Süper Lig· Kick-off : Saturday, October 17, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)
Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Süper Lig, matchday 8: the Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor match is scheduled on Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time). Venue: Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu, Istanbul. Our model makes Fenerbahçe clear favourites: a 67% chance of winning, against 17% for the draw and 16% for Alanyaspor. On the correct score, 2-1 comes out on top (9.3%), followed by 2-0 (7.9%) and 3-1 (7.8%).
Over their last 5 matches, Fenerbahçe have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 12 and conceding 3. Over their last 5 matches, Alanyaspor have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Fenerbahçe score 2.40 and concede 0.60 goals per game; Alanyaspor score 1.20 and concede 1.00. In the table, Fenerbahçe sit 6th with 10 points from 6 games, Alanyaspor 5th with 11 points from 6. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Fenerbahçe have averaged 2.36 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.25 for Alanyaspor.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Fenerbahçe, 0 for Alanyaspor and 1 draw. The most recent ended Alanyaspor 2-3 Fenerbahçe (Jan 18, 2026). Fenerbahçe out or doubtful: M. Muldur and J. Oosterwolde. Alanyaspor: Maestro. In double chance terms, "Fenerbahçe or draw" stands at 84%, "Alanyaspor or draw" at 33% and "no draw" at 83%.
In short : Our model backs Fenerbahçe to edge Alanyaspor (67% probability). In the table, Fenerbahçe (6th, 10 pts) host Alanyaspor (5th, 11 pts). The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 71%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Fenerbahçe – Alanyaspor. 2-1 is the single most likely scoreline (9.3%); the 5 scores below add up to 39% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Fenerbahçe 2-1 Alanyaspor | 9.3% |
| Fenerbahçe 2-0 Alanyaspor | 7.9% |
| Fenerbahçe 3-1 Alanyaspor | 7.8% |
| Fenerbahçe 1-1 Alanyaspor | 7.4% |
| Fenerbahçe 3-0 Alanyaspor | 6.7% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 2.52 expected goals for Fenerbahçe and 1.17 for Alanyaspor, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 71% and "both teams to score" at 63%. Goals look likely in this one. Fenerbahçe keep a clean sheet in 31% of scenarios, Alanyaspor in 8%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Fenerbahçe expected goals | 2.52 |
| Alanyaspor expected goals | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | 63% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 50% |
| Fenerbahçe clean sheet | 31% |
| Alanyaspor clean sheet | 8% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Fenerbahçe
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Turan · Club Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Eyüpspor · Süper Lig | 8-0 | W |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Gaziantep FK · Süper Lig | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 10, 2026 | AS Roma · UEFA Champions League | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Beşiktaş · Süper Lig | 1-2 | L |
Alanyaspor
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Göztepe · Süper Lig | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Rizespor · Süper Lig | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Eyüpspor · Süper Lig | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Beşiktaş · Süper Lig | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gaziantep FK · Süper Lig | 1-1 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahçe | 6 | 10 | 6 |
| Alanyaspor | 5 | 11 | 6 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Alanyaspor 2-3 Fenerbahçe | Süper Lig |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Fenerbahçe 2-2 Alanyaspor | Süper Lig |
Out and doubtful
Fenerbahçe
- M. Muldur (out)
- J. Oosterwolde (out)
Alanyaspor
- Maestro (out)
Most regular starters
Fenerbahçe
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Brown5/5
- M. Greenwood5/5
- Ederson4/5
- M. Guendouzi4/5
- N. Kante4/5
- M. Skriniar3/5
- N. Ake3/5
- N. Semedo3/5
- V. Muriqi3/5
- I. Kahveci2/5
- K. Akturkoglu2/5
Alanyaspor
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- F. Aliti5/5
- F. Hadergjonaj5/5
- G. Makouta5/5
- N. Lima5/5
- Paulo Victor5/5
- Ruan5/5
- A. Usluoglu4/5
- B. Gezek4/5
- Hwang Ui-Jo3/5
- I. Kaya3/5
- U. Akdag3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Çorum FK – RizesporOct 16, 2026
- Erzurumspor FK – EyüpsporOct 17, 2026
- Gençlerbirliği S.K. – GalatasarayOct 17, 2026
- Amed – KonyasporOct 17, 2026
- Kasımpaşa – SamsunsporOct 18, 2026
- Kocaelispor – GöztepeOct 18, 2026
- Başakşehir – Gaziantep FKOct 18, 2026
- Trabzonspor – BeşiktaşOct 19, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor prediction?
Our AI gives Fenerbahçe a 67% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Alanyaspor 16%. Fenerbahçe are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor?
2-1 (9.3%), followed by 2-0 (7.9%), 3-1 (7.8%), 1-1 (7.4%) and 3-0 (6.7%).
Will both teams score in Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor?
The probability that both Fenerbahçe and Alanyaspor score is 63%. Fenerbahçe have a 31% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Alanyaspor 8%.
How many goals should we expect in Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor?
The model expects 3.69 goals (2.52 for Fenerbahçe, 1.17 for Alanyaspor). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 88%, over 2.5 goals 71%, over 3.5 goals 50%.
When and where is Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor played?
Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), Süper Lig, matchday 8. Venue: Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu, Istanbul.
What form are Fenerbahçe and Alanyaspor in?
Fenerbahçe: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 3 conceded). Alanyaspor: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 5 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Fenerbahçe and Alanyaspor?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Fenerbahçe, 0 for Alanyaspor and 1 draw. The most recent ended Alanyaspor 2-3 Fenerbahçe (Jan 18, 2026).
How is the Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.52 for Fenerbahçe, 1.17 for Alanyaspor) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Fenerbahçe predictions
- All Alanyaspor predictions
- Süper Lig predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology