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ChampionshipChampionship· Kick-off : Wednesday, October 14, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)

Norwich vs Southampton prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

Norwich take on Southampton on Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), a Championship, matchday 10 fixture. Venue: Carrow Road, Norwich. Southampton start as favourites with a 45% chance of victory; Norwich are given 24% and the draw 31%.

Norwich have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 9 and conceding 16. Over their last 5 matches, Southampton have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Southampton therefore arrive in far better shape than Norwich. On average Norwich score 1.80 and concede 3.20 goals per game; Southampton score 2.00 and concede 1.20. In the table, Norwich sit 18th with 9 points from 9 games, Southampton 16th with 10 points from 8. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Norwich have averaged 0.79 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.08 for Southampton.

In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Norwich, 2 for Southampton and 0 draws. The most recent ended Southampton 1-0 Norwich (Mar 18, 2026). Norwich out or doubtful: A. Ahmed, P. A. Diallo, L. Mahovo, K. McLean, M. Topic and M. Toure. Southampton: C. Jander. In double chance terms, "Norwich or draw" stands at 55%, "Southampton or draw" at 76% and "no draw" at 69%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

24%
Norwich (Win)
31%
Draw
45%
Southampton (Win)

Double chance

55%
Norwich or draw
76%
Southampton or draw
69%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Norwich

DateOpponentScore
Oct 10, 2026Swansea · Championship1-2L
Sep 20, 2026Bolton · Championship3-4L
Sep 17, 2026Manchester City · EFL Cup0-5L
Sep 12, 2026Middlesbrough · Championship3-4L
Sep 9, 2026Birmingham · Championship2-1W

Southampton

DateOpponentScore
Sep 19, 2026Wrexham · Championship1-2L
Sep 12, 2026Bristol City · Championship4-1W
Sep 8, 2026Swansea · Championship3-1W
Sep 5, 2026Lincoln · Championship1-1D
Sep 1, 2026Birmingham · Championship1-1D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Norwich1899
Southampton16108

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 18, 2026Southampton 1-0 NorwichChampionship
Dec 13, 2025Norwich 2-1 SouthamptonChampionship
Aug 26, 2025Norwich 0-3 SouthamptonEFL Cup

Out and doubtful

Norwich

  • A. Ahmed (out)
  • P. A. Diallo (out)
  • L. Mahovo (out)
  • K. McLean (out)
  • M. Topic (out)
  • M. Toure (out)

Southampton

  • C. Jander (out)

Most regular starters

Norwich

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Brooks4/5
  • P. Mattsson4/5
  • B. Chrisene3/5
  • J. Cordoba3/5
  • J. Stacey3/5
  • K. McLean3/5
  • M. Kvistgaarden3/5
  • O. Schwartau3/5
  • R. McConville3/5
  • V. Kovacevic3/5
  • A. Musaba2/5

Southampton

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • C. Larin5/5
  • F. Azaz5/5
  • F. Downes5/5
  • J. Bree5/5
  • K. Schlotterbeck5/5
  • D. Peretz4/5
  • J. Ward-Prowse4/5
  • L. Scienza4/5
  • R. Manning4/5
  • K. Matsuki3/5
  • N. Wood3/5

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Norwich vs Southampton prediction?

Our AI gives Norwich a 24% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Southampton 45%. Southampton are therefore favourites.

When and where is Norwich vs Southampton played?

Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), Championship, matchday 10. Venue: Carrow Road, Norwich.

What form are Norwich and Southampton in?

Norwich: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 16 conceded). Southampton: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Norwich and Southampton?

In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Norwich, 2 for Southampton and 0 draws. The most recent ended Southampton 1-0 Norwich (Mar 18, 2026).

Go further

Key terms explained