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UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, November 5, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille prediction: correct score and AI tips

Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen–MarseilleMarseille

Match analysis

UEFA Europa League: Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille kicks off on Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time). Venue: BayArena, Leverkusen. With a 91% win probability, Bayer Leverkusen go in as strong favourites against Marseille (3%), with the draw rated at 6%.

Over their last 5 matches, Bayer Leverkusen have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 13 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Marseille have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 11 and conceding 7. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Bayer Leverkusen score 2.60 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Marseille score 2.20 and concede 1.40. In the table, Bayer Leverkusen sit 2nd with 9 points from 3 games, Marseille 34th with 0 points from 3. 32 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Bayer Leverkusen have averaged 2.79 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.47 for Marseille.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Bayer Leverkusen, 0 for Marseille and 0 draws. The most recent ended Marseille 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen (Aug 2, 2023). Bayer Leverkusen out or doubtful: E. Ben Seghir, M. Culbreath, G. Doue (doubtful), K. Eichhorn, C. Kofane, M. Terrier, L. Bade and M. Diaby. Marseille: D. Cornelius. In double chance terms, "Bayer Leverkusen or draw" stands at 97%, "Marseille or draw" at 9% and "no draw" at 94%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

91%
Bayer Leverkusen (Win)
6%
Draw
3%
Marseille (Win)

Double chance

97%
Bayer Leverkusen or draw
9%
Marseille or draw
94%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Bayer Leverkusen

DateOpponentScore
Oct 28, 20261. FC Nürnberg · DFB-Pokal5-2W
Oct 25, 20261899 Hoffenheim · Bundesliga0-3L
Oct 22, 2026OFI · UEFA Europa League2-0W
Oct 18, 2026SC Freiburg · Bundesliga2-1W
Oct 15, 2026Lech Poznan · UEFA Europa League4-0W

Marseille

DateOpponentScore
Oct 25, 2026Le Havre · Ligue 14-3W
Oct 22, 2026Sturm Graz · UEFA Europa League0-1L
Oct 18, 2026Angers · Ligue 15-2W
Oct 15, 2026Olympiakos Piraeus · UEFA Europa League0-1L
Oct 11, 2026Estac Troyes · Ligue 12-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Bayer Leverkusen293
Marseille3403

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 2, 2023Marseille 1-2 Bayer LeverkusenClub Friendlies

Out and doubtful

Bayer Leverkusen

  • E. Ben Seghir (out)
  • M. Culbreath (out)
  • G. Doue (doubtful)
  • K. Eichhorn (out)
  • C. Kofane (out)
  • M. Terrier (out)
  • L. Bade (out)
  • M. Diaby (out)

Marseille

  • D. Cornelius (out)

Most regular starters

Bayer Leverkusen

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Aleix García5/5
  • Miguel Gutiérrez4/5
  • Afonso Moreira3/5
  • Lucas Vázquez3/5
  • M. Tillman3/5
  • E. Fernández2/5
  • E. Tapsoba2/5
  • Edmond Tapsoba2/5
  • Ezequiel Fernández2/5
  • F. Medina2/5
  • Facundo Medina2/5

Marseille

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Emerson4/5
  • A. Gouiri3/5
  • H. Abdelli3/5
  • Igor Paixão3/5
  • J. de Lange3/5
  • N. Aguerd3/5
  • T. Nnadi3/5
  • T. Weah3/5
  • A. Gomes2/5
  • A. Harit2/5
  • B. Meité2/5

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille prediction?

Our AI gives Bayer Leverkusen a 91% chance of winning, the draw 6% and Marseille 3%. Bayer Leverkusen are therefore favourites.

When and where is Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille played?

Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: BayArena, Leverkusen.

What form are Bayer Leverkusen and Marseille in?

Bayer Leverkusen: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (13 scored, 6 conceded). Marseille: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Bayer Leverkusen and Marseille?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Bayer Leverkusen, 0 for Marseille and 0 draws. The most recent ended Marseille 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen (Aug 2, 2023).

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Key terms explained