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Ivorian Ligue 1Ivorian Ligue 1· Kick-off : Thursday, October 15, 2026, 16:30 (UK time)

SOL vs Stade d'Abidjan: 5-6 result and AI prediction review

SOLSOL5 – 6Stade d'AbidjanStade d'Abidjan

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 2-0

Final score: SOL 5-6 Stade d'Abidjan. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for SOL (79%), while victory for Stade d'Abidjan was rated at only 7%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.0%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (44%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (62%): correct.

Match analysis

SOL vs Stade d'Abidjan was played on Thursday, October 15, 2026 (Ivorian Ligue 1, matchday 2). Before kick-off, our model gave SOL a 79% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Stade d'Abidjan 7%. The most likely correct score is 2-0 (13.2%), ahead of 3-0 (11.3%) and 1-0 (10.3%).

Over their last 5 matches, SOL have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 4. Over their last 5 matches, Stade d'Abidjan have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 3 and conceding 3. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average SOL score 1.20 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Stade d'Abidjan score 0.60 and concede 0.60. In the table, SOL sit 5th with 6 points from 2 games, Stade d'Abidjan 9th with 2 points from 2. The two teams are close in the standings.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for SOL, 3 for Stade d'Abidjan and 1 draw. The most recent ended Stade d'Abidjan 1-1 SOL (Mar 21, 2026). In double chance terms, "SOL or draw" stands at 93%, "Stade d'Abidjan or draw" at 21% and "no draw" at 86%.

In short : SOL are favourites for this SOL v Stade d'Abidjan, with a 79% win probability from our model. In the table, SOL (5th, 6 pts) host Stade d'Abidjan (9th, 2 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 2-0.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

79%
SOL (Win)
14%
Draw
7%
Stade d'Abidjan (Win)

Double chance

93%
SOL or draw
21%
Stade d'Abidjan or draw
86%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as SOL – Stade d'Abidjan. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (13.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
SOL 2-0 Stade d'Abidjan13.2%
SOL 3-0 Stade d'Abidjan11.3%
SOL 1-0 Stade d'Abidjan10.3%
SOL 2-1 Stade d'Abidjan8.6%
SOL 3-1 Stade d'Abidjan7.3%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 3.21 goals in total (2.56 for SOL, 0.65 for Stade d'Abidjan): over 2.5 goals has a 62% probability and both teams to score 44%. Everything points to an open game. SOL keep a clean sheet in 52% of scenarios, Stade d'Abidjan in 8%.

Probability
SOL expected goals2.56
Stade d'Abidjan expected goals0.65
Both teams to score44%
Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Over 3.5 goals40%
SOL clean sheet52%
Stade d'Abidjan clean sheet8%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

SOL

DateOpponentScore
Sep 27, 2026Adiake · Ivorian Ligue 11-0W
May 24, 2026AFAD · Ivorian Ligue 10-2L
May 17, 2026Korhogo · Ivorian Ligue 11-0W
May 12, 2026Olympique Sport d'Abobo · Ivorian Ligue 14-1W
May 2, 2026Bouaké · Ivorian Ligue 10-1L

Stade d'Abidjan

DateOpponentScore
Sep 26, 2026Mouna · Ivorian Ligue 10-0D
May 24, 2026Zoman · Ivorian Ligue 11-0W
May 17, 2026Racing d'Abidjan · Ivorian Ligue 11-0W
May 9, 2026Stella · Ivorian Ligue 10-1L
May 4, 2026AFAD · Ivorian Ligue 11-2L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
SOL562
Stade d'Abidjan922

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 21, 2026Stade d'Abidjan 1-1 SOLLigue 1
Oct 12, 2025SOL 0-3 Stade d'AbidjanLigue 1
Mar 3, 2025SOL 1-4 Stade d'AbidjanLigue 1
Oct 27, 2024Stade d'Abidjan 1-0 SOLLigue 1
Feb 25, 2024Stade d'Abidjan 1-2 SOLLigue 1

Out and doubtful

SOL

No absences reported.

Stade d'Abidjan

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the SOL vs Stade d'Abidjan prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave SOL a 79% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Stade d'Abidjan 7%. SOL are therefore favourites. Final score: 5-6.

What is the most likely correct score for SOL vs Stade d'Abidjan?

2-0 (13.2%), followed by 3-0 (11.3%), 1-0 (10.3%), 2-1 (8.6%) and 3-1 (7.3%).

Will both teams score in SOL vs Stade d'Abidjan?

The probability that both SOL and Stade d'Abidjan score is 44%. SOL have a 52% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Stade d'Abidjan 8%.

How many goals should we expect in SOL vs Stade d'Abidjan?

The model expects 3.21 goals (2.56 for SOL, 0.65 for Stade d'Abidjan). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 83%, over 2.5 goals 62%, over 3.5 goals 40%.

When and where is SOL vs Stade d'Abidjan played?

Thursday, October 15, 2026 at 16:30 (UK time), Ivorian Ligue 1, matchday 2.

What form are SOL and Stade d'Abidjan in?

SOL: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 4 conceded). Stade d'Abidjan: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 3 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between SOL and Stade d'Abidjan?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for SOL, 3 for Stade d'Abidjan and 1 draw. The most recent ended Stade d'Abidjan 1-1 SOL (Mar 21, 2026).

What was the SOL vs Stade d'Abidjan result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: SOL 5-6 Stade d'Abidjan. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for SOL (79%), while victory for Stade d'Abidjan was rated at only 7%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.0%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (44%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (62%): correct.

How is the SOL vs Stade d'Abidjan prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.56 for SOL, 0.65 for Stade d'Abidjan) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained