Süper Lig· Kick-off : Sunday, October 18, 2026, 14:00 (UK time)
Kocaelispor vs Göztepe prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Kocaelispor take on Göztepe on Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), a Süper Lig, matchday 8 fixture. Venue: Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu, Izmit. Kocaelispor start as favourites with a 59% chance of victory; Göztepe are given 19% and the draw 22%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (10.9%), followed by 1-1 (10.4%) and 2-0 (10.3%).
Over their last 5 matches, Kocaelispor have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 4. Göztepe have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 9 and conceding 13. Kocaelispor therefore arrive in far better shape than Göztepe. On average Kocaelispor score 1.00 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Göztepe score 1.80 and concede 2.60. In the table, Kocaelispor sit 4th with 12 points from 6 games, Göztepe 17th with 3 points from 6. 13 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Kocaelispor have averaged 0.98 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.86 for Göztepe.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Kocaelispor, 0 for Göztepe and 2 draws. The most recent ended Kocaelispor 1-1 Göztepe (Apr 18, 2026). In double chance terms, "Kocaelispor or draw" stands at 81%, "Göztepe or draw" at 41% and "no draw" at 78%.
In short : Kocaelispor are favourites for this Kocaelispor v Göztepe, with a 59% win probability from our model. In the table, Kocaelispor (4th, 12 pts) host Göztepe (17th, 3 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Kocaelispor – Göztepe. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (10.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 48% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Kocaelispor 1-0 Göztepe | 10.9% |
| Kocaelispor 1-1 Göztepe | 10.4% |
| Kocaelispor 2-0 Göztepe | 10.3% |
| Kocaelispor 2-1 Göztepe | 9.9% |
| Kocaelispor 3-0 Göztepe | 6.5% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.90 expected goals for Kocaelispor and 0.96 for Göztepe, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 55% and "both teams to score" at 53%. Kocaelispor keep a clean sheet in 38% of scenarios, Göztepe in 15%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Kocaelispor expected goals | 1.90 |
| Göztepe expected goals | 0.96 |
| Both teams to score | 53% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% |
| Kocaelispor clean sheet | 38% |
| Göztepe clean sheet | 15% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Kocaelispor
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Galatasaray · Süper Lig | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Samsunspor · Süper Lig | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Konyaspor · Süper Lig | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Amed · Süper Lig | 2-0 | W |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Başakşehir · Süper Lig | 0-2 | L |
Göztepe
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Alanyaspor · Süper Lig | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Gaziantep FK · Süper Lig | 2-4 | L |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Galatasaray · Süper Lig | 2-3 | L |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. · Süper Lig | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Samsunspor · Süper Lig | 3-3 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kocaelispor | 4 | 12 | 6 |
| Göztepe | 17 | 3 | 6 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kocaelispor 1-1 Göztepe | Süper Lig |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Göztepe 0-0 Kocaelispor | Süper Lig |
Out and doubtful
Kocaelispor
No absences reported.
Göztepe
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Kocaelispor
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Dijksteel5/5
- B. Kutlu5/5
- D. Agyei5/5
- M. Haidara5/5
- S. Oztasdelen5/5
- Show5/5
- T. Zoukrou5/5
- G. Sousa4/5
- M. Baku3/5
- M. Maglica3/5
- M. Susoho3/5
Göztepe
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Kurtulan5/5
- Andre Henrique5/5
- T. Altikardes5/5
- E. Yildirim4/5
- L. Gugeshashvili4/5
- M. Bokele4/5
- N. Miroshi4/5
- A. Matos3/5
- R. Akonnor3/5
- Rhaldney3/5
- A. Antunes2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Çorum FK – RizesporOct 16, 2026
- Erzurumspor FK – EyüpsporOct 17, 2026
- Gençlerbirliği S.K. – GalatasarayOct 17, 2026
- Amed – KonyasporOct 17, 2026
- Fenerbahçe – AlanyasporOct 17, 2026
- Kasımpaşa – SamsunsporOct 18, 2026
- Başakşehir – Gaziantep FKOct 18, 2026
- Trabzonspor – BeşiktaşOct 19, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Kocaelispor vs Göztepe prediction?
Our AI gives Kocaelispor a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Göztepe 19%. Kocaelispor are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Kocaelispor vs Göztepe?
1-0 (10.9%), followed by 1-1 (10.4%), 2-0 (10.3%), 2-1 (9.9%) and 3-0 (6.5%).
Will both teams score in Kocaelispor vs Göztepe?
The probability that both Kocaelispor and Göztepe score is 53%. Kocaelispor have a 38% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Göztepe 15%.
How many goals should we expect in Kocaelispor vs Göztepe?
The model expects 2.86 goals (1.90 for Kocaelispor, 0.96 for Göztepe). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 78%, over 2.5 goals 55%, over 3.5 goals 32%.
When and where is Kocaelispor vs Göztepe played?
Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), Süper Lig, matchday 8. Venue: Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu, Izmit.
What form are Kocaelispor and Göztepe in?
Kocaelispor: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 4 conceded). Göztepe: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 13 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Kocaelispor and Göztepe?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Kocaelispor, 0 for Göztepe and 2 draws. The most recent ended Kocaelispor 1-1 Göztepe (Apr 18, 2026).
How is the Kocaelispor vs Göztepe prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.90 for Kocaelispor, 0.96 for Göztepe) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Kocaelispor predictions
- All Göztepe predictions
- Süper Lig predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology