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Brasileirão Série ABrasileirão Série A· Kick-off : Saturday, October 24, 2026, 20:30 (UK time)

Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense prediction: correct score and AI tips

VitoriaVitoria–Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense

Match analysis

Brasileirão Série A, matchday 32: the Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense match is scheduled on Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 20:30 (UK time). Venue: Barradao, Salvador. The edge goes to Atletico Paranaense (57%), ahead of the draw (22%) and a Vitoria win (21%).

Over their last 5 matches, Vitoria have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, Atletico Paranaense have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 12 and conceding 10. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Vitoria score 1.80 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Atletico Paranaense score 2.40 and concede 2.00. In the table, Vitoria sit 12th with 36 points from 30 games, Atletico Paranaense 3rd with 53 points from 30. 9 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Vitoria have averaged 1.21 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.79 for Atletico Paranaense.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Vitoria, 3 for Atletico Paranaense and 0 draws. The most recent ended Vitoria 4-0 Atletico Paranaense (Aug 7, 2026). Vitoria out or doubtful: Baralhas, Caca (suspended), Camutanga, Dudu, Edu, Fabiano, Nathan Mendes and Ramon. Atletico Paranaense: G. Benavidez, K. A. Calderon Vargas, Dantas and C. Teran. In double chance terms, "Vitoria or draw" stands at 43%, "Atletico Paranaense or draw" at 79% and "no draw" at 78%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

21%
Vitoria (Win)
22%
Draw
57%
Atletico Paranaense (Win)

Double chance

43%
Vitoria or draw
79%
Atletico Paranaense or draw
78%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Vitoria

DateOpponentScore
Oct 11, 2026Sao Paulo · Brasileirão Série A1-2L
Oct 8, 2026Chapecoense-sc · Brasileirão Série A4-0W
Sep 20, 2026Cruzeiro · Brasileirão Série A1-3L
Sep 13, 2026Mirassol · Brasileirão Série A2-2D
Sep 8, 2026Gremio · Brasileirão Série A1-0W

Atletico Paranaense

DateOpponentScore
Oct 12, 2026Chapecoense-sc · Brasileirão Série A4-1W
Oct 9, 2026Atletico-MG · Brasileirão Série A2-2D
Sep 20, 2026Bahia · Brasileirão Série A2-1W
Sep 12, 2026Coritiba · Brasileirão Série A3-3D
Sep 6, 2026Cruzeiro · Brasileirão Série A1-3L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Vitoria123630
Atletico Paranaense35330

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 7, 2026Vitoria 4-0 Atletico ParanaenseCopa Do Brasil
Aug 4, 2026Atletico Paranaense 2-0 VitoriaCopa Do Brasil
Apr 26, 2026Atletico Paranaense 3-1 VitoriaSerie A
Nov 2, 2024Atletico Paranaense 1-2 VitoriaSerie A
Jun 30, 2024Vitoria 0-1 Atletico ParanaenseSerie A

Out and doubtful

Vitoria

  • Baralhas (out)
  • Caca (suspended)
  • Camutanga (out)
  • Dudu (out)
  • Edu (out)
  • Fabiano (out)
  • Nathan Mendes (out)
  • Ramon (out)

Atletico Paranaense

  • G. Benavidez (out)
  • K. A. Calderon Vargas (out)
  • Dantas (out)
  • C. Teran (out)

Most regular starters

Vitoria

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Erick5/5
  • Jamerson5/5
  • Luan Cândido5/5
  • Lucas Arcanjo5/5
  • Mateusinho5/5
  • Cacá4/5
  • Matheuzinho4/5
  • Caique Gonçalves3/5
  • Diego Tarzia3/5
  • Renê Sousa3/5
  • Caíque2/5

Atletico Paranaense

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Arthur Dias5/5
  • Luiz Gustavo5/5
  • Mycael5/5
  • Gilberto4/5
  • Jádson4/5
  • Dantas3/5
  • João Cruz3/5
  • Leozinho3/5
  • Steven Mendoza3/5
  • Juan Felipe Aguirre2/5
  • K. Viveros2/5

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense prediction?

Our AI gives Vitoria a 21% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Atletico Paranaense 57%. Atletico Paranaense are therefore favourites.

When and where is Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense played?

Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 20:30 (UK time), Brasileirão Série A, matchday 32. Venue: Barradao, Salvador.

What form are Vitoria and Atletico Paranaense in?

Vitoria: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 7 conceded). Atletico Paranaense: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 10 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Vitoria and Atletico Paranaense?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Vitoria, 3 for Atletico Paranaense and 0 draws. The most recent ended Vitoria 4-0 Atletico Paranaense (Aug 7, 2026).

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Key terms explained