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UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, November 5, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

Benfica vs Lech Poznan prediction: correct score and AI tips

BenficaBenfica–Lech PoznanLech Poznan

Match analysis

UEFA Europa League: Benfica vs Lech Poznan kicks off on Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time). Our model makes Benfica clear favourites: a 93% chance of winning, against 5% for the draw and 2% for Lech Poznan.

Benfica are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 16 and conceding 4. Over their last 5 matches, Lech Poznan have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 13 and conceding 9. Benfica therefore arrive in far better shape than Lech Poznan. On average Benfica score 3.20 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Lech Poznan score 2.60 and concede 1.80. In the table, Benfica sit 1st with 9 points from 3 games, Lech Poznan 32nd with 1 points from 3. 31 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Benfica have averaged 2.72 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.63 for Lech Poznan.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Benfica and Lech Poznan: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Lech Poznan: A. Douglas, A. Gholizadeh, R. Gumny, W. Monka, J. Moutinho and A. Sayyadmanesh. In double chance terms, "Benfica or draw" stands at 98%, "Lech Poznan or draw" at 7% and "no draw" at 95%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

93%
Benfica (Win)
5%
Draw
2%
Lech Poznan (Win)

Double chance

98%
Benfica or draw
7%
Lech Poznan or draw
95%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Benfica

DateOpponentScore
Oct 29, 2026GIL Vicente · Taça da Liga4-1W
Oct 26, 2026Santa Clara · Primeira Liga2-1W
Oct 22, 2026Omonia Nicosia · UEFA Europa League4-1W
Oct 15, 2026Celtic · UEFA Europa League4-1W
Oct 11, 2026Vitória SC · Primeira Liga2-0W

Lech Poznan

DateOpponentScore
Oct 22, 2026Sunderland · UEFA Europa League1-1D
Oct 18, 2026Korona Kielce · Ekstraklasa6-1W
Oct 15, 2026Bayer Leverkusen · UEFA Europa League0-4L
Oct 10, 2026Slask Wroclaw · Ekstraklasa4-1W
Oct 3, 2026Energie Cottbus · Club Friendlies2-2D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Benfica193
Lech Poznan3213

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Benfica and Lech Poznan: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Benfica

No absences reported.

Lech Poznan

  • A. Douglas (out)
  • A. Gholizadeh (out)
  • R. Gumny (out)
  • W. Monka (out)
  • J. Moutinho (out)
  • A. Sayyadmanesh (out)

Most regular starters

Benfica

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Bah4/5
  • S. Dahl4/5
  • A. Circati3/5
  • A. Schjelderup3/5
  • A. Trubin3/5
  • C. Lenglet3/5
  • F. Aursnes3/5
  • G. Prestianni3/5
  • Tomás Araújo3/5
  • V. Pavlidis3/5
  • C. Echeverri2/5

Lech Poznan

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • M. Ishak5/5
  • M. Skrzypczak5/5
  • M. Gurgul4/5
  • M. Lis4/5
  • R. Murawski4/5
  • A. Kozubal3/5
  • Joel Pereira3/5
  • L. Bengtsson3/5
  • P. Wålemark3/5
  • T. Yegbe3/5
  • F. Jagiello2/5

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Benfica vs Lech Poznan prediction?

Our AI gives Benfica a 93% chance of winning, the draw 5% and Lech Poznan 2%. Benfica are therefore favourites.

When and where is Benfica vs Lech Poznan played?

Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Europa League.

What form are Benfica and Lech Poznan in?

Benfica: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (16 scored, 4 conceded). Lech Poznan: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (13 scored, 9 conceded).

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