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ChampionshipChampionship· Kick-off : Tuesday, October 13, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

Stoke City vs Middlesbrough prediction: correct score and AI tips

Stoke CityStoke City–MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Match analysis

Championship, matchday 10: the Stoke City vs Middlesbrough match is scheduled on Tuesday, October 13, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time). Venue: bet365 Stadium, Stoke-On-Trent. It is a tight call: 31% for Stoke City, 27% for the draw and 42% for Middlesbrough.

Stoke City are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 10 and conceding 3. Over their last 5 matches, Middlesbrough have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Stoke City therefore arrive in far better shape than Middlesbrough. On average Stoke City score 2.00 and concede 0.60 goals per game; Middlesbrough score 1.80 and concede 2.00. In the table, Stoke City sit 4th with 16 points from 9 games, Middlesbrough 2nd with 18 points from 9. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Stoke City have averaged 1.04 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.52 for Middlesbrough.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Stoke City, 1 for Middlesbrough and 1 draw. The most recent ended Stoke City 1-2 Middlesbrough (Jan 21, 2026). Stoke City out or doubtful: A. Cresswell and S. Ingelsson. Middlesbrough: A. Jones. In double chance terms, "Stoke City or draw" stands at 58%, "Middlesbrough or draw" at 69% and "no draw" at 73%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

31%
Stoke City (Win)
27%
Draw
42%
Middlesbrough (Win)

Double chance

58%
Stoke City or draw
69%
Middlesbrough or draw
73%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Stoke City

DateOpponentScore
Sep 19, 2026Sheffield Utd · Championship2-1W
Sep 12, 2026Watford · Championship2-1W
Sep 8, 2026Cardiff · Championship1-1D
Sep 5, 2026Charlton · Championship4-0W
Sep 1, 2026Norwich · Championship1-0W

Middlesbrough

DateOpponentScore
Sep 19, 2026Birmingham · Championship2-2D
Sep 15, 2026Millwall · Championship2-2D
Sep 12, 2026Norwich · Championship4-3W
Sep 8, 2026Crystal Palace · EFL Cup0-3L
Sep 5, 2026QPR · Championship1-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Stoke City4169
Middlesbrough2189

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 21, 2026Stoke City 1-2 MiddlesbroughChampionship
Sep 30, 2025Middlesbrough 0-0 Stoke CityChampionship

Out and doubtful

Stoke City

  • A. Cresswell (out)
  • S. Ingelsson (out)

Middlesbrough

  • A. Jones (out)

Most regular starters

Stoke City

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • B. Johnson5/5
  • B. Wilmot5/5
  • D. Soumare5/5
  • E. Galbraith5/5
  • L. Graham5/5
  • V. Johansson5/5
  • E. Bocat4/5
  • J. Devenny4/5
  • G. Hirst3/5
  • M. Talovierov3/5
  • B. Lawal2/5

Middlesbrough

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Morris5/5
  • C. Brittain5/5
  • A. Cozier-Duberry4/5
  • A. Malanda4/5
  • R. McGree4/5
  • W. Lankshear4/5
  • A. Phillips3/5
  • L. Ayling3/5
  • Neto Borges3/5
  • R. Vitek3/5
  • S. Berhalter3/5

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Stoke City vs Middlesbrough prediction?

Our AI gives Stoke City a 31% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Middlesbrough 42%. Middlesbrough are therefore slight favourites.

When and where is Stoke City vs Middlesbrough played?

Tuesday, October 13, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), Championship, matchday 10. Venue: bet365 Stadium, Stoke-On-Trent.

What form are Stoke City and Middlesbrough in?

Stoke City: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 3 conceded). Middlesbrough: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 10 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Stoke City and Middlesbrough?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Stoke City, 1 for Middlesbrough and 1 draw. The most recent ended Stoke City 1-2 Middlesbrough (Jan 21, 2026).

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Key terms explained