CAF Confederation Cup· Kick-off : Saturday, October 17, 2026, 16:00 (UK time)
AFAD vs CS Sfaxien prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
CAF Confederation Cup: the AFAD vs CS Sfaxien match is scheduled on Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 16:00 (UK time). AFAD start as favourites with a 49% chance of victory; CS Sfaxien are given 26% and the draw 25%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.0%), followed by 1-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.4%).
AFAD have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 7 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, CS Sfaxien have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding 3. CS Sfaxien therefore arrive in far better shape than AFAD. On average AFAD score 1.40 and concede 1.20 goals per game; CS Sfaxien score 1.40 and concede 0.60.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between AFAD and CS Sfaxien: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "AFAD or draw" stands at 74%, "CS Sfaxien or draw" at 51% and "no draw" at 75%.
In short : AFAD are favourites for this AFAD v CS Sfaxien, with a 49% win probability from our model. On recent form, AFAD have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss in 5 while CS Sfaxien have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as AFAD – CS Sfaxien. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| AFAD 1-1 CS Sfaxien | 12.0% |
| AFAD 1-0 CS Sfaxien | 11.2% |
| AFAD 2-1 CS Sfaxien | 9.4% |
| AFAD 2-0 CS Sfaxien | 8.8% |
| AFAD 0-1 CS Sfaxien | 7.7% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.56 expected goals for AFAD and 1.07 for CS Sfaxien, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 49% and "both teams to score" at 52%. AFAD keep a clean sheet in 34% of scenarios, CS Sfaxien in 21%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| AFAD expected goals | 1.56 |
| CS Sfaxien expected goals | 1.07 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| AFAD clean sheet | 34% |
| CS Sfaxien clean sheet | 21% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
AFAD
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | SOA · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Bouaké · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 12, 2026 | East End Lions · CAF Confederation Cup | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | East End Lions · CAF Confederation Cup | 1-1 | D |
| May 24, 2026 | SOL · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 2-0 | W |
CS Sfaxien
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | CA Bizertin · Ligue 1 | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 16, 2026 | US Ben Guerdane · Ligue 1 | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Shooting Stars · CAF Confederation Cup | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Shooting Stars · CAF Confederation Cup | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 29, 2026 | ES Zarzis · Ligue 1 | 2-1 | W |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between AFAD and CS Sfaxien: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
AFAD
No absences reported.
CS Sfaxien
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
CS Sfaxien
Starts over the last 3 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Maaloul3/3
- H. Mathlouthi3/3
- K. Mondeko Zatu3/3
- R. Derbali3/3
- Y. Habchia3/3
- A. Dahmen2/3
- I. Belwafi2/3
- J. Loulendo2/3
- J. Mbe2/3
- T. Mutyaba2/3
- A. Hallaoui1/3
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the AFAD vs CS Sfaxien prediction?
Our AI gives AFAD a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and CS Sfaxien 26%. AFAD are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for AFAD vs CS Sfaxien?
1-1 (12.0%), followed by 1-0 (11.2%), 2-1 (9.4%), 2-0 (8.8%) and 0-1 (7.7%).
Will both teams score in AFAD vs CS Sfaxien?
The probability that both AFAD and CS Sfaxien score is 52%. AFAD have a 34% chance of keeping a clean sheet, CS Sfaxien 21%.
How many goals should we expect in AFAD vs CS Sfaxien?
The model expects 2.63 goals (1.56 for AFAD, 1.07 for CS Sfaxien). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.
When and where is AFAD vs CS Sfaxien played?
Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 16:00 (UK time), CAF Confederation Cup.
What form are AFAD and CS Sfaxien in?
AFAD: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 6 conceded). CS Sfaxien: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 3 conceded).
How is the AFAD vs CS Sfaxien prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.56 for AFAD, 1.07 for CS Sfaxien) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All AFAD predictions
- All CS Sfaxien predictions
- CAF Confederation Cup predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology