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Serie ASerie A· Kick-off : Thursday, October 29, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)

Fiorentina vs Atalanta prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

Fiorentina take on Atalanta on Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), a Serie A, matchday 9 fixture. Venue: Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence. The edge goes to Atalanta (54%), ahead of the draw (21%) and a Fiorentina win (25%).

Over their last 5 matches, Fiorentina have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, Atalanta have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 8. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Fiorentina score 2.00 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Atalanta score 1.60 and concede 1.60. In the table, Fiorentina sit 19th with 4 points from 6 games, Atalanta 10th with 9 points from 6. 9 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Fiorentina have averaged 1.74 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.75 for Atalanta.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Fiorentina, 1 for Atalanta and 1 draw. The most recent ended Fiorentina 1-1 Atalanta (May 22, 2026). Fiorentina out or doubtful: R. Sottil, F. Mastantuono, F. Parisi, A. Atta (doubtful) and L. Ranieri (doubtful). Atalanta: K. Sulemana, I. Hien, O. Kossounou, E. Elmas (suspended), F. Kessie, G. Scalvini, R. Bellanova (doubtful) and G. Raspadori (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Fiorentina or draw" stands at 46%, "Atalanta or draw" at 75% and "no draw" at 79%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

25%
Fiorentina (Win)
21%
Draw
54%
Atalanta (Win)

Double chance

46%
Fiorentina or draw
75%
Atalanta or draw
79%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Fiorentina

DateOpponentScore
Oct 10, 2026Genoa · Serie A1-2L
Sep 20, 2026Napoli · Serie A1-1D
Sep 15, 2026Pisa · Coppa Italia3-0W
Sep 11, 2026Venezia · Serie A4-2W
Sep 5, 2026Torino · Serie A1-2L

Atalanta

DateOpponentScore
Oct 15, 2026Pafos · UEFA Conference League3-1W
Oct 12, 2026Venezia · Serie A3-1W
Sep 20, 2026Juventus · Serie A0-2L
Sep 12, 2026Cagliari · Serie A1-2L
Sep 5, 2026AS Roma · Serie A1-2L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Fiorentina1946
Atalanta1096

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 22, 2026Fiorentina 1-1 AtalantaSerie A
Nov 30, 2025Atalanta 2-0 FiorentinaSerie A

Out and doubtful

Fiorentina

  • R. Sottil (out)
  • F. Mastantuono (out)
  • F. Parisi (out)
  • A. Atta (doubtful)
  • L. Ranieri (doubtful)

Atalanta

  • K. Sulemana (out)
  • I. Hien (out)
  • O. Kossounou (out)
  • E. Elmas (suspended)
  • F. Kessie (out)
  • G. Scalvini (out)
  • R. Bellanova (doubtful)
  • G. Raspadori (doubtful)

Most regular starters

Fiorentina

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

Atalanta

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Fiorentina vs Atalanta prediction?

Our AI gives Fiorentina a 25% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Atalanta 54%. Atalanta are therefore favourites.

When and where is Fiorentina vs Atalanta played?

Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), Serie A, matchday 9. Venue: Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence.

What form are Fiorentina and Atalanta in?

Fiorentina: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 7 conceded). Atalanta: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 8 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Fiorentina and Atalanta?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Fiorentina, 1 for Atalanta and 1 draw. The most recent ended Fiorentina 1-1 Atalanta (May 22, 2026).

Go further

Key terms explained