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Brasileirão Série ABrasileirão Série A· Kick-off : Sunday, October 25, 2026, 01:00 (UK time)

Santos vs Bahia prediction: correct score and AI tips

SantosSantos–BahiaBahia

Match analysis

Brasileirão Série A, matchday 32: Santos vs Bahia kicks off on Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 01:00 (UK time). Venue: Estadio Urbano Caldeira, Santos. The edge goes to Bahia (58%), ahead of the draw (21%) and a Santos win (21%).

Over their last 5 matches, Santos have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Over their last 5 matches, Bahia have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 6. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Santos score 1.80 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Bahia score 1.40 and concede 1.20. In the table, Santos sit 8th with 42 points from 30 games, Bahia 5th with 49 points from 30. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Santos have averaged 1.12 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.06 for Bahia.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Santos, 0 for Bahia and 1 draw. The most recent ended Bahia 2-2 Santos (Apr 25, 2026). Santos out or doubtful: Arthur Melo, Gabriel Brazao, Neymar, Vinicius Lira and Willian Arao (suspended). Bahia: Leo Vieira. In double chance terms, "Santos or draw" stands at 42%, "Bahia or draw" at 79% and "no draw" at 79%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

21%
Santos (Win)
21%
Draw
58%
Bahia (Win)

Double chance

42%
Santos or draw
79%
Bahia or draw
79%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Santos

DateOpponentScore
Oct 11, 2026Atletico-MG · Brasileirão Série A1-2L
Oct 8, 2026Flamengo · Brasileirão Série A2-2D
Oct 3, 2026Sao Paulo · Brasileirão Série A2-1W
Sep 19, 2026Remo · Brasileirão Série A2-1W
Sep 16, 2026Atletico-MG · CONMEBOL Sudamericana2-4L

Bahia

DateOpponentScore
Oct 11, 2026Mirassol · Brasileirão Série A1-0W
Oct 9, 2026Palmeiras · Brasileirão Série A0-1L
Sep 20, 2026Atletico Paranaense · Brasileirão Série A1-2L
Sep 15, 2026Remo · Brasileirão Série A2-1W
Sep 5, 2026RB Bragantino · Brasileirão Série A3-2W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Santos84230
Bahia54930

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Bahia 2-2 SantosBrasileirão Série A

Out and doubtful

Santos

  • Arthur Melo (out)
  • Gabriel Brazao (out)
  • Neymar (out)
  • Vinicius Lira (out)
  • Willian Arao (suspended)

Bahia

  • Leo Vieira (out)

Most regular starters

Santos

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Gabriel Barbosa5/5
  • Rodinei5/5
  • Christian Oliva4/5
  • Diogenes4/5
  • Gabriel Bontempo4/5
  • Gonzalo Escobar4/5
  • Lucas Veríssimo4/5
  • Willian Arão4/5
  • Gustavinho3/5
  • Álvaro Barreal2/5
  • Arthur2/5

Bahia

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Alejo Véliz5/5
  • David Duarte5/5
  • Erick Pulga5/5
  • Luciano Juba5/5
  • Rodrigo Nestor5/5
  • Ronaldo5/5
  • Cristian Olivera4/5
  • Nicolás Acevedo4/5
  • Jean Lucas3/5
  • Kanu3/5
  • Marcos Victor3/5

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Santos vs Bahia prediction?

Our AI gives Santos a 21% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bahia 58%. Bahia are therefore favourites.

When and where is Santos vs Bahia played?

Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 01:00 (UK time), Brasileirão Série A, matchday 32. Venue: Estadio Urbano Caldeira, Santos.

What form are Santos and Bahia in?

Santos: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 10 conceded). Bahia: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Santos and Bahia?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Santos, 0 for Bahia and 1 draw. The most recent ended Bahia 2-2 Santos (Apr 25, 2026).

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Key terms explained