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Botola ProBotola Pro· Kick-off : Saturday, October 3, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)

Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès: 1-2 result and AI prediction review

Hassania AgadirHassania Agadir1 – 2Maghreb FèsMaghreb Fès

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Hassania Agadir 1-2 Maghreb Fès. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Hassania Agadir (48%), while victory for Maghreb Fès was rated at only 27%. The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (6.5%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.

Match analysis

Hassania Agadir and Maghreb Fès met on Saturday, October 3, 2026, a Botola Pro, matchday 2 fixture. Venue: Stade Adrar, Agadir. Before kick-off, our model gave Hassania Agadir a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Maghreb Fès 27%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.1%), followed by 1-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.4%).

Hassania Agadir have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 5 and conceding 6. Maghreb Fès are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 8 and conceding 2. Maghreb Fès therefore arrive in far better shape than Hassania Agadir. On average Hassania Agadir score 1.00 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Maghreb Fès score 1.60 and concede 0.40. In the table, Hassania Agadir sit 4th with 3 points from 1 games, Maghreb Fès 6th with 3 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Hassania Agadir, 3 for Maghreb Fès and 2 draws. The most recent ended Maghreb Fès 4-0 Hassania Agadir (Apr 29, 2026). In double chance terms, "Hassania Agadir or draw" stands at 73%, "Maghreb Fès or draw" at 52% and "no draw" at 75%.

In short : Hassania Agadir are favourites for this Hassania Agadir v Maghreb Fès, with a 48% win probability from our model. On recent form, Hassania Agadir have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss in 5 while Maghreb Fès have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

48%
Hassania Agadir (Win)
25%
Draw
27%
Maghreb Fès (Win)

Double chance

73%
Hassania Agadir or draw
52%
Maghreb Fès or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Hassania Agadir – Maghreb Fès. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Hassania Agadir 1-1 Maghreb Fès12.1%
Hassania Agadir 1-0 Maghreb Fès11.2%
Hassania Agadir 2-1 Maghreb Fès9.4%
Hassania Agadir 2-0 Maghreb Fès8.7%
Hassania Agadir 0-1 Maghreb Fès7.8%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.55 expected goals for Hassania Agadir and 1.08 for Maghreb Fès, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 49% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Hassania Agadir keep a clean sheet in 34% of scenarios, Maghreb Fès in 21%.

Probability
Hassania Agadir expected goals1.55
Maghreb Fès expected goals1.08
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Hassania Agadir clean sheet34%
Maghreb Fès clean sheet21%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Hassania Agadir

DateOpponentScore
Sep 27, 2026Kawkab Marrakech · Botola Pro3-2W
Jul 5, 2026Kawkab Marrakech · Botola Pro1-1D
Jul 2, 2026Raja Casablanca · Botola Pro0-2L
Jun 28, 2026CR Khemis Zemamra · Botola Pro1-1D
Jun 25, 2026CODM Meknès · Botola Pro0-0D

Maghreb Fès

DateOpponentScore
Sep 27, 2026CR Khemis Zemamra · Botola Pro2-1W
Sep 12, 2026Rahimo · CAF Champions League0-0D
Sep 6, 2026Rahimo · CAF Champions League4-1W
Jul 5, 2026Olympique Dcheïra · Botola Pro2-0W
Jul 2, 2026Kawkab Marrakech · Botola Pro0-0D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Hassania Agadir431
Maghreb Fès631

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 29, 2026Maghreb Fès 4-0 Hassania AgadirBotola Pro
Sep 20, 2025Hassania Agadir 0-2 Maghreb FèsBotola Pro
Jan 19, 2025Hassania Agadir 2-2 Maghreb FèsBotola Pro
Sep 27, 2024Maghreb Fès 1-0 Hassania AgadirBotola Pro
May 27, 2024Maghreb Fès 2-2 Hassania AgadirBotola Pro

Out and doubtful

Hassania Agadir

No absences reported.

Maghreb Fès

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Hassania Agadir

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • J. Tachtach5/5
  • A. Ait Brayim4/5
  • A. Tarrazi4/5
  • B. Abyir4/5
  • I. Hrila4/5
  • M. Akoumi4/5
  • M. Bahsain4/5
  • S. El Amrani4/5
  • A. Qassaq3/5
  • B. Bello Ilou2/5
  • H. Ahadad2/5

Maghreb Fès

Starts over the last 3 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Brika2/3
  • A. Chabani2/3
  • A. Harmach2/3
  • A. Rhaili2/3
  • H. Ait Allal2/3
  • M. Ouhrou2/3
  • O. Noureddine2/3
  • S. Benjdida2/3
  • S. Chihab2/3
  • A. Hamza1/3
  • A. Tahiri1/3

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Hassania Agadir a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Maghreb Fès 27%. Hassania Agadir are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-2.

What is the most likely correct score for Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès?

1-1 (12.1%), followed by 1-0 (11.2%), 2-1 (9.4%), 2-0 (8.7%) and 0-1 (7.8%).

Will both teams score in Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès?

The probability that both Hassania Agadir and Maghreb Fès score is 52%. Hassania Agadir have a 34% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Maghreb Fès 21%.

How many goals should we expect in Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès?

The model expects 2.63 goals (1.55 for Hassania Agadir, 1.08 for Maghreb Fès). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.

When and where is Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès played?

Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), Botola Pro, matchday 2. Venue: Stade Adrar, Agadir.

What form are Hassania Agadir and Maghreb Fès in?

Hassania Agadir: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 6 conceded). Maghreb Fès: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 2 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Hassania Agadir and Maghreb Fès?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Hassania Agadir, 3 for Maghreb Fès and 2 draws. The most recent ended Maghreb Fès 4-0 Hassania Agadir (Apr 29, 2026).

What was the Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Hassania Agadir 1-2 Maghreb Fès. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Hassania Agadir (48%), while victory for Maghreb Fès was rated at only 27%. The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (6.5%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.

How is the Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.55 for Hassania Agadir, 1.08 for Maghreb Fès) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained