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Colombian Primera AColombian Primera A· Kick-off : Saturday, October 17, 2026, 21:00 (UK time)

Chico vs Atletico Nacional prediction: correct score and AI tips

ChicoChico–Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional

Match analysis

Colombian Primera A: the Chico vs Atletico Nacional match is scheduled on Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 21:00 (UK time). Venue: Estadio La Independencia, Tunja. Our model makes Atletico Nacional clear favourites: a 68% chance of winning, against 24% for the draw and 8% for Chico.

Chico have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 6. Atletico Nacional are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), scoring 8 and conceding 5. Atletico Nacional therefore arrive in far better shape than Chico. On average Chico score 0.80 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Atletico Nacional score 1.60 and concede 1.00. In the table, Chico sit 14th with 12 points from 12 games, Atletico Nacional 4th with 23 points from 11. 10 places separate the two sides.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Chico, 3 for Atletico Nacional and 1 draw. The most recent ended Atletico Nacional 4-0 Chico (Jan 17, 2026). In double chance terms, "Chico or draw" stands at 32%, "Atletico Nacional or draw" at 92% and "no draw" at 76%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

8%
Chico (Win)
24%
Draw
68%
Atletico Nacional (Win)

Double chance

32%
Chico or draw
92%
Atletico Nacional or draw
76%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Chico

DateOpponentScore
Oct 12, 2026Cucuta · Colombian Primera A0-1L
Oct 3, 2026Deportes Tolima · Colombian Primera A0-0D
Sep 26, 2026Deportivo Pasto · Colombian Primera A3-0W
Sep 19, 2026Millonarios · Colombian Primera A0-3L
Sep 16, 2026Alianza Valledupar · Colombian Primera A1-2L

Atletico Nacional

DateOpponentScore
Oct 15, 2026Independiente Medellin · Copa Colombia3-2W
Oct 9, 2026Deportes Tolima · Colombian Primera A0-0D
Oct 1, 2026Junior · Colombian Primera A3-1W
Sep 26, 2026Chapecoense-sc · Club Friendlies1-1D
Sep 25, 2026Millonarios · Colombian Primera A1-1D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Chico141212
Atletico Nacional42311

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 17, 2026Atletico Nacional 4-0 ChicoPrimera A
Oct 6, 2025Chico 1-1 Atletico NacionalPrimera A
Apr 17, 2025Atletico Nacional 4-1 ChicoPrimera A
Sep 29, 2024Atletico Nacional 6-2 ChicoPrimera A
Mar 17, 2024Chico 2-1 Atletico NacionalPrimera A

Out and doubtful

Chico

No absences reported.

Atletico Nacional

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Chico

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • C. Blanco Betancur5/5
  • D. Agudelo5/5
  • E. Sarria5/5
  • J. Alomia5/5
  • J. Diaz5/5
  • J. Mena5/5
  • J. Pimentel5/5
  • S. Mera5/5
  • A. Maya4/5
  • C. Mosquera4/5
  • S. Salazar4/5

Atletico Nacional

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Roman3/4
  • E. Cabrera3/4
  • F. Armani3/4
  • I. Poveda3/4
  • M. Casco3/4
  • N. Parra3/4
  • Y. A. Perlaza Perea3/4
  • C. Haydar2/4
  • F. Marin2/4
  • J. Rodriguez2/4
  • J. Zapata2/4

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Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Chico vs Atletico Nacional prediction?

Our AI gives Chico a 8% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atletico Nacional 68%. Atletico Nacional are therefore favourites.

When and where is Chico vs Atletico Nacional played?

Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 21:00 (UK time), Colombian Primera A. Venue: Estadio La Independencia, Tunja.

What form are Chico and Atletico Nacional in?

Chico: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 6 conceded). Atletico Nacional: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 5 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Chico and Atletico Nacional?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Chico, 3 for Atletico Nacional and 1 draw. The most recent ended Atletico Nacional 4-0 Chico (Jan 17, 2026).

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Key terms explained