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Primeira LigaPrimeira Liga· Kick-off : Saturday, October 24, 2026, 15:30 (UK time)

Alverca vs Arouca prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

Primeira Liga, matchday 9: Alverca vs Arouca kicks off on Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 15:30 (UK time). Venue: FC Alverca Sports Complex, Alverca do Ribatejo. Alverca start as favourites with a 50% chance of victory; Arouca are given 26% and the draw 24%.

Over their last 5 matches, Alverca have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Arouca have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Alverca score 2.00 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Arouca score 1.20 and concede 1.00. In the table, Alverca sit 8th with 11 points from 8 games, Arouca 5th with 14 points from 8. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Alverca have averaged 1.67 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.15 for Arouca.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Alverca, 1 for Arouca and 0 draws. The most recent ended Alverca 2-1 Arouca (Apr 24, 2026). In double chance terms, "Alverca or draw" stands at 74%, "Arouca or draw" at 50% and "no draw" at 76%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

50%
Alverca (Win)
24%
Draw
26%
Arouca (Win)

Double chance

74%
Alverca or draw
50%
Arouca or draw
76%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Alverca

DateOpponentScore
Oct 12, 2026Famalicao · Primeira Liga4-1W
Sep 19, 2026Rio Ave · Primeira Liga1-0W
Sep 12, 2026Nacional · Primeira Liga3-1W
Sep 5, 2026SC Braga · Primeira Liga1-2L
Aug 29, 2026Santa Clara · Primeira Liga1-1D

Arouca

DateOpponentScore
Oct 11, 2026Estrela · Primeira Liga1-0W
Sep 19, 2026Sporting CP · Primeira Liga2-2D
Sep 13, 2026Santa Clara · Primeira Liga1-2L
Sep 7, 2026Estoril · Primeira Liga0-0D
Aug 29, 2026Maritimo · Primeira Liga2-1W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Alverca8118
Arouca5148

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 24, 2026Alverca 2-1 AroucaPrimeira Liga
Dec 14, 2025Arouca 1-0 AlvercaPrimeira Liga

Out and doubtful

Alverca

No absences reported.

Arouca

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Alverca

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Figueiredo5/5
  • I. James5/5
  • Matheus Mendes5/5
  • Chiquinho4/5
  • S. Baseya4/5
  • Chissumba3/5
  • D. Camara3/5
  • D. Gui3/5
  • Ian Luccas3/5
  • Rayan Lucas3/5
  • S. Gomez3/5

Arouca

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Trezza5/5
  • E. van Ee5/5
  • I. Barbero5/5
  • I. De Arruabarrena5/5
  • J. Fontan5/5
  • N. Djouahra5/5
  • O. Lebedenko5/5
  • T. Fukui5/5
  • Tiago Esgaio5/5
  • J. Sanchez4/5
  • P. Gozalbez4/5

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Alverca vs Arouca prediction?

Our AI gives Alverca a 50% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Arouca 26%. Alverca are therefore favourites.

When and where is Alverca vs Arouca played?

Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 15:30 (UK time), Primeira Liga, matchday 9. Venue: FC Alverca Sports Complex, Alverca do Ribatejo.

What form are Alverca and Arouca in?

Alverca: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 5 conceded). Arouca: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 5 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Alverca and Arouca?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Alverca, 1 for Arouca and 0 draws. The most recent ended Alverca 2-1 Arouca (Apr 24, 2026).

Go further

Key terms explained