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ChampionshipChampionship· Kick-off : Saturday, October 17, 2026, 15:00 (UK time)

Southampton vs Bolton prediction: correct score and AI tips

SouthamptonSouthampton–BoltonBolton

Match analysis

Championship, matchday 11: the Southampton vs Bolton match is scheduled on Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time). Nothing is settled in advance: the AI gives Southampton 38%, Bolton 35% and the draw 27%.

Over their last 5 matches, Southampton have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Bolton have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 13. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Southampton score 2.00 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Bolton score 1.80 and concede 2.60. In the table, Southampton sit 16th with 10 points from 8 games, Bolton 17th with 10 points from 9. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Southampton have averaged 1.08 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.52 for Bolton.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Southampton and Bolton: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Southampton out or doubtful: C. Jander. Bolton: C. Forino-Joseph. In double chance terms, "Southampton or draw" stands at 65%, "Bolton or draw" at 62% and "no draw" at 73%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

38%
Southampton (Win)
27%
Draw
35%
Bolton (Win)

Double chance

65%
Southampton or draw
62%
Bolton or draw
73%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Southampton

DateOpponentScore
Sep 19, 2026Wrexham · Championship1-2L
Sep 12, 2026Bristol City · Championship4-1W
Sep 8, 2026Swansea · Championship3-1W
Sep 5, 2026Lincoln · Championship1-1D
Sep 1, 2026Birmingham · Championship1-1D

Bolton

DateOpponentScore
Sep 20, 2026Norwich · Championship4-3W
Sep 12, 2026Cardiff · Championship1-0W
Sep 8, 2026West Ham · Championship2-3L
Sep 5, 2026Millwall · Championship0-4L
Sep 1, 2026Sheffield Utd · Championship2-3L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Southampton16108
Bolton17109

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Southampton and Bolton: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Southampton

  • C. Jander (out)

Bolton

  • C. Forino-Joseph (out)

Most regular starters

Southampton

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • C. Larin5/5
  • F. Azaz5/5
  • F. Downes5/5
  • J. Bree5/5
  • K. Schlotterbeck5/5
  • D. Peretz4/5
  • J. Ward-Prowse4/5
  • L. Scienza4/5
  • R. Manning4/5
  • K. Matsuki3/5
  • N. Wood3/5

Bolton

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • J. Sheehan5/5
  • S. Dalby5/5
  • B. Davies4/5
  • S. Iling Junior4/5
  • C. Forino-Joseph3/5
  • E. Erhahon3/5
  • E. Toal3/5
  • G. Bazunu3/5
  • G. Larrazabal3/5
  • K. Dong3/5
  • M. Conway3/5

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Southampton vs Bolton prediction?

Our AI gives Southampton a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Bolton 35%. Southampton are therefore slight favourites.

When and where is Southampton vs Bolton played?

Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), Championship, matchday 11.

What form are Southampton and Bolton in?

Southampton: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 6 conceded). Bolton: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 13 conceded).

Go further

Key terms explained