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ChampionshipChampionship· Kick-off : Tuesday, November 24, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

Wolves vs Derby prediction: correct score and AI tips

WolvesWolves–DerbyDerby

Match analysis

Championship, matchday 17: Wolves vs Derby kicks off on Tuesday, November 24, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time). Venue: Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton. Our model makes Wolves clear favourites: a 91% chance of winning, against 7% for the draw and 2% for Derby.

Wolves are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 9 and conceding 3. Derby have not won any of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 4 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 14. Wolves therefore arrive in far better shape than Derby. On average Wolves score 1.80 and concede 0.60 goals per game; Derby score 0.60 and concede 2.80. In the table, Wolves sit 4th with 28 points from 15 games, Derby 23rd with 10 points from 15. 19 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Wolves have averaged 1.79 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.03 for Derby.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Wolves and Derby: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Derby: P. Agyemang, E. Cashin, M. Clarke, C. Forsyth, S. Langas, D. Murkin, C. Taylor and L. Travis. In double chance terms, "Wolves or draw" stands at 98%, "Derby or draw" at 9% and "no draw" at 93%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

91%
Wolves (Win)
7%
Draw
2%
Derby (Win)

Double chance

98%
Wolves or draw
9%
Derby or draw
93%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Wolves

DateOpponentScore
Nov 4, 2026Bristol City · Championship2-1W
Oct 31, 2026Cardiff · Championship3-0W
Oct 24, 2026Watford · Championship1-0W
Oct 20, 2026Portsmouth · Championship1-1D
Oct 16, 2026Burnley · Championship2-1W

Derby

DateOpponentScore
Nov 3, 2026Norwich · Championship0-4L
Oct 31, 2026Millwall · Championship1-4L
Oct 24, 2026Sheffield Utd · Championship1-1D
Oct 17, 2026Stoke City · Championship0-1L
Oct 14, 2026QPR · Championship1-4L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Wolves42815
Derby231015

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Wolves and Derby: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Wolves

No absences reported.

Derby

  • P. Agyemang (out)
  • E. Cashin (out)
  • M. Clarke (out)
  • C. Forsyth (out)
  • S. Langas (out)
  • D. Murkin (out)
  • C. Taylor (out)
  • L. Travis (out)

Most regular starters

Wolves

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • M. Munetsi5/5
  • A. Armstrong3/5
  • Andre3/5
  • J. Bellegarde3/5
  • J. Sa3/5
  • K. Trippier3/5
  • R. Said3/5
  • Y. Mosquera3/5
  • André2/5
  • F. Lopez2/5
  • Fer López2/5

Derby

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • B. Clark5/5
  • C. Morris5/5
  • S. Szmodics5/5
  • D. Ozoh4/5
  • D. Sanderson4/5
  • R. Hedges4/5
  • R. Nyambe4/5
  • H. Meister3/5
  • J. Ward3/5
  • A. Mowatt2/5
  • J. Vickers2/5

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Wolves vs Derby prediction?

Our AI gives Wolves a 91% chance of winning, the draw 7% and Derby 2%. Wolves are therefore favourites.

When and where is Wolves vs Derby played?

Tuesday, November 24, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), Championship, matchday 17. Venue: Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton.

What form are Wolves and Derby in?

Wolves: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 3 conceded). Derby: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 14 conceded).

Go further

Key terms explained