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UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, November 5, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

Sturm Graz vs Celje prediction: correct score and AI tips

Sturm GrazSturm Graz–CeljeCelje

Match analysis

UEFA Europa League: Sturm Graz vs Celje kicks off on Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time). Venue: Merkur-Arena, Graz. Our model makes Sturm Graz clear favourites: a 60% chance of winning, against 23% for the draw and 17% for Celje.

Over their last 5 matches, Sturm Graz have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 12 and conceding 5. Celje have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 3 and conceding 5. Sturm Graz therefore arrive in far better shape than Celje. On average Sturm Graz score 2.40 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Celje score 0.60 and concede 1.00. In the table, Sturm Graz sit 19th with 4 points from 3 games, Celje 29th with 1 points from 3. 10 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Sturm Graz have averaged 1.12 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.25 for Celje.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Sturm Graz and Celje: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Sturm Graz out or doubtful: N. Geyrhofer, L. Grgic, S. Jatta, D. Khudyakov, O. Kiteishvili, G. Mamageishvili, F. Rozga and E. Soglo. Celje: J. Pisek. In double chance terms, "Sturm Graz or draw" stands at 83%, "Celje or draw" at 40% and "no draw" at 77%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

60%
Sturm Graz (Win)
23%
Draw
17%
Celje (Win)

Double chance

83%
Sturm Graz or draw
40%
Celje or draw
77%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Sturm Graz

DateOpponentScore
Oct 22, 2026Marseille · UEFA Europa League1-0W
Oct 18, 2026Grazer AK · Bundesliga6-1W
Oct 15, 2026Bournemouth · UEFA Europa League0-3L
Oct 10, 2026Austria Vienna · Bundesliga2-0W
Oct 2, 2026Floridsdorfer AC · Club Friendlies3-1W

Celje

DateOpponentScore
Oct 22, 2026Red Bull Salzburg · UEFA Europa League2-2D
Oct 18, 2026Maribor · 1. SNL0-0D
Oct 15, 2026Omonia Nicosia · UEFA Europa League0-3L
Oct 10, 2026Aluminij · 1. SNL1-0W
Sep 20, 2026Mura · 1. SNL0-0D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Sturm Graz1943
Celje2913

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Sturm Graz and Celje: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Sturm Graz

  • N. Geyrhofer (out)
  • L. Grgic (out)
  • S. Jatta (out)
  • D. Khudyakov (out)
  • O. Kiteishvili (out)
  • G. Mamageishvili (out)
  • F. Rozga (out)
  • E. Soglo (out)

Celje

  • J. Pisek (out)

Most regular starters

Sturm Graz

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • S. Seidl5/5
  • A. Malic4/5
  • D. Khudyakov4/5
  • J. Quarshie4/5
  • L. Balbo4/5
  • V. Matoshi4/5
  • J. Gorenc Stankovič3/5
  • J. Heil3/5
  • P. Koller3/5
  • J. Gorenc Stankovic2/5
  • Jacob Peter Hödl2/5

Celje

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • M. Avdyli5/5
  • M. Zabukovnik4/5
  • Y. Dukuly4/5
  • A. Kucys3/5
  • A. Tutyskinas3/5
  • L. Bejger3/5
  • M. Ivansek3/5
  • M. Kvesic3/5
  • S. Seslar3/5
  • Z. Leban3/5
  • A. Tutyškinas2/5

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Sturm Graz vs Celje prediction?

Our AI gives Sturm Graz a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Celje 17%. Sturm Graz are therefore favourites.

When and where is Sturm Graz vs Celje played?

Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: Merkur-Arena, Graz.

What form are Sturm Graz and Celje in?

Sturm Graz: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 5 conceded). Celje: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 5 conceded).

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