gittens (doubtful) and M. Lacroix (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Sunderland or draw" stands at 56%, "Chelsea or draw" at 69% and "no draw" at 75%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

31%
Sunderland (Win)
25%
Draw
44%
Chelsea (Win)

Double chance

56%
Sunderland or draw
69%
Chelsea or draw
75%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Sunderland

DateOpponentScore
Oct 28, 2026Brentford · EFL Cup3-2W
Oct 25, 2026Leeds · Premier League0-0D
Oct 22, 2026Lech Poznan · UEFA Europa League1-1D
Oct 18, 2026Bournemouth · Premier League0-2L
Oct 15, 2026Torreense · UEFA Europa League2-1W

Chelsea

DateOpponentScore
Oct 28, 2026Liverpool · EFL Cup1-1D
Oct 24, 2026Tottenham · Premier League0-2L
Oct 17, 2026Everton · Premier League2-0W
Oct 10, 2026Bournemouth · Premier League5-1W
Sep 18, 2026Brentford · Premier League0-3L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Sunderland2058
Chelsea5138

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Sunderland 2-1 ChelseaPremier League
Oct 25, 2025Chelsea 1-2 SunderlandPremier League

Out and doubtful

Sunderland

  • D. Ballard (out)
  • K. Danso (suspended)
  • W. Isidor (doubtful)
  • T. Meunier (out)
  • R. Mundle (out)
  • N. Mukiele (doubtful)
  • J. Ta Bi (doubtful)

Chelsea

  • R. James (out)
  • Joao Pedro (out)
  • E. Martinez (out)
  • M. Caicedo (doubtful)
  • P. Chavarria (doubtful)
  • J. Gittens (doubtful)
  • M. Lacroix (doubtful)

Most regular starters

Sunderland

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Timur Tuterov4/5
  • D. Methalie3/5
  • Jules Ahoka3/5
  • M. Fofana3/5
  • Chris Rigg2/5
  • Enzo Le Fée2/5
  • Granit Xhaka2/5
  • H. Diarra2/5
  • K. Danso2/5
  • L. O'Nien2/5
  • N. Angulo2/5

Chelsea

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • J. Henderson4/5
  • M. Lacroix4/5
  • M. Rogers4/5
  • C. Palmer3/5
  • E. Martinez3/5
  • L. Colwill3/5
  • M. Caicedo3/5
  • P. Neto3/5
  • D. Welbeck2/5
  • J. Acheampong2/5
  • Joao Pedro2/5

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Sunderland vs Chelsea prediction?

Our AI gives Sunderland a 31% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Chelsea 44%. Chelsea are therefore slight favourites.

When and where is Sunderland vs Chelsea played?

Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), Premier League, matchday 10. Venue: Stadium of Light, Sunderland.

What form are Sunderland and Chelsea in?

Sunderland: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 6 conceded). Chelsea: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Sunderland and Chelsea?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Sunderland, 0 for Chelsea and 0 draws. The most recent ended Sunderland 2-1 Chelsea (May 24, 2026).

Go further

Key terms explained