Süper Lig· Kick-off : Sunday, October 18, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)
Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Başakşehir take on Gaziantep FK on Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), a Süper Lig, matchday 8 fixture. Venue: Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium, Istanbul. Başakşehir start as favourites with a 50% chance of victory; Gaziantep FK are given 25% and the draw 25%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.9%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.5%).
Başakşehir have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 8 and conceding 11. Over their last 5 matches, Gaziantep FK have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Başakşehir score 1.60 and concede 2.20 goals per game; Gaziantep FK score 1.20 and concede 1.20. In the table, Başakşehir sit 12th with 7 points from 6 games, Gaziantep FK 10th with 8 points from 6. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Başakşehir have averaged 1.57 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.07 for Gaziantep FK.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Başakşehir, 0 for Gaziantep FK and 0 draws. The most recent ended Gaziantep FK 1-2 Başakşehir (May 16, 2026). Başakşehir out or doubtful: E. Visca (doubtful). Gaziantep FK: F. Bavuk, A. O. Kalin and N. Sangare. In double chance terms, "Başakşehir or draw" stands at 75%, "Gaziantep FK or draw" at 50% and "no draw" at 75%.
In short : Başakşehir are tipped by our AI model in this Başakşehir v Gaziantep FK (50%). On recent form, Başakşehir have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in 5 while Gaziantep FK have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Başakşehir – Gaziantep FK. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Başakşehir 1-1 Gaziantep FK | 11.9% |
| Başakşehir 1-0 Gaziantep FK | 11.3% |
| Başakşehir 2-1 Gaziantep FK | 9.5% |
| Başakşehir 2-0 Gaziantep FK | 9.0% |
| Başakşehir 0-1 Gaziantep FK | 7.5% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.59 expected goals for Başakşehir and 1.05 for Gaziantep FK, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 49% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Başakşehir keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, Gaziantep FK in 20%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Başakşehir expected goals | 1.59 |
| Gaziantep FK expected goals | 1.05 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| Başakşehir clean sheet | 35% |
| Gaziantep FK clean sheet | 20% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Başakşehir
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. · Süper Lig | 4-0 | W |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Amed · Süper Lig | 0-5 | L |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Galatasaray · Süper Lig | 2-3 | L |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Kasımpaşa · Süper Lig | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Trabzonspor · Süper Lig | 1-2 | L |
Gaziantep FK
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Kocaelispor · Süper Lig | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Fenerbahçe · Süper Lig | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Göztepe · Süper Lig | 4-2 | W |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Rizespor · Süper Lig | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Eyüpspor · Süper Lig | 1-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Başakşehir | 12 | 7 | 6 |
| Gaziantep FK | 10 | 8 | 6 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Gaziantep FK 1-2 Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
| Dec 22, 2025 | Başakşehir 5-1 Gaziantep FK | Süper Lig |
Out and doubtful
Başakşehir
- E. Visca (doubtful)
Gaziantep FK
- F. Bavuk (out)
- A. O. Kalin (out)
- N. Sangare (out)
Most regular starters
Başakşehir
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Fayzullaev4/5
- A. Skov Olsen4/5
- C. Operi4/5
- E. Bayram4/5
- E. Shomurodov4/5
- J. Opoku4/5
- O. Kemen4/5
- O. Sahiner4/5
- J. Kaluzinski3/5
- U. Gunes3/5
- D. Dilmen2/5
Gaziantep FK
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Maxim5/5
- D. Sorescu5/5
- K. Kozlowski5/5
- K. Tobiasz5/5
- L. Perez5/5
- M. Abena5/5
- U. Meleke5/5
- V. Gidado4/5
- A. Kizildag3/5
- H. Dervisoglu3/5
- K. Calhanoglu3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Çorum FK – RizesporOct 16, 2026
- Erzurumspor FK – EyüpsporOct 17, 2026
- Gençlerbirliği S.K. – GalatasarayOct 17, 2026
- Amed – KonyasporOct 17, 2026
- Fenerbahçe – AlanyasporOct 17, 2026
- Kasımpaşa – SamsunsporOct 18, 2026
- Kocaelispor – GöztepeOct 18, 2026
- Trabzonspor – BeşiktaşOct 19, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK prediction?
Our AI gives Başakşehir a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Gaziantep FK 25%. Başakşehir are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK?
1-1 (11.9%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%), 2-1 (9.5%), 2-0 (9.0%) and 0-1 (7.5%).
Will both teams score in Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK?
The probability that both Başakşehir and Gaziantep FK score is 52%. Başakşehir have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Gaziantep FK 20%.
How many goals should we expect in Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK?
The model expects 2.64 goals (1.59 for Başakşehir, 1.05 for Gaziantep FK). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.
When and where is Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK played?
Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), Süper Lig, matchday 8. Venue: Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium, Istanbul.
What form are Başakşehir and Gaziantep FK in?
Başakşehir: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 11 conceded). Gaziantep FK: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Başakşehir and Gaziantep FK?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Başakşehir, 0 for Gaziantep FK and 0 draws. The most recent ended Gaziantep FK 1-2 Başakşehir (May 16, 2026).
How is the Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.59 for Başakşehir, 1.05 for Gaziantep FK) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Başakşehir predictions
- All Gaziantep FK predictions
- Süper Lig predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology