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Colombian Primera AColombian Primera A· Kick-off : Sunday, October 18, 2026, 02:10 (UK time)

Independiente Medellin vs Once Caldas prediction: correct score and AI tips

Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin–Once CaldasOnce Caldas

Match analysis

Independiente Medellin take on Once Caldas on Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 02:10 (UK time), a Colombian Primera A fixture. Venue: Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellin. The edge goes to Independiente Medellin (52%), ahead of the draw (31%) and a Once Caldas win (17%).

Independiente Medellin have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 9. Over their last 5 matches, Once Caldas have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 4 and conceding 5. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Independiente Medellin score 1.20 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Once Caldas score 0.80 and concede 1.00. In the table, Independiente Medellin sit 5th with 23 points from 13 games, Once Caldas 10th with 16 points from 13. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Independiente Medellin have averaged 0.94 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.74 for Once Caldas.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Independiente Medellin, 0 for Once Caldas and 1 draw. The most recent ended Once Caldas 1-1 Independiente Medellin (Apr 3, 2026). In double chance terms, "Independiente Medellin or draw" stands at 83%, "Once Caldas or draw" at 48% and "no draw" at 69%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

52%
Independiente Medellin (Win)
31%
Draw
17%
Once Caldas (Win)

Double chance

83%
Independiente Medellin or draw
48%
Once Caldas or draw
69%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Independiente Medellin

DateOpponentScore
Oct 15, 2026Atletico Nacional · Copa Colombia2-3L
Oct 12, 2026America de Cali · Colombian Primera A2-1W
Oct 6, 2026Santa Fe · Colombian Primera A0-1L
Sep 30, 2026Millonarios · Colombian Primera A2-2D
Sep 27, 2026Junior · Colombian Primera A0-2L

Once Caldas

DateOpponentScore
Oct 10, 2026Llaneros · Colombian Primera A1-0W
Oct 4, 2026Internacional de Bogota · Colombian Primera A1-1D
Sep 26, 2026Bucaramanga · Colombian Primera A1-3L
Sep 20, 2026Deportivo Pasto · Colombian Primera A0-1L
Sep 17, 2026Deportes Tolima · Colombian Primera A1-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Independiente Medellin52313
Once Caldas101613

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 3, 2026Once Caldas 1-1 Independiente MedellinColombian Primera A

Out and doubtful

Independiente Medellin

No absences reported.

Once Caldas

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Independiente Medellin

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • D. Moreno5/5
  • H. Palacios5/5
  • A. Martegani4/5
  • E. Chaux4/5
  • E. Mena Perea4/5
  • J. Montano4/5
  • L. Escorcia4/5
  • A. Simarra3/5
  • C. Lucumi3/5
  • H. Loboa3/5
  • Yony Gonzalez3/5

Once Caldas

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Roa5/5
  • D. Londono5/5
  • J. D. Cuesta Santos5/5
  • A. Colorado4/5
  • A. Correa4/5
  • J. Parra4/5
  • J. Quinones4/5
  • M. Barrios4/5
  • D. Moreno3/5
  • J. A. Zapata Ramirez3/5
  • J. Castano3/5

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Independiente Medellin vs Once Caldas prediction?

Our AI gives Independiente Medellin a 52% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Once Caldas 17%. Independiente Medellin are therefore favourites.

When and where is Independiente Medellin vs Once Caldas played?

Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 02:10 (UK time), Colombian Primera A. Venue: Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellin.

What form are Independiente Medellin and Once Caldas in?

Independiente Medellin: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 9 conceded). Once Caldas: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 5 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Independiente Medellin and Once Caldas?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Independiente Medellin, 0 for Once Caldas and 1 draw. The most recent ended Once Caldas 1-1 Independiente Medellin (Apr 3, 2026).

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Key terms explained