Skip to content
Elofoot

Argentine Primera DivisiónArgentine Primera División· Kick-off : Friday, October 16, 2026, 23:00 (UK time)

Defensa Y Justicia vs Instituto Cordoba: 0-1 result and AI prediction review

Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia0 – 1Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 2-1

Final score: Defensa Y Justicia 0-1 Instituto Cordoba. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Defensa Y Justicia (64%), while victory for Instituto Cordoba was rated at only 17%. The model considered this score unlikely (3.9%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (59%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (64%): missed.

Match analysis

Defensa Y Justicia vs Instituto Cordoba was played on Friday, October 16, 2026 (Argentine Primera División). Venue: Estadio Norberto Tomaghello, Julio Costa. Before kick-off, our model gave Defensa Y Justicia a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Instituto Cordoba 17%. The most likely correct score is 2-1 (9.8%), ahead of 2-0 (9.2%) and 1-1 (8.7%).

Over their last 5 matches, Defensa Y Justicia have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 3. Over their last 5 matches, Instituto Cordoba have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 13 and conceding 8. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Defensa Y Justicia score 1.80 and concede 0.60 goals per game; Instituto Cordoba score 2.60 and concede 1.60. In the table, Defensa Y Justicia sit 2nd with 24 points from 12 games, Instituto Cordoba 1st with 26 points from 12. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Defensa Y Justicia have averaged 2.09 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.14 for Instituto Cordoba.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Defensa Y Justicia, 1 for Instituto Cordoba and 0 draws. The most recent ended Instituto Cordoba 2-0 Defensa Y Justicia (Apr 7, 2026). In double chance terms, "Defensa Y Justicia or draw" stands at 83%, "Instituto Cordoba or draw" at 36% and "no draw" at 81%.

In short : Our model backs Defensa Y Justicia to edge Instituto Cordoba (64% probability). On recent form, Defensa Y Justicia have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5 while Instituto Cordoba have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5. The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 64%).

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

64%
Defensa Y Justicia (Win)
19%
Draw
17%
Instituto Cordoba (Win)

Double chance

83%
Defensa Y Justicia or draw
36%
Instituto Cordoba or draw
81%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Defensa Y Justicia – Instituto Cordoba. 2-1 is the single most likely scoreline (9.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 43% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Defensa Y Justicia 2-1 Instituto Cordoba9.8%
Defensa Y Justicia 2-0 Instituto Cordoba9.2%
Defensa Y Justicia 1-1 Instituto Cordoba8.7%
Defensa Y Justicia 1-0 Instituto Cordoba8.2%
Defensa Y Justicia 3-1 Instituto Cordoba7.3%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 3.31 goals in total (2.25 for Defensa Y Justicia, 1.06 for Instituto Cordoba): over 2.5 goals has a 64% probability and both teams to score 59%. Everything points to an open game. Defensa Y Justicia keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, Instituto Cordoba in 11%.

Probability
Defensa Y Justicia expected goals2.25
Instituto Cordoba expected goals1.06
Both teams to score59%
Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Over 3.5 goals42%
Defensa Y Justicia clean sheet35%
Instituto Cordoba clean sheet11%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Defensa Y Justicia

DateOpponentScore
Oct 10, 2026Union Santa Fe · Argentine Primera División2-0W
Oct 3, 2026San Lorenzo · Argentine Primera División3-0W
Sep 18, 2026Central Cordoba de Santiago · Argentine Primera División2-2D
Sep 11, 2026Gimnasia M. · Argentine Primera División2-0W
Sep 6, 2026Lanus · Argentine Primera División0-1L

Instituto Cordoba

DateOpponentScore
Oct 9, 2026Boca Juniors · Argentine Primera División2-2D
Oct 2, 2026Independiente · Argentine Primera División4-1W
Sep 20, 2026Talleres Cordoba · Argentine Primera División3-1W
Sep 15, 2026Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto · Argentine Primera División2-1W
Sep 8, 2026Union Santa Fe · Argentine Primera División2-3L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Defensa Y Justicia22412
Instituto Cordoba12612

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 7, 2026Instituto Cordoba 2-0 Defensa Y JusticiaArgentine Primera División

Out and doubtful

Defensa Y Justicia

No absences reported.

Instituto Cordoba

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Defensa Y Justicia

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • D. Barbona5/5
  • D. Fernandez5/5
  • D. Martinez5/5
  • J. Gutierrez5/5
  • M. Borgogno5/5
  • S. Sosa5/5
  • V. Loza5/5
  • C. Perez4/5
  • F. Roman4/5
  • J. Lucco4/5
  • L. Fernandez4/5

Instituto Cordoba

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Luna5/5
  • D. Sosa5/5
  • G. Abregu5/5
  • G. Cerato5/5
  • J. Galvan5/5
  • L. Mosevich5/5
  • M. Ledesma5/5
  • M. Tissera5/5
  • F. R. Alarcon4/5
  • J. Lazaro4/5
  • M. Gallardo4/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Defensa Y Justicia vs Instituto Cordoba prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Defensa Y Justicia a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Instituto Cordoba 17%. Defensa Y Justicia are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Defensa Y Justicia vs Instituto Cordoba?

2-1 (9.8%), followed by 2-0 (9.2%), 1-1 (8.7%), 1-0 (8.2%) and 3-1 (7.3%).

Will both teams score in Defensa Y Justicia vs Instituto Cordoba?

The probability that both Defensa Y Justicia and Instituto Cordoba score is 59%. Defensa Y Justicia have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Instituto Cordoba 11%.

How many goals should we expect in Defensa Y Justicia vs Instituto Cordoba?

The model expects 3.31 goals (2.25 for Defensa Y Justicia, 1.06 for Instituto Cordoba). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 84%, over 2.5 goals 64%, over 3.5 goals 42%.

When and where is Defensa Y Justicia vs Instituto Cordoba played?

Friday, October 16, 2026 at 23:00 (UK time), Argentine Primera División. Venue: Estadio Norberto Tomaghello, Julio Costa.

What form are Defensa Y Justicia and Instituto Cordoba in?

Defensa Y Justicia: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 3 conceded). Instituto Cordoba: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (13 scored, 8 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Defensa Y Justicia and Instituto Cordoba?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Defensa Y Justicia, 1 for Instituto Cordoba and 0 draws. The most recent ended Instituto Cordoba 2-0 Defensa Y Justicia (Apr 7, 2026).

What was the Defensa Y Justicia vs Instituto Cordoba result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Defensa Y Justicia 0-1 Instituto Cordoba. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Defensa Y Justicia (64%), while victory for Instituto Cordoba was rated at only 17%. The model considered this score unlikely (3.9%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (59%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (64%): missed.

How is the Defensa Y Justicia vs Instituto Cordoba prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.25 for Defensa Y Justicia, 1.06 for Instituto Cordoba) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained