Primeira Liga· Kick-off : Saturday, October 24, 2026, 15:30 (UK time)
Alverca vs Arouca prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Primeira Liga, matchday 9: Alverca vs Arouca kicks off on Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 15:30 (UK time). Venue: FC Alverca Sports Complex, Alverca do Ribatejo. Alverca start as favourites with a 50% chance of victory; Arouca are given 26% and the draw 24%.
Over their last 5 matches, Alverca have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Arouca have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Alverca score 2.00 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Arouca score 1.20 and concede 1.00. In the table, Alverca sit 8th with 11 points from 8 games, Arouca 5th with 14 points from 8. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Alverca have averaged 1.67 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.15 for Arouca.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Alverca, 1 for Arouca and 0 draws. The most recent ended Alverca 2-1 Arouca (Apr 24, 2026). In double chance terms, "Alverca or draw" stands at 74%, "Arouca or draw" at 50% and "no draw" at 76%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Exact score and goal markets 🔒
The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Alverca
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Famalicao · Primeira Liga | 4-1 | W |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rio Ave · Primeira Liga | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Nacional · Primeira Liga | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | SC Braga · Primeira Liga | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Santa Clara · Primeira Liga | 1-1 | D |
Arouca
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Estrela · Primeira Liga | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sporting CP · Primeira Liga | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Santa Clara · Primeira Liga | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Estoril · Primeira Liga | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Maritimo · Primeira Liga | 2-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alverca | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| Arouca | 5 | 14 | 8 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Alverca 2-1 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Arouca 1-0 Alverca | Primeira Liga |
Out and doubtful
Alverca
No absences reported.
Arouca
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Alverca
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Figueiredo5/5
- I. James5/5
- Matheus Mendes5/5
- Chiquinho4/5
- S. Baseya4/5
- Chissumba3/5
- D. Camara3/5
- D. Gui3/5
- Ian Luccas3/5
- Rayan Lucas3/5
- S. Gomez3/5
Arouca
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Trezza5/5
- E. van Ee5/5
- I. Barbero5/5
- I. De Arruabarrena5/5
- J. Fontan5/5
- N. Djouahra5/5
- O. Lebedenko5/5
- T. Fukui5/5
- Tiago Esgaio5/5
- J. Sanchez4/5
- P. Gozalbez4/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Guimaraes – MaritimoOct 23, 2026
- Estrela – Casa PiaOct 24, 2026
- GIL Vicente – FC PortoOct 24, 2026
- Estoril – MoreirenseOct 25, 2026
- Rio Ave – FamalicaoOct 25, 2026
- Nacional – SC BragaOct 25, 2026
- Sporting CP – Academico ViseuOct 25, 2026
- Santa Clara – BenficaOct 26, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Alverca vs Arouca prediction?
Our AI gives Alverca a 50% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Arouca 26%. Alverca are therefore favourites.
When and where is Alverca vs Arouca played?
Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 15:30 (UK time), Primeira Liga, matchday 9. Venue: FC Alverca Sports Complex, Alverca do Ribatejo.
What form are Alverca and Arouca in?
Alverca: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 5 conceded). Arouca: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 5 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Alverca and Arouca?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Alverca, 1 for Arouca and 0 draws. The most recent ended Alverca 2-1 Arouca (Apr 24, 2026).
Go further
- All Alverca predictions
- All Arouca predictions
- Primeira Liga predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology

