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Argentine Primera DivisiónArgentine Primera División· Kick-off : Friday, October 16, 2026, 00:00 (UK time)

Huracan vs Gimnasia L.P.: 1-2 result and AI prediction review

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 0-1

Final score: Huracan 1-2 Gimnasia L.P.. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Gimnasia L.P. at 66%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (6.8%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (26%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (31%): missed.

Match analysis

Huracan and Gimnasia L.P. met on Friday, October 16, 2026, a Argentine Primera División fixture. Venue: Estadio Tomas Adolfo Duco, Buenos Aires. Before kick-off, our model gave Huracan a 9% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Gimnasia L.P. 66%. On the correct score, 0-1 comes out on top (22.1%), followed by 0-2 (17.0%) and 0-0 (14.4%).

Over their last 5 matches, Huracan have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Gimnasia L.P. are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (1 win, 4 draws), scoring 7 and conceding 6. Huracan therefore arrive in far better shape than Gimnasia L.P.. On average Huracan score 1.20 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Gimnasia L.P. score 1.40 and concede 1.20. In the table, Huracan sit 5th with 19 points from 12 games, Gimnasia L.P. 6th with 19 points from 12. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Huracan have averaged 0.35 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.78 for Gimnasia L.P..

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Huracan, 2 for Gimnasia L.P. and 1 draw. The most recent ended Gimnasia L.P. 0-3 Huracan (Apr 5, 2026). In double chance terms, "Huracan or draw" stands at 34%, "Gimnasia L.P. or draw" at 91% and "no draw" at 75%.

In short : Gimnasia L.P. are favourites for this Huracan v Gimnasia L.P., with a 66% win probability from our model. In the table, Huracan (5th, 19 pts) host Gimnasia L.P. (6th, 19 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

9%
Huracan (Win)
25%
Draw
66%
Gimnasia L.P. (Win)

Double chance

34%
Huracan or draw
91%
Gimnasia L.P. or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Huracan – Gimnasia L.P.. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (22.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 71% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Huracan 0-1 Gimnasia L.P.22.1%
Huracan 0-2 Gimnasia L.P.17.0%
Huracan 0-0 Gimnasia L.P.14.4%
Huracan 1-1 Gimnasia L.P.8.9%
Huracan 0-3 Gimnasia L.P.8.7%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 0.40 expected goals for Huracan and 1.54 for Gimnasia L.P., "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 31% and "both teams to score" at 26%. Few goals are expected here. Huracan keep a clean sheet in 21% of scenarios, Gimnasia L.P. in 67%.

Probability
Huracan expected goals0.40
Gimnasia L.P. expected goals1.54
Both teams to score26%
Over 1.5 goals58%
Over 2.5 goals31%
Over 3.5 goals13%
Huracan clean sheet21%
Gimnasia L.P. clean sheet67%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Huracan

DateOpponentScore
Oct 10, 2026Barracas Central · Argentine Primera División0-2L
Oct 4, 2026Aldosivi · Argentine Primera División1-0W
Sep 19, 2026River Plate · Argentine Primera División2-1W
Sep 14, 2026Racing Club · Argentine Primera División2-1W
Sep 4, 2026Belgrano Cordoba · Argentine Primera División1-1D

Gimnasia L.P.

DateOpponentScore
Oct 9, 2026Atletico Tucuman · Argentine Primera División1-1D
Oct 3, 2026Independ. Rivadavia · Argentine Primera División1-1D
Sep 19, 2026Banfield · Argentine Primera División2-2D
Sep 13, 2026Argentinos JRS · Argentine Primera División1-1D
Sep 5, 2026Tigre · Argentine Primera División2-1W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Huracan51912
Gimnasia L.P.61912

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 5, 2026Gimnasia L.P. 0-3 HuracanArgentine Primera División
Nov 1, 2024Huracan 0-0 Gimnasia L.P.Argentine Primera División
Feb 13, 2024Gimnasia L.P. 3-1 HuracanCopa de la Liga Profesional
Sep 20, 2023Huracan 2-0 Gimnasia L.P.Copa de la Liga Profesional
Jun 14, 2023Gimnasia L.P. 1-0 HuracanArgentine Primera División

Out and doubtful

Huracan

No absences reported.

Gimnasia L.P.

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Huracan

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • F. F. Waller Martiarena5/5
  • F. Kalinger5/5
  • L. Blondel5/5
  • M. Palazzo5/5
  • O. Cortes5/5
  • Rodrigo Fernandez5/5
  • C. Ibanez4/5
  • F. Pereyra4/5
  • H. Galindez4/5
  • J. Caicedo4/5
  • J. Bisanz3/5

Gimnasia L.P.

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Auzmendi5/5
  • B. Barros Schelotto5/5
  • E. Martinez5/5
  • L. Janson5/5
  • M. Zalazar5/5
  • N. Fernandez5/5
  • N. Insfran5/5
  • German Conti4/5
  • I. Miramon4/5
  • M. Seoane4/5
  • P. Silva Torrejon4/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Huracan vs Gimnasia L.P. prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Huracan a 9% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Gimnasia L.P. 66%. Gimnasia L.P. are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-2.

What is the most likely correct score for Huracan vs Gimnasia L.P.?

0-1 (22.1%), followed by 0-2 (17.0%), 0-0 (14.4%), 1-1 (8.9%) and 0-3 (8.7%).

Will both teams score in Huracan vs Gimnasia L.P.?

The probability that both Huracan and Gimnasia L.P. score is 26%. Huracan have a 21% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Gimnasia L.P. 67%.

How many goals should we expect in Huracan vs Gimnasia L.P.?

The model expects 1.94 goals (0.40 for Huracan, 1.54 for Gimnasia L.P.). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 58%, over 2.5 goals 31%, over 3.5 goals 13%.

When and where is Huracan vs Gimnasia L.P. played?

Friday, October 16, 2026 at 00:00 (UK time), Argentine Primera División. Venue: Estadio Tomas Adolfo Duco, Buenos Aires.

What form are Huracan and Gimnasia L.P. in?

Huracan: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 5 conceded). Gimnasia L.P.: 1 win, 4 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Huracan and Gimnasia L.P.?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Huracan, 2 for Gimnasia L.P. and 1 draw. The most recent ended Gimnasia L.P. 0-3 Huracan (Apr 5, 2026).

What was the Huracan vs Gimnasia L.P. result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Huracan 1-2 Gimnasia L.P.. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Gimnasia L.P. at 66%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (6.8%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (26%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (31%): missed.

How is the Huracan vs Gimnasia L.P. prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.40 for Huracan, 1.54 for Gimnasia L.P.) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained