Skip to content
Elofoot

Colombian Primera AColombian Primera A· Kick-off : Sunday, October 25, 2026, 21:05 (UK time)

Alianza Valledupar vs Internacional de Bogota: 1-0 result and AI prediction review

Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1 – 0Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Alianza Valledupar 1-0 Internacional de Bogota. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Alianza Valledupar was the model's favourite outcome (45%). The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (12.2%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (49%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (44%): correct.

Match analysis

Alianza Valledupar vs Internacional de Bogota was played on Sunday, October 25, 2026 (Colombian Primera A). Venue: Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, Valledupar. Before kick-off, our model gave Alianza Valledupar a 45% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Internacional de Bogota 28%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.7%), ahead of 1-0 (12.2%) and 0-1 (9.0%).

Over their last 5 matches, Alianza Valledupar have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Internacional de Bogota are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), scoring 9 and conceding 5. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Alianza Valledupar score 1.40 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Internacional de Bogota score 1.80 and concede 1.00. In the table, Alianza Valledupar sit 15th with 15 points from 14 games, Internacional de Bogota 12th with 17 points from 15. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Alianza Valledupar have averaged 1.32 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.11 for Internacional de Bogota.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Alianza Valledupar, 1 for Internacional de Bogota and 0 draws. The most recent ended Internacional de Bogota 2-1 Alianza Valledupar (Apr 13, 2026). In double chance terms, "Alianza Valledupar or draw" stands at 72%, "Internacional de Bogota or draw" at 55% and "no draw" at 73%.

In short : Our model backs Alianza Valledupar to edge Internacional de Bogota (45% probability). On recent form, Alianza Valledupar have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Internacional de Bogota have 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in 5. Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 49%).

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

45%
Alianza Valledupar (Win)
27%
Draw
28%
Internacional de Bogota (Win)

Double chance

72%
Alianza Valledupar or draw
55%
Internacional de Bogota or draw
73%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Alianza Valledupar – Internacional de Bogota. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Alianza Valledupar 1-1 Internacional de Bogota12.7%
Alianza Valledupar 1-0 Internacional de Bogota12.2%
Alianza Valledupar 0-1 Internacional de Bogota9.0%
Alianza Valledupar 2-1 Internacional de Bogota8.9%
Alianza Valledupar 0-0 Internacional de Bogota8.6%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.45 goals in total (1.41 for Alianza Valledupar, 1.04 for Internacional de Bogota): over 2.5 goals has a 44% probability and both teams to score 49%. Alianza Valledupar keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, Internacional de Bogota in 24%.

Probability
Alianza Valledupar expected goals1.41
Internacional de Bogota expected goals1.04
Both teams to score49%
Over 1.5 goals70%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Over 3.5 goals23%
Alianza Valledupar clean sheet35%
Internacional de Bogota clean sheet24%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Alianza Valledupar

DateOpponentScore
Oct 20, 2026Deportivo Pasto · Colombian Primera A1-0W
Oct 10, 2026Águilas Doradas · Colombian Primera A2-2D
Oct 3, 2026Deportivo Cali · Colombian Primera A1-3L
Sep 27, 2026Jaguares · Colombian Primera A2-1W
Sep 19, 2026Santa Fe · Colombian Primera A1-4L

Internacional de Bogota

DateOpponentScore
Oct 21, 2026Fortaleza FC · Colombian Primera A2-1W
Oct 16, 2026Llaneros · Copa Colombia4-1W
Oct 11, 2026Junior · Colombian Primera A2-2D
Oct 4, 2026Once Caldas · Colombian Primera A1-1D
Sep 26, 2026Deportivo Pereira · Colombian Primera A0-0D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Alianza Valledupar151514
Internacional de Bogota121715

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 13, 2026Internacional de Bogota 2-1 Alianza ValleduparColombian Primera A

Out and doubtful

Alianza Valledupar

No absences reported.

Internacional de Bogota

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Alianza Valledupar

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • C. Vergara5/5
  • E. Beltran5/5
  • I. Alba5/5
  • J. Castillo5/5
  • J. Figueroa5/5
  • J. Lasso5/5
  • J. Munoz5/5
  • J. Viveros5/5
  • D. Quinones4/5
  • K. Moreno3/5
  • W. Fernandez3/5

Internacional de Bogota

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • C. Dajome5/5
  • J. Castro5/5
  • L. Vasquez5/5
  • M. Pernia5/5
  • W. Farinez5/5
  • A. Irazoque4/5
  • D. S. Victoria Palacios4/5
  • F. Sanguinetti4/5
  • R. Julio4/5
  • D. Duarte3/5
  • F. Bone3/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Alianza Valledupar vs Internacional de Bogota prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Alianza Valledupar a 45% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Internacional de Bogota 28%. Alianza Valledupar are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Alianza Valledupar vs Internacional de Bogota?

1-1 (12.7%), followed by 1-0 (12.2%), 0-1 (9.0%), 2-1 (8.9%) and 0-0 (8.6%).

Will both teams score in Alianza Valledupar vs Internacional de Bogota?

The probability that both Alianza Valledupar and Internacional de Bogota score is 49%. Alianza Valledupar have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Internacional de Bogota 24%.

How many goals should we expect in Alianza Valledupar vs Internacional de Bogota?

The model expects 2.45 goals (1.41 for Alianza Valledupar, 1.04 for Internacional de Bogota). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 70%, over 2.5 goals 44%, over 3.5 goals 23%.

When and where is Alianza Valledupar vs Internacional de Bogota played?

Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 21:05 (UK time), Colombian Primera A. Venue: Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, Valledupar.

What form are Alianza Valledupar and Internacional de Bogota in?

Alianza Valledupar: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 10 conceded). Internacional de Bogota: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 5 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Alianza Valledupar and Internacional de Bogota?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Alianza Valledupar, 1 for Internacional de Bogota and 0 draws. The most recent ended Internacional de Bogota 2-1 Alianza Valledupar (Apr 13, 2026).

What was the Alianza Valledupar vs Internacional de Bogota result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Alianza Valledupar 1-0 Internacional de Bogota. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Alianza Valledupar was the model's favourite outcome (45%). The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (12.2%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (49%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (44%): correct.

How is the Alianza Valledupar vs Internacional de Bogota prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.41 for Alianza Valledupar, 1.04 for Internacional de Bogota) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained