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Primeira LigaPrimeira Liga· Kick-off : Sunday, November 8, 2026, 20:30 (UK time)

Estrela vs Benfica prediction: correct score and AI tips

EstrelaEstrela–BenficaBenfica

Match analysis

Primeira Liga, matchday 11: Estrela vs Benfica kicks off on Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 20:30 (UK time). Our model makes Benfica clear favourites: a 85% chance of winning, against 9% for the draw and 6% for Estrela.

Estrela have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 9. Benfica are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 16 and conceding 4. Benfica therefore arrive in far better shape than Estrela. On average Estrela score 1.00 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Benfica score 3.20 and concede 0.80. In the table, Estrela sit 12th with 10 points from 9 games, Benfica 2nd with 22 points from 9. 10 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Estrela have averaged 1.67 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.72 for Benfica.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Estrela, 2 for Benfica and 0 draws. The most recent ended Benfica 4-0 Estrela (Jan 25, 2026). In double chance terms, "Estrela or draw" stands at 15%, "Benfica or draw" at 94% and "no draw" at 91%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

6%
Estrela (Win)
9%
Draw
85%
Benfica (Win)

Double chance

15%
Estrela or draw
94%
Benfica or draw
91%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Estrela

DateOpponentScore
Oct 24, 2026Casa Pia · Primeira Liga0-2L
Oct 17, 2026Fazendense · Taça de Portugal2-1W
Oct 11, 2026Arouca · Primeira Liga0-1L
Sep 20, 2026Academico Viseu · Primeira Liga0-2L
Sep 14, 2026Rio Ave · Primeira Liga3-3D

Benfica

DateOpponentScore
Oct 29, 2026GIL Vicente · Taça da Liga4-1W
Oct 26, 2026Santa Clara · Primeira Liga2-1W
Oct 22, 2026Omonia Nicosia · UEFA Europa League4-1W
Oct 15, 2026Celtic · UEFA Europa League4-1W
Oct 11, 2026Vitória SC · Primeira Liga2-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Estrela12109
Benfica2229

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 25, 2026Benfica 4-0 EstrelaPrimeira Liga
Aug 16, 2025Estrela 0-1 BenficaPrimeira Liga

Out and doubtful

Estrela

No absences reported.

Benfica

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Estrela

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • I. Stoica5/5
  • L. Antonetti5/5
  • S. Serra5/5
  • A. Marcus4/5
  • G. Doue4/5
  • L. Zvonarek4/5
  • Leo Linck4/5
  • Luan Patrick4/5
  • M. Scholze4/5
  • Rafa Soares4/5
  • S. Lekovic4/5

Benfica

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Bah4/5
  • S. Dahl4/5
  • A. Circati3/5
  • A. Schjelderup3/5
  • A. Trubin3/5
  • C. Lenglet3/5
  • F. Aursnes3/5
  • G. Prestianni3/5
  • Tomás Araújo3/5
  • V. Pavlidis3/5
  • C. Echeverri2/5

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Estrela vs Benfica prediction?

Our AI gives Estrela a 6% chance of winning, the draw 9% and Benfica 85%. Benfica are therefore favourites.

When and where is Estrela vs Benfica played?

Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 20:30 (UK time), Primeira Liga, matchday 11.

What form are Estrela and Benfica in?

Estrela: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 9 conceded). Benfica: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (16 scored, 4 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Estrela and Benfica?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Estrela, 2 for Benfica and 0 draws. The most recent ended Benfica 4-0 Estrela (Jan 25, 2026).

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Key terms explained