Peruvian Liga 1· Kick-off : Thursday, October 29, 2026, 00:00 (UK time)
Cienciano vs Atletico Grau: 3-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Cienciano 3-0 Atletico Grau. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Cienciano at 66%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (6.5%), behind 2-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (64%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (72%): correct.
Match analysis
Cienciano and Atletico Grau met on Thursday, October 29, 2026, a Peruvian Liga 1 fixture. Venue: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco. Before kick-off, our model gave Cienciano a 66% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Atletico Grau 16%. On the correct score, 2-1 comes out on top (9.2%), followed by 3-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (7.7%).
Over their last 5 matches, Cienciano have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Atletico Grau have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 8. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Cienciano score 1.20 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Atletico Grau score 1.20 and concede 1.60. In the table, Cienciano sit 12th with 14 points from 13 games, Atletico Grau 11th with 18 points from 13. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Cienciano have averaged 2.50 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.21 for Atletico Grau.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Cienciano, 0 for Atletico Grau and 0 draws. The most recent ended Atletico Grau 1-2 Cienciano (May 9, 2026). In double chance terms, "Cienciano or draw" stands at 84%, "Atletico Grau or draw" at 34% and "no draw" at 82%.
In short : Cienciano are tipped by our AI model in this Cienciano v Atletico Grau (66%). In the table, Cienciano (12th, 14 pts) host Atletico Grau (11th, 18 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Cienciano – Atletico Grau. 2-1 is the single most likely scoreline (9.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 39% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Cienciano 2-1 Atletico Grau | 9.2% |
| Cienciano 3-1 Atletico Grau | 7.8% |
| Cienciano 2-0 Atletico Grau | 7.7% |
| Cienciano 1-1 Atletico Grau | 7.3% |
| Cienciano 3-0 Atletico Grau | 6.5% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 2.52 expected goals for Cienciano and 1.20 for Atletico Grau, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 72% and "both teams to score" at 64%. Goals look likely in this one. Cienciano keep a clean sheet in 30% of scenarios, Atletico Grau in 8%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Cienciano expected goals | 2.52 |
| Atletico Grau expected goals | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | 64% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 51% |
| Cienciano clean sheet | 30% |
| Atletico Grau clean sheet | 8% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Cienciano
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Comerciantes Unidos · Peruvian Liga 1 | 1-3 | L |
| Oct 19, 2026 | UTC Cajamarca · Peruvian Liga 1 | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 8, 2026 | UCV Moquegua · Peruvian Liga 1 | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas · Peruvian Liga 1 | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 23, 2026 | ADT · Peruvian Liga 1 | 1-2 | L |
Atletico Grau
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | ADT · Peruvian Liga 1 | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Alianza Lima · Peruvian Liga 1 | 1-3 | L |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas · Peruvian Liga 1 | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sporting Cristal · Peruvian Liga 1 | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Alianza Atletico · Peruvian Liga 1 | 3-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cienciano | 12 | 14 | 13 |
| Atletico Grau | 11 | 18 | 13 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Atletico Grau 1-2 Cienciano | Peruvian Liga 1 |
Out and doubtful
Cienciano
No absences reported.
Atletico Grau
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Cienciano
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- C. Nunez5/5
- C. Souza Espana5/5
- K. Becerra5/5
- M. Amondarain5/5
- N. Bandiera5/5
- C. Garces4/5
- G. Barreto4/5
- G. Falcon4/5
- M. Martinich4/5
- S. D. Arias Fierro4/5
- A. Robles2/5
Atletico Grau
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Vasquez5/5
- F. Oncoy5/5
- G. E. Alfaro Martinez5/5
- I. Tapia5/5
- P. Alvarez5/5
- R. Guarderas5/5
- R. Tapia5/5
- A. Fernandez4/5
- C. Vasquez3/5
- D. Barreto3/5
- D. Rodriguez2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Sport Boys 4-2 FC CajamarcaOct 25, 2026
- Deportivo Garcilaso 4-1 Club Deportivo Los ChankasOct 25, 2026
- Juan Pablo II College 2-0 Sport HuancayoOct 27, 2026
- ADT 2-0 UCV MoqueguaOct 28, 2026
- FC Cajamarca 1-3 UTC CajamarcaOct 28, 2026
- Alianza Atletico 3-2 Deportivo GarcilasoOct 28, 2026
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0-1 CuscoOct 29, 2026
- Sporting Cristal 3-2 Alianza LimaOct 29, 2026
- FBC Melgar 1-1 Comerciantes UnidosOct 30, 2026
- Alianza Atletico 1-0 Juan Pablo II CollegeOct 31, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Cienciano vs Atletico Grau prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Cienciano a 66% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Atletico Grau 16%. Cienciano are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Cienciano vs Atletico Grau?
2-1 (9.2%), followed by 3-1 (7.8%), 2-0 (7.7%), 1-1 (7.3%) and 3-0 (6.5%).
Will both teams score in Cienciano vs Atletico Grau?
The probability that both Cienciano and Atletico Grau score is 64%. Cienciano have a 30% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Atletico Grau 8%.
How many goals should we expect in Cienciano vs Atletico Grau?
The model expects 3.72 goals (2.52 for Cienciano, 1.20 for Atletico Grau). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 89%, over 2.5 goals 72%, over 3.5 goals 51%.
When and where is Cienciano vs Atletico Grau played?
Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 00:00 (UK time), Peruvian Liga 1. Venue: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco.
What form are Cienciano and Atletico Grau in?
Cienciano: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 6 conceded). Atletico Grau: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 8 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Cienciano and Atletico Grau?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Cienciano, 0 for Atletico Grau and 0 draws. The most recent ended Atletico Grau 1-2 Cienciano (May 9, 2026).
What was the Cienciano vs Atletico Grau result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Cienciano 3-0 Atletico Grau. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Cienciano at 66%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (6.5%), behind 2-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (64%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (72%): correct.
How is the Cienciano vs Atletico Grau prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.52 for Cienciano, 1.20 for Atletico Grau) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Cienciano predictions
- All Atletico Grau predictions
- Peruvian Liga 1 predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology