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Colombian Primera AColombian Primera A· Kick-off : Saturday, October 10, 2026, 01:30 (UK time)

Alianza Valledupar vs Águilas Doradas prediction: correct score and AI tips

Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar–Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas

Match analysis

Alianza Valledupar take on Águilas Doradas on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 01:30 (UK time), a Colombian Primera A fixture. Venue: Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, Valledupar. It is a tight call: 40% for Alianza Valledupar, 26% for the draw and 34% for Águilas Doradas. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.5%), followed by 1-0 (10.2%) and 0-1 (9.2%).

Over their last 5 matches, Alianza Valledupar have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 4 and conceding 9. Águilas Doradas have not won any of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 9. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Alianza Valledupar score 0.80 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Águilas Doradas score 1.20 and concede 1.80. In the table, Alianza Valledupar sit 16th with 8 points from 10 games, Águilas Doradas 11th with 11 points from 9. The two teams are close in the standings.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Alianza Valledupar, 1 for Águilas Doradas and 0 draws. The most recent ended Águilas Doradas 1-0 Alianza Valledupar (Mar 27, 2026). In double chance terms, "Alianza Valledupar or draw" stands at 66%, "Águilas Doradas or draw" at 60% and "no draw" at 74%.

In short : An evenly-matched game between Alianza Valledupar and Águilas Doradas: our model sees no clear favourite. In the table, Alianza Valledupar (16th, 8 pts) host Águilas Doradas (11th, 11 pts). Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 53%).

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

40%
Alianza Valledupar (Win)
26%
Draw
34%
Águilas Doradas (Win)

Double chance

66%
Alianza Valledupar or draw
60%
Águilas Doradas or draw
74%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Alianza Valledupar – Águilas Doradas. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 48% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Alianza Valledupar 1-1 Águilas Doradas12.5%
Alianza Valledupar 1-0 Águilas Doradas10.2%
Alianza Valledupar 0-1 Águilas Doradas9.2%
Alianza Valledupar 2-1 Águilas Doradas8.5%
Alianza Valledupar 1-2 Águilas Doradas7.7%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.36 expected goals for Alianza Valledupar and 1.23 for Águilas Doradas, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 48% and "both teams to score" at 53%. Alianza Valledupar keep a clean sheet in 29% of scenarios, Águilas Doradas in 26%.

Probability
Alianza Valledupar expected goals1.36
Águilas Doradas expected goals1.23
Both teams to score53%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Alianza Valledupar clean sheet29%
Águilas Doradas clean sheet26%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Alianza Valledupar

DateOpponentScore
Sep 19, 2026Santa Fe · Colombian Primera A1-4L
Sep 16, 2026Chico · Colombian Primera A2-1W
Sep 13, 2026Junior · Colombian Primera A1-0W
Sep 10, 2026Once Caldas · Copa Colombia0-1L
Sep 3, 2026America de Cali · Colombian Primera A0-3L

Águilas Doradas

DateOpponentScore
Sep 24, 2026America de Cali · Colombian Primera A0-1L
Sep 18, 2026Deportivo Pereira · Colombian Primera A2-2D
Sep 13, 2026Atletico Nacional · Colombian Primera A0-2L
Sep 6, 2026Internacional de Bogota · Colombian Primera A2-2D
Aug 30, 2026Chico · Colombian Primera A2-2D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Alianza Valledupar16810
Águilas Doradas11119

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 27, 2026Águilas Doradas 1-0 Alianza ValleduparColombian Primera A

Out and doubtful

Alianza Valledupar

No absences reported.

Águilas Doradas

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Alianza Valledupar

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • D. Quinones4/5
  • E. Beltran4/5
  • F. Pardo4/5
  • I. Alba4/5
  • J. Castillo4/5
  • J. Figueroa4/5
  • J. Munoz4/5
  • J. Viveros4/5
  • C. Vergara3/5
  • J. Lasso3/5
  • W. Fernandez3/5

Águilas Doradas

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Mosquera5/5
  • A. Ricaurte5/5
  • F. Lozano5/5
  • J. Mena5/5
  • J. Ontaneda5/5
  • J. Soto5/5
  • E. Arizalas4/5
  • A. Vasquez3/5
  • J. E. Avalo Trejos3/5
  • I. Rojas2/5
  • J. Melendez2/5

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Alianza Valledupar vs Águilas Doradas prediction?

Our AI gives Alianza Valledupar a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Águilas Doradas 34%. Alianza Valledupar are therefore slight favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for Alianza Valledupar vs Águilas Doradas?

1-1 (12.5%), followed by 1-0 (10.2%), 0-1 (9.2%), 2-1 (8.5%) and 1-2 (7.7%).

Will both teams score in Alianza Valledupar vs Águilas Doradas?

The probability that both Alianza Valledupar and Águilas Doradas score is 53%. Alianza Valledupar have a 29% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Águilas Doradas 26%.

How many goals should we expect in Alianza Valledupar vs Águilas Doradas?

The model expects 2.59 goals (1.36 for Alianza Valledupar, 1.23 for Águilas Doradas). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 26%.

When and where is Alianza Valledupar vs Águilas Doradas played?

Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 01:30 (UK time), Colombian Primera A. Venue: Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, Valledupar.

What form are Alianza Valledupar and Águilas Doradas in?

Alianza Valledupar: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 9 conceded). Águilas Doradas: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 9 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Alianza Valledupar and Águilas Doradas?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Alianza Valledupar, 1 for Águilas Doradas and 0 draws. The most recent ended Águilas Doradas 1-0 Alianza Valledupar (Mar 27, 2026).

How is the Alianza Valledupar vs Águilas Doradas prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.36 for Alianza Valledupar, 1.23 for Águilas Doradas) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

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Key terms explained