Liga MX· Kick-off : Monday, October 26, 2026, 01:05 (UK time)
Club America vs CF Pachuca: 1-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Club America 1-2 CF Pachuca. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Club America (90%), while victory for CF Pachuca was rated at only 3%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.0%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (44%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (78%): correct.
Match analysis
Club America vs CF Pachuca was played on Monday, October 26, 2026 (Liga MX). Venue: Estadio Banorte, Mexico City. Before kick-off, our model gave Club America a 90% chance of winning, the draw 7% and CF Pachuca 3%. The most likely correct score is 3-0 (11.8%), ahead of 4-0 (10.4%) and 2-0 (10.1%).
Over their last 5 matches, Club America have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 11 and conceding 8. CF Pachuca have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 10. Recent momentum is clearly with Club America. On average Club America score 2.20 and concede 1.60 goals per game; CF Pachuca score 1.40 and concede 2.00. In the table, Club America sit 1st with 27 points from 12 games, CF Pachuca 16th with 13 points from 13. 15 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Club America have averaged 1.96 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.07 for CF Pachuca.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Club America, 0 for CF Pachuca and 1 draw. The most recent ended CF Pachuca 0-0 Club America (Jan 19, 2026). In double chance terms, "Club America or draw" stands at 97%, "CF Pachuca or draw" at 10% and "no draw" at 93%.
In short : Our model backs Club America to edge CF Pachuca (90% probability). In the table, Club America (1st, 27 pts) host CF Pachuca (16th, 13 pts). The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 78%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Club America – CF Pachuca. 3-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 47% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Club America 3-0 CF Pachuca | 11.8% |
| Club America 4-0 CF Pachuca | 10.4% |
| Club America 2-0 CF Pachuca | 10.1% |
| Club America 5-0 CF Pachuca | 7.3% |
| Club America 3-1 CF Pachuca | 7.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 4.11 goals in total (3.51 for Club America, 0.60 for CF Pachuca): over 2.5 goals has a 78% probability and both teams to score 44%. Everything points to an open game. Club America keep a clean sheet in 55% of scenarios, CF Pachuca in 3%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Club America expected goals | 3.51 |
| CF Pachuca expected goals | 0.60 |
| Both teams to score | 44% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 92% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 78% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 59% |
| Club America clean sheet | 55% |
| CF Pachuca clean sheet | 3% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Club America
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | Atlas · Liga MX | 5-2 | W |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Leon · Liga MX | 5-3 | W |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Monterrey · Liga MX | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Guadalajara Chivas · Club Friendlies | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Cruz Azul · Club Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
CF Pachuca
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | Cruz Azul · Liga MX | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Monterrey · Liga MX | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Necaxa · Liga MX | 3-3 | D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Santos Laguna · Liga MX | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Club Tijuana · Liga MX | 2-2 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Club America | 1 | 27 | 12 |
| CF Pachuca | 16 | 13 | 13 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | CF Pachuca 0-0 Club America | Liga MX |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Club America 2-0 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
Out and doubtful
Club America
No absences reported.
CF Pachuca
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Club America
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Zendejas4/4
- S. Bueno4/4
- S. Ramos4/4
- E. Sanchez3/4
- F. Rossano3/4
- H. Martin3/4
- I. Reyes3/4
- L. Malagon3/4
- B. Rodriguez2/4
- C. Alvarez2/4
- D. Espinoza2/4
CF Pachuca
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- C. Moreno5/5
- C. Rivera5/5
- Eduardo Bauermann5/5
- F. Venegas4/5
- O. Idrissi4/5
- R. Pizarro4/5
- S. D. Barreto4/5
- S. Rondon4/5
- A. Bautista3/5
- N. Vallejo3/5
- S. Rodriguez3/5
Other matches in this competition
- CF Pachuca 1-2 Cruz AzulOct 22, 2026
- Necaxa 1-1 FC JuarezOct 24, 2026
- Atlante FC 0-1 Atletico San LuisOct 24, 2026
- Leon 1-1 TolucaOct 25, 2026
- Monterrey 0-1 Guadalajara ChivasOct 25, 2026
- U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1-1 Tigres UANLOct 25, 2026
- Atlas 4-3 PueblaOct 25, 2026
- Club Queretaro 1-3 Cruz AzulOct 26, 2026
- Club Tijuana 4-1 Santos LagunaOct 26, 2026
- Club America 1-1 Club TijuanaOct 29, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Club America vs CF Pachuca prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Club America a 90% chance of winning, the draw 7% and CF Pachuca 3%. Club America are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-2.
What is the most likely correct score for Club America vs CF Pachuca?
3-0 (11.8%), followed by 4-0 (10.4%), 2-0 (10.1%), 5-0 (7.3%) and 3-1 (7.1%).
Will both teams score in Club America vs CF Pachuca?
The probability that both Club America and CF Pachuca score is 44%. Club America have a 55% chance of keeping a clean sheet, CF Pachuca 3%.
How many goals should we expect in Club America vs CF Pachuca?
The model expects 4.11 goals (3.51 for Club America, 0.60 for CF Pachuca). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 92%, over 2.5 goals 78%, over 3.5 goals 59%.
When and where is Club America vs CF Pachuca played?
Monday, October 26, 2026 at 01:05 (UK time), Liga MX. Venue: Estadio Banorte, Mexico City.
What form are Club America and CF Pachuca in?
Club America: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 8 conceded). CF Pachuca: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 10 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Club America and CF Pachuca?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Club America, 0 for CF Pachuca and 1 draw. The most recent ended CF Pachuca 0-0 Club America (Jan 19, 2026).
What was the Club America vs CF Pachuca result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Club America 1-2 CF Pachuca. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Club America (90%), while victory for CF Pachuca was rated at only 3%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.0%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (44%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (78%): correct.
How is the Club America vs CF Pachuca prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (3.51 for Club America, 0.60 for CF Pachuca) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Club America predictions
- All CF Pachuca predictions
- Liga MX predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology