Süper Lig· Kick-off : Friday, October 23, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)
Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Alanyaspor take on Kocaelispor on Friday, October 23, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), a Süper Lig, matchday 9 fixture. Venue: Alanya Oba Stadium, Alanya. Alanyaspor start as favourites with a 47% chance of victory; Kocaelispor are given 25% and the draw 28%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (14.2%), followed by 1-1 (12.9%) and 0-0 (10.6%).
Over their last 5 matches, Alanyaspor have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Kocaelispor have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 4. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Alanyaspor score 1.40 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Kocaelispor score 1.00 and concede 0.80. In the table, Alanyaspor sit 5th with 11 points from 6 games, Kocaelispor 4th with 12 points from 6. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Alanyaspor have averaged 1.23 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.98 for Kocaelispor.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Alanyaspor, 1 for Kocaelispor and 0 draws. The most recent ended Alanyaspor 5-0 Kocaelispor (Mar 18, 2026). Alanyaspor out or doubtful: Maestro. In double chance terms, "Alanyaspor or draw" stands at 75%, "Kocaelispor or draw" at 53% and "no draw" at 72%.
In short : Alanyaspor are tipped by our AI model in this Alanyaspor v Kocaelispor (47%). On recent form, Alanyaspor have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5 while Kocaelispor have 3 wins, 0 draw and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Alanyaspor – Kocaelispor. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (14.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 57% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Alanyaspor 1-0 Kocaelispor | 14.2% |
| Alanyaspor 1-1 Kocaelispor | 12.9% |
| Alanyaspor 0-0 Kocaelispor | 10.6% |
| Alanyaspor 0-1 Kocaelispor | 9.7% |
| Alanyaspor 2-0 Kocaelispor | 9.4% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.33 expected goals for Alanyaspor and 0.91 for Kocaelispor, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 39% and "both teams to score" at 44%. Few goals are expected here. Alanyaspor keep a clean sheet in 40% of scenarios, Kocaelispor in 26%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Alanyaspor expected goals | 1.33 |
| Kocaelispor expected goals | 0.91 |
| Both teams to score | 44% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% |
| Alanyaspor clean sheet | 40% |
| Kocaelispor clean sheet | 26% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Alanyaspor
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Çorum FK · Süper Lig | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Göztepe · Süper Lig | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Rizespor · Süper Lig | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Eyüpspor · Süper Lig | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Beşiktaş · Süper Lig | 1-0 | W |
Kocaelispor
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Galatasaray · Süper Lig | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Samsunspor · Süper Lig | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Konyaspor · Süper Lig | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Amed · Süper Lig | 2-0 | W |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Başakşehir · Süper Lig | 0-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor | 5 | 11 | 6 |
| Kocaelispor | 4 | 12 | 6 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Alanyaspor 5-0 Kocaelispor | Süper Lig |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Kocaelispor 2-0 Alanyaspor | Süper Lig |
Out and doubtful
Alanyaspor
- Maestro (out)
Kocaelispor
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Alanyaspor
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- B. Gezek5/5
- F. Aliti5/5
- F. Hadergjonaj5/5
- G. Makouta5/5
- N. Lima5/5
- Paulo Victor5/5
- Ruan5/5
- A. Usluoglu3/5
- F. Aksoy3/5
- Hwang Ui-Jo3/5
- P. Fernandes3/5
Kocaelispor
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Dijksteel5/5
- B. Kutlu5/5
- D. Agyei5/5
- M. Haidara5/5
- S. Oztasdelen5/5
- Show5/5
- T. Zoukrou5/5
- G. Sousa4/5
- M. Baku3/5
- M. Maglica3/5
- M. Susoho3/5
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor prediction?
Our AI gives Alanyaspor a 47% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Kocaelispor 25%. Alanyaspor are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor?
1-0 (14.2%), followed by 1-1 (12.9%), 0-0 (10.6%), 0-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.4%).
Will both teams score in Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor?
The probability that both Alanyaspor and Kocaelispor score is 44%. Alanyaspor have a 40% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Kocaelispor 26%.
How many goals should we expect in Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor?
The model expects 2.24 goals (1.33 for Alanyaspor, 0.91 for Kocaelispor). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 66%, over 2.5 goals 39%, over 3.5 goals 19%.
When and where is Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor played?
Friday, October 23, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), Süper Lig, matchday 9. Venue: Alanya Oba Stadium, Alanya.
What form are Alanyaspor and Kocaelispor in?
Alanyaspor: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 5 conceded). Kocaelispor: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 4 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Alanyaspor and Kocaelispor?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Alanyaspor, 1 for Kocaelispor and 0 draws. The most recent ended Alanyaspor 5-0 Kocaelispor (Mar 18, 2026).
How is the Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.33 for Alanyaspor, 0.91 for Kocaelispor) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Alanyaspor predictions
- All Kocaelispor predictions
- Süper Lig predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology