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ChampionshipChampionship· Kick-off : Tuesday, November 24, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)

Middlesbrough vs Swansea prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

Championship, matchday 17: the Middlesbrough vs Swansea match is scheduled on Tuesday, November 24, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time). Venue: Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough. With a 71% win probability, Middlesbrough go in as strong favourites against Swansea (14%), with the draw rated at 15%.

Over their last 5 matches, Middlesbrough have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 13 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, Swansea have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 9. Recent momentum is clearly with Middlesbrough. On average Middlesbrough score 2.60 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Swansea score 1.20 and concede 1.80. In the table, Middlesbrough sit 2nd with 29 points from 15 games, Swansea 6th with 26 points from 15. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Middlesbrough have averaged 2.45 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.69 for Swansea.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Middlesbrough, 0 for Swansea and 1 draw. The most recent ended Swansea 2-2 Middlesbrough (Apr 6, 2026). Middlesbrough out or doubtful: A. Jones and R. Pukstas (doubtful). Swansea: C. Burgess, Ronald, M. K. Yeo, S. Eustaquio (doubtful) and M. Stamenic (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Middlesbrough or draw" stands at 86%, "Swansea or draw" at 29% and "no draw" at 85%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

71%
Middlesbrough (Win)
15%
Draw
14%
Swansea (Win)

Double chance

86%
Middlesbrough or draw
29%
Swansea or draw
85%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Middlesbrough

DateOpponentScore
Nov 4, 2026Wrexham · Championship0-2L
Oct 31, 2026Charlton · Championship3-0W
Oct 23, 2026Bolton · Championship5-1W
Oct 17, 2026Cardiff · Championship2-2D
Oct 13, 2026Stoke City · Championship3-2W

Swansea

DateOpponentScore
Nov 3, 2026Portsmouth · Championship1-3L
Oct 31, 2026Blackburn · Championship4-0W
Oct 24, 2026QPR · Championship0-5L
Oct 17, 2026West Ham · Championship0-1L
Oct 13, 2026Millwall · Championship1-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Middlesbrough22915
Swansea62615

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 6, 2026Swansea 2-2 MiddlesbroughChampionship
Aug 9, 2025Middlesbrough 1-0 SwanseaChampionship

Out and doubtful

Middlesbrough

  • A. Jones (out)
  • R. Pukstas (doubtful)

Swansea

  • C. Burgess (out)
  • Ronald (out)
  • M. K. Yeo (out)
  • S. Eustaquio (doubtful)
  • M. Stamenic (doubtful)

Most regular starters

Middlesbrough

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Cozier-Duberry5/5
  • A. Malanda5/5
  • A. Morris5/5
  • A. Phillips5/5
  • C. Brittain5/5
  • Neto Borges5/5
  • S. Berhalter4/5
  • T. Conway4/5
  • L. Ayling3/5
  • R. McGree3/5
  • R. Vitek3/5

Swansea

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • J. Tymon5/5
  • L. Vigouroux5/5
  • B. Cabango4/5
  • F. Lissah4/5
  • J. Fulton4/5
  • S. Welsh4/5
  • A. Idah3/5
  • J. Opoku3/5
  • M. Stamenic3/5
  • M. Widell3/5
  • E. Just2/5

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Middlesbrough vs Swansea prediction?

Our AI gives Middlesbrough a 71% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Swansea 14%. Middlesbrough are therefore favourites.

When and where is Middlesbrough vs Swansea played?

Tuesday, November 24, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), Championship, matchday 17. Venue: Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough.

What form are Middlesbrough and Swansea in?

Middlesbrough: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (13 scored, 7 conceded). Swansea: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 9 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Middlesbrough and Swansea?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Middlesbrough, 0 for Swansea and 1 draw. The most recent ended Swansea 2-2 Middlesbrough (Apr 6, 2026).

Go further

Key terms explained