Championship· Kick-off : Wednesday, October 14, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
QPR vs Derby prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Championship, matchday 10: QPR vs Derby kicks off on Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time). Venue: Loftus Road, London. With a 81% win probability, QPR go in as strong favourites against Derby (6%), with the draw rated at 13%.
QPR have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 5 and conceding 5. Derby have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 7. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average QPR score 1.00 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Derby score 0.80 and concede 1.40. In the table, QPR sit 6th with 14 points from 9 games, Derby 23rd with 6 points from 9. 17 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, QPR have averaged 1.59 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.91 for Derby.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for QPR, 2 for Derby and 0 draws. The most recent ended QPR 2-3 Derby (Apr 25, 2026). QPR out or doubtful: R. Burrell, I. Chair, D. Cirkin (suspended) and K. Dembele. Derby: P. Agyemang, M. Clarke, C. Forsyth, D. Murkin, C. Taylor and J. Widell Zetterstrom. In double chance terms, "QPR or draw" stands at 94%, "Derby or draw" at 19% and "no draw" at 87%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Exact score and goal markets 🔒
The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
QPR
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Preston · Championship | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 12, 2026 | West Brom · Championship | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Charlton · Championship | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Middlesbrough · Championship | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Cardiff · Championship | 2-1 | W |
Derby
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Burnley · Championship | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Birmingham · Championship | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 9, 2026 | West Brom · Championship | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | West Ham · Championship | 0-3 | L |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Portsmouth · Championship | 2-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| QPR | 6 | 14 | 9 |
| Derby | 23 | 6 | 9 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | QPR 2-3 Derby | Championship |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Derby 1-0 QPR | Championship |
Out and doubtful
QPR
- R. Burrell (out)
- I. Chair (out)
- D. Cirkin (suspended)
- K. Dembele (out)
Derby
- P. Agyemang (out)
- M. Clarke (out)
- C. Forsyth (out)
- D. Murkin (out)
- C. Taylor (out)
- J. Widell Zetterstrom (out)
Most regular starters
QPR
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- P. Charles5/5
- R. Edwards5/5
- H. Vale4/5
- J. Dunne4/5
- N. Madsen4/5
- R. Burrell4/5
- A. S. Mbengue3/5
- D. Cirkin3/5
- G. Kamara3/5
- K. Poku3/5
- P. Smyth3/5
Derby
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- C. Taylor5/5
- S. Szmodics5/5
- A. Mowatt4/5
- B. Clark4/5
- D. Sanderson4/5
- J. Widell Zetterstrom4/5
- R. Hedges4/5
- S. Langas4/5
- D. Ozoh3/5
- C. Morris2/5
- E. Cashin2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Burnley – CharltonOct 13, 2026
- Wolves – BoltonOct 13, 2026
- Bristol City – BlackburnOct 13, 2026
- Millwall – SwanseaOct 13, 2026
- Wrexham – West BromOct 13, 2026
- Stoke City – MiddlesbroughOct 13, 2026
- Birmingham – PrestonOct 13, 2026
- Norwich – SouthamptonOct 14, 2026
- Portsmouth – Sheffield UtdOct 14, 2026
- Lincoln – West HamOct 14, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the QPR vs Derby prediction?
Our AI gives QPR a 81% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Derby 6%. QPR are therefore favourites.
When and where is QPR vs Derby played?
Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), Championship, matchday 10. Venue: Loftus Road, London.
What form are QPR and Derby in?
QPR: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 5 conceded). Derby: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between QPR and Derby?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for QPR, 2 for Derby and 0 draws. The most recent ended QPR 2-3 Derby (Apr 25, 2026).