Botola Pro· Kick-off : Saturday, October 3, 2026, 19:00 (UK time)
CODM Meknès vs Kawkab Marrakech: 0-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: CODM Meknès 0-1 Kawkab Marrakech. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for CODM Meknès (85%), while victory for Kawkab Marrakech was rated at only 5%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.6%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (41%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (69%): missed.
Match analysis
CODM Meknès vs Kawkab Marrakech was played on Saturday, October 3, 2026 (Botola Pro, matchday 2). Before kick-off, our model gave CODM Meknès a 85% chance of winning, the draw 10% and Kawkab Marrakech 5%. The most likely correct score is 2-0 (12.9%), ahead of 3-0 (12.8%) and 4-0 (9.5%).
Over their last 5 matches, CODM Meknès have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 14 and conceding 8. Kawkab Marrakech have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 6 and conceding 5. Recent momentum is clearly with CODM Meknès. On average CODM Meknès score 2.80 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Kawkab Marrakech score 1.20 and concede 1.00. In the table, CODM Meknès sit 3rd with 3 points from 1 games, Kawkab Marrakech 12th with 0 points from 1. 9 places separate the two sides.
In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for CODM Meknès, 1 for Kawkab Marrakech and 0 draws. The most recent ended Kawkab Marrakech 3-1 CODM Meknès (May 22, 2026). In double chance terms, "CODM Meknès or draw" stands at 95%, "Kawkab Marrakech or draw" at 15% and "no draw" at 90%.
In short : Our model backs CODM Meknès to edge Kawkab Marrakech (85% probability). In the table, CODM Meknès (3rd, 3 pts) host Kawkab Marrakech (12th, 0 pts). The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 69%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as CODM Meknès – Kawkab Marrakech. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (12.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| CODM Meknès 2-0 Kawkab Marrakech | 12.9% |
| CODM Meknès 3-0 Kawkab Marrakech | 12.8% |
| CODM Meknès 4-0 Kawkab Marrakech | 9.5% |
| CODM Meknès 1-0 Kawkab Marrakech | 8.7% |
| CODM Meknès 2-1 Kawkab Marrakech | 7.2% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 3.53 goals in total (2.97 for CODM Meknès, 0.56 for Kawkab Marrakech): over 2.5 goals has a 69% probability and both teams to score 41%. Everything points to an open game. CODM Meknès keep a clean sheet in 57% of scenarios, Kawkab Marrakech in 5%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| CODM Meknès expected goals | 2.97 |
| Kawkab Marrakech expected goals | 0.56 |
| Both teams to score | 41% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 47% |
| CODM Meknès clean sheet | 57% |
| Kawkab Marrakech clean sheet | 5% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
CODM Meknès
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Difaa EL Jadida · Botola Pro | 6-2 | W |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Widad Témara · Club Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Ittihad Tanger · Botola Pro | 1-2 | L |
| Jul 2, 2026 | FAR Rabat · Botola Pro | 3-2 | W |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Olympique Safi · Botola Pro | 2-2 | D |
Kawkab Marrakech
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Hassania Agadir · Botola Pro | 2-3 | L |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Hassania Agadir · Botola Pro | 1-1 | D |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Maghreb Fès · Botola Pro | 0-0 | D |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Difaa EL Jadida · Botola Pro | 1-1 | D |
| Jun 25, 2026 | FUS Rabat · Botola Pro | 2-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CODM Meknès | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Kawkab Marrakech | 12 | 0 | 1 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Kawkab Marrakech 3-1 CODM Meknès | Botola Pro |
| Oct 26, 2025 | CODM Meknès 1-0 Kawkab Marrakech | Botola Pro |
| May 20, 2024 | Kawkab Marrakech 1-2 CODM Meknès | Botola 2 |
| Nov 19, 2023 | CODM Meknès 1-0 Kawkab Marrakech | Botola 2 |
Out and doubtful
CODM Meknès
No absences reported.
Kawkab Marrakech
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
CODM Meknès
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Berdad4/4
- A. Lakhlifi3/4
- A. Lourhraz3/4
- A. Nouader3/4
- M. Sahd3/4
- Daoui Oussama2/4
- I. Benktib2/4
- K. Chemseddine2/4
- K. El Bounagate2/4
- M. Goulouss2/4
- R. Bounaga2/4
Kawkab Marrakech
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- H. Fassoukh4/5
- M. Jemjami4/5
- Y. Raiani4/5
- C. Gnolou3/5
- H. Founti3/5
- N. Lougmani3/5
- O. Mahrous3/5
- R. Mennioui3/5
- S. Cisse3/5
- S. Essallami3/5
- H. Smaali2/5
Other matches in this competition
- FUS Rabat 0-1 Amal TiznitOct 2, 2026
- Widad Témara 0-1 UTS RabatOct 2, 2026
- Ittihad Tanger 1-1 Moghreb TetouanOct 2, 2026
- Hassania Agadir 1-2 Maghreb FèsOct 3, 2026
- Difaa EL Jadida 0-2 Wydad ACOct 3, 2026
- Raja Casablanca 1-0 CR Khemis ZemamraOct 3, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the CODM Meknès vs Kawkab Marrakech prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave CODM Meknès a 85% chance of winning, the draw 10% and Kawkab Marrakech 5%. CODM Meknès are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-1.
What is the most likely correct score for CODM Meknès vs Kawkab Marrakech?
2-0 (12.9%), followed by 3-0 (12.8%), 4-0 (9.5%), 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-1 (7.2%).
Will both teams score in CODM Meknès vs Kawkab Marrakech?
The probability that both CODM Meknès and Kawkab Marrakech score is 41%. CODM Meknès have a 57% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Kawkab Marrakech 5%.
How many goals should we expect in CODM Meknès vs Kawkab Marrakech?
The model expects 3.53 goals (2.97 for CODM Meknès, 0.56 for Kawkab Marrakech). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 87%, over 2.5 goals 69%, over 3.5 goals 47%.
When and where is CODM Meknès vs Kawkab Marrakech played?
Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), Botola Pro, matchday 2.
What form are CODM Meknès and Kawkab Marrakech in?
CODM Meknès: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (14 scored, 8 conceded). Kawkab Marrakech: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 5 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between CODM Meknès and Kawkab Marrakech?
In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for CODM Meknès, 1 for Kawkab Marrakech and 0 draws. The most recent ended Kawkab Marrakech 3-1 CODM Meknès (May 22, 2026).
What was the CODM Meknès vs Kawkab Marrakech result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: CODM Meknès 0-1 Kawkab Marrakech. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for CODM Meknès (85%), while victory for Kawkab Marrakech was rated at only 5%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.6%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (41%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (69%): missed.
How is the CODM Meknès vs Kawkab Marrakech prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.97 for CODM Meknès, 0.56 for Kawkab Marrakech) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All CODM Meknès predictions
- All Kawkab Marrakech predictions
- Botola Pro predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology