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ChampionshipChampionship· Kick-off : Saturday, October 17, 2026, 12:30 (UK time)

Middlesbrough vs Cardiff prediction: correct score and AI tips

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough–CardiffCardiff

Match analysis

Middlesbrough take on Cardiff on Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 12:30 (UK time), a Championship, matchday 11 fixture. Venue: Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough. With a 76% win probability, Middlesbrough go in as strong favourites against Cardiff (10%), with the draw rated at 14%.

Over their last 5 matches, Middlesbrough have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Cardiff have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 7. Recent momentum is clearly with Middlesbrough. On average Middlesbrough score 1.80 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Cardiff score 1.00 and concede 1.40. In the table, Middlesbrough sit 2nd with 18 points from 9 games, Cardiff 21st with 7 points from 9. 19 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Middlesbrough have averaged 1.52 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.76 for Cardiff.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Middlesbrough and Cardiff: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Middlesbrough out or doubtful: A. Jones. Cardiff: K. Bielik (suspended), C. Chambers and R. Colwill. In double chance terms, "Middlesbrough or draw" stands at 90%, "Cardiff or draw" at 24% and "no draw" at 86%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

76%
Middlesbrough (Win)
14%
Draw
10%
Cardiff (Win)

Double chance

90%
Middlesbrough or draw
24%
Cardiff or draw
86%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Middlesbrough

DateOpponentScore
Sep 19, 2026Birmingham · Championship2-2D
Sep 15, 2026Millwall · Championship2-2D
Sep 12, 2026Norwich · Championship4-3W
Sep 8, 2026Crystal Palace · EFL Cup0-3L
Sep 5, 2026QPR · Championship1-0W

Cardiff

DateOpponentScore
Sep 19, 2026Charlton · Championship3-1W
Sep 12, 2026Bolton · Championship0-1L
Sep 8, 2026Stoke City · Championship1-1D
Sep 5, 2026Portsmouth · Championship0-2L
Sep 2, 2026QPR · Championship1-2L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Middlesbrough2189
Cardiff2179

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Middlesbrough and Cardiff: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Middlesbrough

  • A. Jones (out)

Cardiff

  • K. Bielik (suspended)
  • C. Chambers (out)
  • R. Colwill (out)

Most regular starters

Middlesbrough

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Morris5/5
  • C. Brittain5/5
  • A. Cozier-Duberry4/5
  • A. Malanda4/5
  • R. McGree4/5
  • W. Lankshear4/5
  • A. Phillips3/5
  • L. Ayling3/5
  • Neto Borges3/5
  • R. Vitek3/5
  • S. Berhalter3/5

Cardiff

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Robertson5/5
  • G. Osho5/5
  • J. Bagan5/5
  • J. Moylan5/5
  • N. Trott5/5
  • O. Tanner5/5
  • P. Ng5/5
  • Y. Salech5/5
  • C. Willock4/5
  • K. Bielik4/5
  • J. Colwill3/5

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Middlesbrough vs Cardiff prediction?

Our AI gives Middlesbrough a 76% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Cardiff 10%. Middlesbrough are therefore favourites.

When and where is Middlesbrough vs Cardiff played?

Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 12:30 (UK time), Championship, matchday 11. Venue: Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough.

What form are Middlesbrough and Cardiff in?

Middlesbrough: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 10 conceded). Cardiff: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 7 conceded).

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