Botola Pro· Kick-off : Friday, October 2, 2026, 21:00 (UK time)
Ittihad Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan: 1-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Ittihad Tanger 1-1 Moghreb Tetouan. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Ittihad Tanger (78%), while a draw was rated at only 14%. The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (6.9%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (45%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (62%): missed.
Match analysis
Ittihad Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan was played on Friday, October 2, 2026 (Botola Pro, matchday 2). Venue: Stade Ibn Batouta, Tangier. Before kick-off, our model gave Ittihad Tanger a 78% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Moghreb Tetouan 8%. The most likely correct score is 2-0 (13.2%), ahead of 3-0 (11.1%) and 1-0 (10.4%).
Over their last 5 matches, Ittihad Tanger have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 4. Moghreb Tetouan are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 6 and conceding 1. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Ittihad Tanger score 1.80 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Moghreb Tetouan score 1.20 and concede 0.20. In the table, Ittihad Tanger sit 2nd with 3 points from 1 games, Moghreb Tetouan 7th with 1 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Ittihad Tanger and Moghreb Tetouan: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Ittihad Tanger or draw" stands at 92%, "Moghreb Tetouan or draw" at 22% and "no draw" at 86%.
In short : Ittihad Tanger are tipped by our AI model in this Ittihad Tanger v Moghreb Tetouan (78%). In the table, Ittihad Tanger (2nd, 3 pts) host Moghreb Tetouan (7th, 1 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 2-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Ittihad Tanger – Moghreb Tetouan. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (13.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Ittihad Tanger 2-0 Moghreb Tetouan | 13.2% |
| Ittihad Tanger 3-0 Moghreb Tetouan | 11.1% |
| Ittihad Tanger 1-0 Moghreb Tetouan | 10.4% |
| Ittihad Tanger 2-1 Moghreb Tetouan | 8.7% |
| Ittihad Tanger 3-1 Moghreb Tetouan | 7.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 3.19 goals in total (2.53 for Ittihad Tanger, 0.66 for Moghreb Tetouan): over 2.5 goals has a 62% probability and both teams to score 45%. Everything points to an open game. Ittihad Tanger keep a clean sheet in 52% of scenarios, Moghreb Tetouan in 8%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Ittihad Tanger expected goals | 2.53 |
| Moghreb Tetouan expected goals | 0.66 |
| Both teams to score | 45% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% |
| Ittihad Tanger clean sheet | 52% |
| Moghreb Tetouan clean sheet | 8% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Ittihad Tanger
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2026 | Amal Tiznit · Botola Pro | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Widad Témara · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Yacoub El Mansour · Club Friendlies | 3-1 | W |
| Jul 5, 2026 | CODM Meknès · Botola Pro | 2-1 | W |
| Jul 2, 2026 | UTS Rabat · Botola Pro | 0-1 | L |
Moghreb Tetouan
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Renaissance Berkane · Botola Pro | 0-0 | D |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Stade Marocain · Botola 2 | 1-0 | W |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Racing de Casablanca · Botola 2 | 2-0 | W |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Amal Tiznit · Botola 2 | 3-1 | W |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Chabab Ben Guerir · Botola 2 | 0-0 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ittihad Tanger | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Moghreb Tetouan | 7 | 1 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Ittihad Tanger and Moghreb Tetouan: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Ittihad Tanger
No absences reported.
Moghreb Tetouan
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Ittihad Tanger
Starts over the last 2 matches (official line-ups).
- A. El Wahabi2/2
- A. Maali2/2
- B. El Ouadghiri2/2
- B. Gaddarine2/2
- H. El Bahja2/2
- M. Saoud2/2
- Z. Kiani2/2
- A. El Ouaad1/2
- A. Lamrabat1/2
- E. El Bellali1/2
- H. El Moudene1/2
Moghreb Tetouan
Starts over the last 1 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Marzak1/1
- D. E. Eddaoudi1/1
- H. Zeghari1/1
- I. Bouabsidi1/1
- M. Karmoun1/1
- M. Kassou1/1
- N. El Fadili1/1
- S. Driouache1/1
- W. Erbati1/1
- Y. Karraz1/1
- Z. Benabbou1/1
Other matches in this competition
- FUS Rabat 0-1 Amal TiznitOct 2, 2026
- Widad Témara 0-1 UTS RabatOct 2, 2026
- Hassania Agadir 1-2 Maghreb FèsOct 3, 2026
- CODM Meknès 0-1 Kawkab MarrakechOct 3, 2026
- Difaa EL Jadida 0-2 Wydad ACOct 3, 2026
- Raja Casablanca 1-0 CR Khemis ZemamraOct 3, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Ittihad Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Ittihad Tanger a 78% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Moghreb Tetouan 8%. Ittihad Tanger are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Ittihad Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan?
2-0 (13.2%), followed by 3-0 (11.1%), 1-0 (10.4%), 2-1 (8.7%) and 3-1 (7.3%).
Will both teams score in Ittihad Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan?
The probability that both Ittihad Tanger and Moghreb Tetouan score is 45%. Ittihad Tanger have a 52% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Moghreb Tetouan 8%.
How many goals should we expect in Ittihad Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan?
The model expects 3.19 goals (2.53 for Ittihad Tanger, 0.66 for Moghreb Tetouan). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 83%, over 2.5 goals 62%, over 3.5 goals 40%.
When and where is Ittihad Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan played?
Friday, October 2, 2026 at 21:00 (UK time), Botola Pro, matchday 2. Venue: Stade Ibn Batouta, Tangier.
What form are Ittihad Tanger and Moghreb Tetouan in?
Ittihad Tanger: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 4 conceded). Moghreb Tetouan: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 1 conceded).
What was the Ittihad Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Ittihad Tanger 1-1 Moghreb Tetouan. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Ittihad Tanger (78%), while a draw was rated at only 14%. The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (6.9%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (45%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (62%): missed.
How is the Ittihad Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.53 for Ittihad Tanger, 0.66 for Moghreb Tetouan) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Ittihad Tanger predictions
- All Moghreb Tetouan predictions
- Botola Pro predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology