Süper Lig· Kick-off : Monday, October 19, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)
Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Trabzonspor take on Beşiktaş on Monday, October 19, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), a Süper Lig, matchday 8 fixture. Venue: Papara Park, Trabzon. The edge goes to Beşiktaş (51%), ahead of the draw (20%) and a Trabzonspor win (29%). The most likely correct score is 1-2 (8.1%), ahead of 1-1 (7.0%) and 2-2 (7.0%).
Over their last 5 matches, Trabzonspor have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, Beşiktaş have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 17 and conceding 7. Recent momentum is clearly with Beşiktaş. On average Trabzonspor score 2.00 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Beşiktaş score 3.40 and concede 1.40. In the table, Trabzonspor sit 7th with 10 points from 6 games, Beşiktaş 3rd with 12 points from 6. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Trabzonspor have averaged 1.79 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.23 for Beşiktaş.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Trabzonspor, 0 for Beşiktaş and 1 draw. The most recent ended Beşiktaş 1-2 Trabzonspor (May 9, 2026). Trabzonspor out or doubtful: A. Batagov, T. Jabol-Folcarelli, R. Malinovskyi and O. Yokuslu. In double chance terms, "Trabzonspor or draw" stands at 49%, "Beşiktaş or draw" at 71% and "no draw" at 80%.
In short : Our model backs Beşiktaş to edge Trabzonspor (51% probability). In the table, Trabzonspor (7th, 10 pts) host Beşiktaş (3rd, 12 pts). The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 77%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Trabzonspor – Beşiktaş. 1-2 is the single most likely scoreline (8.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 35% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Trabzonspor 1-2 Beşiktaş | 8.1% |
| Trabzonspor 1-1 Beşiktaş | 7.0% |
| Trabzonspor 2-2 Beşiktaş | 7.0% |
| Trabzonspor 1-3 Beşiktaş | 6.3% |
| Trabzonspor 2-1 Beşiktaş | 6.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 4.04 goals in total (1.73 for Trabzonspor, 2.31 for Beşiktaş): over 2.5 goals has a 77% probability and both teams to score 74%. Everything points to an open game. Trabzonspor keep a clean sheet in 10% of scenarios, Beşiktaş in 18%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Trabzonspor expected goals | 1.73 |
| Beşiktaş expected goals | 2.31 |
| Both teams to score | 74% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 91% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 77% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 57% |
| Trabzonspor clean sheet | 10% |
| Beşiktaş clean sheet | 18% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Trabzonspor
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Galatasaray · Süper Lig | 4-0 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Konyaspor · Süper Lig | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. · Süper Lig | 5-0 | W |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Amed · Süper Lig | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC · UEFA Europa League | 0-4 | L |
Beşiktaş
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Amed · Süper Lig | 2-3 | L |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Marseille · UEFA Europa League | 4-1 | W |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Erzurumspor FK · Süper Lig | 3-0 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Fenerbahçe · Süper Lig | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Çorum FK · Süper Lig | 6-2 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor | 7 | 10 | 6 |
| Beşiktaş | 3 | 12 | 6 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Beşiktaş 1-2 Trabzonspor | Süper Lig |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Trabzonspor 3-3 Beşiktaş | Süper Lig |
Out and doubtful
Trabzonspor
- A. Batagov (out)
- T. Jabol-Folcarelli (out)
- R. Malinovskyi (out)
- O. Yokuslu (out)
Beşiktaş
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Trabzonspor
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Onana5/5
- E. Muci5/5
- M. Eskihellac5/5
- M. Salah5/5
- S. Savic5/5
- C. Nwaiwu4/5
- Fabinho4/5
- P. Onuachu4/5
- M. Kabasakal3/5
- N. Saviolo3/5
- W. Pina3/5
Beşiktaş
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- E. Agbadou5/5
- J. Olaitan5/5
- A. Nubel4/5
- M. Murillo4/5
- O. Kokcu4/5
- S. Ozcan4/5
- D. Vlahovic3/5
- L. Trossard3/5
- R. Yilmaz3/5
- V. Cerny3/5
- E. Topcu2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Çorum FK – RizesporOct 16, 2026
- Erzurumspor FK – EyüpsporOct 17, 2026
- Gençlerbirliği S.K. – GalatasarayOct 17, 2026
- Amed – KonyasporOct 17, 2026
- Fenerbahçe – AlanyasporOct 17, 2026
- Kasımpaşa – SamsunsporOct 18, 2026
- Kocaelispor – GöztepeOct 18, 2026
- Başakşehir – Gaziantep FKOct 18, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş prediction?
Our AI gives Trabzonspor a 29% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Beşiktaş 51%. Beşiktaş are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş?
1-2 (8.1%), followed by 1-1 (7.0%), 2-2 (7.0%), 1-3 (6.3%) and 2-1 (6.1%).
Will both teams score in Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş?
The probability that both Trabzonspor and Beşiktaş score is 74%. Trabzonspor have a 10% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Beşiktaş 18%.
How many goals should we expect in Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş?
The model expects 4.04 goals (1.73 for Trabzonspor, 2.31 for Beşiktaş). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 91%, over 2.5 goals 77%, over 3.5 goals 57%.
When and where is Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş played?
Monday, October 19, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), Süper Lig, matchday 8. Venue: Papara Park, Trabzon.
What form are Trabzonspor and Beşiktaş in?
Trabzonspor: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 7 conceded). Beşiktaş: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (17 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Trabzonspor and Beşiktaş?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Trabzonspor, 0 for Beşiktaş and 1 draw. The most recent ended Beşiktaş 1-2 Trabzonspor (May 9, 2026).
How is the Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.73 for Trabzonspor, 2.31 for Beşiktaş) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Trabzonspor predictions
- All Beşiktaş predictions
- Süper Lig predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology