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Primeira LigaPrimeira Liga· Kick-off : Saturday, October 24, 2026, 15:30 (UK time)

Estrela vs Casa Pia prediction: correct score and AI tips

EstrelaEstrela–Casa PiaCasa Pia

Match analysis

Primeira Liga, matchday 9: the Estrela vs Casa Pia match is scheduled on Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 15:30 (UK time). Our model makes Estrela clear favourites: a 73% chance of winning, against 17% for the draw and 10% for Casa Pia.

Estrela have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 9. Casa Pia have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 7. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Estrela score 1.40 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Casa Pia score 0.60 and concede 1.40. In the table, Estrela sit 10th with 10 points from 8 games, Casa Pia 17th with 4 points from 8. 7 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Estrela have averaged 1.66 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.12 for Casa Pia.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Estrela, 3 for Casa Pia and 0 draws. The most recent ended Estrela 1-2 Casa Pia (Jul 18, 2026). In double chance terms, "Estrela or draw" stands at 90%, "Casa Pia or draw" at 27% and "no draw" at 83%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

73%
Estrela (Win)
17%
Draw
10%
Casa Pia (Win)

Double chance

90%
Estrela or draw
27%
Casa Pia or draw
83%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Estrela

DateOpponentScore
Oct 11, 2026Arouca · Primeira Liga0-1L
Sep 20, 2026Academico Viseu · Primeira Liga0-2L
Sep 14, 2026Rio Ave · Primeira Liga3-3D
Sep 10, 2026SC Braga · Primeira Liga2-1W
Sep 5, 2026Famalicao · Primeira Liga2-2D

Casa Pia

DateOpponentScore
Oct 10, 2026Santa Clara · Primeira Liga0-1L
Sep 20, 2026Estoril · Primeira Liga2-1W
Sep 12, 2026FC Porto · Primeira Liga1-4L
Sep 6, 2026Vitória SC · Primeira Liga0-0D
Aug 30, 2026Moreirense · Primeira Liga0-1L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Estrela10108
Casa Pia1748

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 18, 2026Estrela 1-2 Casa PiaClub Friendlies
Mar 20, 2026Estrela 4-0 Casa PiaPrimeira Liga
Nov 1, 2025Casa Pia 3-5 EstrelaPrimeira Liga
Feb 9, 2025Casa Pia 1-0 EstrelaPrimeira Liga
Aug 31, 2024Estrela 0-1 Casa PiaPrimeira Liga

Out and doubtful

Estrela

No absences reported.

Casa Pia

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Estrela

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Marcus5/5
  • G. Doue5/5
  • I. Stoica5/5
  • L. Antonetti5/5
  • L. Zvonarek5/5
  • Leo Linck5/5
  • M. Scholze5/5
  • Rafa Soares5/5
  • S. Lekovic5/5
  • Luan Patrick4/5
  • S. Serra4/5

Casa Pia

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Geraldes5/5
  • D. Sousa5/5
  • J. Rego5/5
  • L. Ofori5/5
  • P. Rosas5/5
  • S. Clua5/5
  • Kaly4/5
  • B. Pauwels3/5
  • H. Araujo3/5
  • I. Mandic3/5
  • M. Salah3/5

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Estrela vs Casa Pia prediction?

Our AI gives Estrela a 73% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Casa Pia 10%. Estrela are therefore favourites.

When and where is Estrela vs Casa Pia played?

Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 15:30 (UK time), Primeira Liga, matchday 9.

What form are Estrela and Casa Pia in?

Estrela: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 9 conceded). Casa Pia: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Estrela and Casa Pia?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Estrela, 3 for Casa Pia and 0 draws. The most recent ended Estrela 1-2 Casa Pia (Jul 18, 2026).

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Key terms explained