CAF Confederation Cup· Kick-off : Saturday, October 17, 2026, 16:00 (UK time)
Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Red Arrows take on Kaizer Chiefs on Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 16:00 (UK time), a CAF Confederation Cup fixture. Red Arrows start as favourites with a 55% chance of victory; Kaizer Chiefs are given 21% and the draw 24%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (11.7%), followed by 1-1 (11.3%) and 2-0 (10.0%).
Red Arrows are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 8 and conceding 1. Over their last 5 matches, Kaizer Chiefs have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 4 and conceding 4. Red Arrows therefore arrive in far better shape than Kaizer Chiefs. On average Red Arrows score 1.60 and concede 0.20 goals per game; Kaizer Chiefs score 0.80 and concede 0.80.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Red Arrows and Kaizer Chiefs: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Red Arrows or draw" stands at 79%, "Kaizer Chiefs or draw" at 45% and "no draw" at 76%.
In short : Red Arrows are tipped by our AI model in this Red Arrows v Kaizer Chiefs (55%). On recent form, Red Arrows are in good shape (4 wins in 5) while Kaizer Chiefs have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Red Arrows – Kaizer Chiefs. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Red Arrows 1-0 Kaizer Chiefs | 11.7% |
| Red Arrows 1-1 Kaizer Chiefs | 11.3% |
| Red Arrows 2-0 Kaizer Chiefs | 10.0% |
| Red Arrows 2-1 Kaizer Chiefs | 9.7% |
| Red Arrows 0-0 Kaizer Chiefs | 6.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.72 expected goals for Red Arrows and 0.97 for Kaizer Chiefs, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 50% and "both teams to score" at 51%. Red Arrows keep a clean sheet in 38% of scenarios, Kaizer Chiefs in 18%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Red Arrows expected goals | 1.72 |
| Kaizer Chiefs expected goals | 0.97 |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Red Arrows clean sheet | 38% |
| Kaizer Chiefs clean sheet | 18% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Red Arrows
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Inate Rouge · CAF Confederation Cup | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Inate Rouge · CAF Confederation Cup | 2-0 | W |
| May 22, 2026 | Green Buffaloes · Super League | 2-0 | W |
| May 17, 2026 | Mufulira Wanderers · Super League | 0-0 | D |
| May 14, 2026 | Green Eagles · Super League | 2-1 | W |
Kaizer Chiefs
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Chippa United · Premier Soccer League | 0-1 | L |
| May 16, 2026 | Amazulu · Premier Soccer League | 1-0 | W |
| May 10, 2026 | Sekhukhune United · Premier Soccer League | 2-0 | W |
| May 6, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns · Premier Soccer League | 1-1 | D |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Siwelele · Premier Soccer League | 0-2 | L |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Red Arrows and Kaizer Chiefs: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Red Arrows
No absences reported.
Kaizer Chiefs
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Kaizer Chiefs
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. McCarthy5/5
- B. Cross4/5
- B. Petersen4/5
- L. Maboe4/5
- M. Lilepo4/5
- S. G. Msimango4/5
- F. Silva3/5
- N. Ngcobo3/5
- P. Mmodi3/5
- T. Monyane3/5
- M. Shabalala2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs prediction?
Our AI gives Red Arrows a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kaizer Chiefs 21%. Red Arrows are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs?
1-0 (11.7%), followed by 1-1 (11.3%), 2-0 (10.0%), 2-1 (9.7%) and 0-0 (6.8%).
Will both teams score in Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs?
The probability that both Red Arrows and Kaizer Chiefs score is 51%. Red Arrows have a 38% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Kaizer Chiefs 18%.
How many goals should we expect in Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs?
The model expects 2.69 goals (1.72 for Red Arrows, 0.97 for Kaizer Chiefs). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs played?
Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 16:00 (UK time), CAF Confederation Cup.
What form are Red Arrows and Kaizer Chiefs in?
Red Arrows: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 1 conceded). Kaizer Chiefs: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 4 conceded).
How is the Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.72 for Red Arrows, 0.97 for Kaizer Chiefs) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Red Arrows predictions
- All Kaizer Chiefs predictions
- CAF Confederation Cup predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology