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Serie ASerie A· Kick-off : Wednesday, October 28, 2026, 17:30 (UK time)

AC Milan vs Bologna prediction: correct score and AI tips

AC MilanAC Milan–BolognaBologna

Match analysis

Serie A, matchday 9: AC Milan vs Bologna kicks off on Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 17:30 (UK time). With a 86% win probability, AC Milan go in as strong favourites against Bologna (5%), with the draw rated at 9%.

Over their last 5 matches, AC Milan have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Bologna have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 6. Recent momentum is clearly with AC Milan. On average AC Milan score 2.00 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Bologna score 1.00 and concede 1.20. In the table, AC Milan sit 6th with 12 points from 6 games, Bologna 14th with 5 points from 6. 8 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, AC Milan have averaged 1.81 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.23 for Bologna.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for AC Milan, 0 for Bologna and 0 draws. The most recent ended Bologna 0-3 AC Milan (Feb 3, 2026). AC Milan out or doubtful: M. Gabbia and A. Saelemaekers. Bologna: E. Holm and R. Orsolini. In double chance terms, "AC Milan or draw" stands at 95%, "Bologna or draw" at 14% and "no draw" at 91%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

86%
AC Milan (Win)
9%
Draw
5%
Bologna (Win)

Double chance

95%
AC Milan or draw
14%
Bologna or draw
91%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

AC Milan

DateOpponentScore
Oct 15, 2026Red Bull Salzburg · UEFA Europa League4-0W
Oct 11, 2026Sassuolo · Serie A1-1D
Sep 20, 2026Lecce · Serie A3-0W
Sep 16, 2026Benfica · UEFA Europa League0-2L
Sep 12, 2026Lazio · Serie A2-2D

Bologna

DateOpponentScore
Oct 11, 2026Lecce · Serie A2-1W
Sep 19, 2026Torino · Serie A1-1D
Sep 13, 2026Napoli · Serie A0-1L
Sep 6, 2026Sassuolo · Serie A2-2D
Aug 31, 2026Atalanta · Serie A0-1L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
AC Milan6126
Bologna1456

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 3, 2026Bologna 0-3 AC MilanSerie A
Sep 14, 2025AC Milan 1-0 BolognaSerie A

Out and doubtful

AC Milan

  • M. Gabbia (out)
  • A. Saelemaekers (out)

Bologna

  • E. Holm (out)
  • R. Orsolini (out)

Most regular starters

AC Milan

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

Bologna

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • L. Ferguson5/5
  • N. Cambiaghi5/5
  • R. Piccoli5/5
  • T. Heggem5/5
  • T. Pobega5/5
  • F. Bernardeschi4/5
  • A. Theate3/5
  • E. Holm3/5
  • L. Skorupski3/5
  • E. Fauske Helland2/5
  • J. Miranda2/5

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Frequently asked questions

What is the AC Milan vs Bologna prediction?

Our AI gives AC Milan a 86% chance of winning, the draw 9% and Bologna 5%. AC Milan are therefore favourites.

When and where is AC Milan vs Bologna played?

Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 17:30 (UK time), Serie A, matchday 9.

What form are AC Milan and Bologna in?

AC Milan: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 5 conceded). Bologna: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between AC Milan and Bologna?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for AC Milan, 0 for Bologna and 0 draws. The most recent ended Bologna 0-3 AC Milan (Feb 3, 2026).

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Key terms explained