Primeira Liga· Kick-off : Saturday, November 7, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)
Alverca vs Casa Pia prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Primeira Liga, matchday 11: the Alverca vs Casa Pia match is scheduled on Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time). Venue: FC Alverca Sports Complex, Alverca do Ribatejo. Our model makes Alverca clear favourites: a 90% chance of winning, against 7% for the draw and 3% for Casa Pia.
Over their last 5 matches, Alverca have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Casa Pia have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Alverca score 1.80 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Casa Pia score 1.20 and concede 1.20. In the table, Alverca sit 8th with 11 points from 9 games, Casa Pia 16th with 7 points from 9. 8 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Alverca have averaged 2.92 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.13 for Casa Pia.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Alverca, 0 for Casa Pia and 0 draws. The most recent ended Alverca 3-1 Casa Pia (Apr 12, 2026). In double chance terms, "Alverca or draw" stands at 97%, "Casa Pia or draw" at 10% and "no draw" at 93%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Exact score and goal markets 🔒
The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Alverca
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Tondela · Taça de Portugal | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Famalicao · Primeira Liga | 4-1 | W |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rio Ave · Primeira Liga | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Nacional · Primeira Liga | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | SC Braga · Primeira Liga | 1-2 | L |
Casa Pia
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Estrela · Primeira Liga | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Alpendorada · Taça de Portugal | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Santa Clara · Primeira Liga | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Estoril · Primeira Liga | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | FC Porto · Primeira Liga | 1-4 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alverca | 8 | 11 | 9 |
| Casa Pia | 16 | 7 | 9 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Alverca 3-1 Casa Pia | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Casa Pia 0-2 Alverca | Primeira Liga |
Out and doubtful
Alverca
No absences reported.
Casa Pia
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Alverca
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Figueiredo5/5
- I. James5/5
- Chiquinho4/5
- D. Camara4/5
- Matheus Mendes4/5
- S. Gomez4/5
- Chissumba3/5
- D. Gui3/5
- D. Spencer3/5
- Rayan Lucas3/5
- S. Baseya3/5
Casa Pia
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Geraldes5/5
- M. Salah5/5
- P. Rosas5/5
- B. Pauwels4/5
- D. Sousa4/5
- J. Rego4/5
- Kaly4/5
- L. Ofori4/5
- S. Clua4/5
- H. Araujo3/5
- I. Mandic3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Famalicao – AroucaNov 6, 2026
- Nacional – Academico ViseuNov 7, 2026
- Sporting CP – MoreirenseNov 7, 2026
- Santa Clara – GIL VicenteNov 8, 2026
- Estoril – MaritimoNov 8, 2026
- Guimaraes – FC PortoNov 8, 2026
- Rio Ave – SC BragaNov 8, 2026
- Estrela – BenficaNov 8, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Alverca vs Casa Pia prediction?
Our AI gives Alverca a 90% chance of winning, the draw 7% and Casa Pia 3%. Alverca are therefore favourites.
When and where is Alverca vs Casa Pia played?
Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), Primeira Liga, matchday 11. Venue: FC Alverca Sports Complex, Alverca do Ribatejo.
What form are Alverca and Casa Pia in?
Alverca: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 6 conceded). Casa Pia: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Alverca and Casa Pia?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Alverca, 0 for Casa Pia and 0 draws. The most recent ended Alverca 3-1 Casa Pia (Apr 12, 2026).
Go further
- All Alverca predictions
- All Casa Pia predictions
- Primeira Liga predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology