Ivorian Ligue 1· Kick-off : Sunday, October 11, 2026, 16:30 (UK time)
Mouna vs SOL: 0-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Mouna 0-1 SOL. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for SOL was the model's favourite outcome (61%). The exact score 0-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (11.8%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (50%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (52%): missed.
Match analysis
Mouna vs SOL was played on Sunday, October 11, 2026 (Ivorian Ligue 1, matchday 3). Before kick-off, our model gave Mouna a 17% chance of winning, the draw 22% and SOL 61%. The most likely correct score is 0-1 (11.8%), ahead of 0-2 (11.1%) and 1-1 (10.5%).
Mouna have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, SOL have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 4. Recent momentum is clearly with SOL. On average Mouna score 0.80 and concede 1.40 goals per game; SOL score 1.20 and concede 0.80. In the table, Mouna sit 14th with 1 points from 2 games, SOL 7th with 3 points from 1. 7 places separate the two sides.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Mouna and SOL: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Mouna or draw" stands at 39%, "SOL or draw" at 83% and "no draw" at 78%.
In short : SOL are favourites for this Mouna v SOL, with a 61% win probability from our model. On recent form, Mouna have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5 while SOL have 3 wins, 0 draw and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Mouna – SOL. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Mouna 0-1 SOL | 11.8% |
| Mouna 0-2 SOL | 11.1% |
| Mouna 1-1 SOL | 10.5% |
| Mouna 1-2 SOL | 9.9% |
| Mouna 0-3 SOL | 6.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.77 goals in total (0.89 for Mouna, 1.88 for SOL): over 2.5 goals has a 52% probability and both teams to score 50%. Mouna keep a clean sheet in 15% of scenarios, SOL in 41%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Mouna expected goals | 0.89 |
| SOL expected goals | 1.88 |
| Both teams to score | 50% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% |
| Mouna clean sheet | 15% |
| SOL clean sheet | 41% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Mouna
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Yamoussoukro · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Stade d'Abidjan · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 0-0 | D |
| May 24, 2026 | Korhogo · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 2-1 | W |
| May 17, 2026 | San-Pédro · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-3 | L |
| May 11, 2026 | ES Agboville · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-1 | D |
SOL
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Adiake · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-0 | W |
| May 24, 2026 | AFAD · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 0-2 | L |
| May 17, 2026 | Korhogo · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-0 | W |
| May 12, 2026 | Olympique Sport d'Abobo · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 4-1 | W |
| May 2, 2026 | Bouaké · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 0-1 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mouna | 14 | 1 | 2 |
| SOL | 7 | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Mouna and SOL: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Mouna
No absences reported.
SOL
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- ISCA 1-0 BouakéOct 7, 2026
- Bouaké 0-3 San-PédroOct 10, 2026
- Stade d'Abidjan 1-1 ES AgbovilleOct 10, 2026
- ASEC Mimosas 1-1 AFADOct 10, 2026
- Korhogo 3-3 US TchologoOct 12, 2026
- SOA 1-0 ISCAOct 12, 2026
- SOL 5-6 Stade d'AbidjanOct 15, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Mouna vs SOL prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Mouna a 17% chance of winning, the draw 22% and SOL 61%. SOL are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Mouna vs SOL?
0-1 (11.8%), followed by 0-2 (11.1%), 1-1 (10.5%), 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-3 (6.9%).
Will both teams score in Mouna vs SOL?
The probability that both Mouna and SOL score is 50%. Mouna have a 15% chance of keeping a clean sheet, SOL 41%.
How many goals should we expect in Mouna vs SOL?
The model expects 2.77 goals (0.89 for Mouna, 1.88 for SOL). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 76%, over 2.5 goals 52%, over 3.5 goals 30%.
When and where is Mouna vs SOL played?
Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 16:30 (UK time), Ivorian Ligue 1, matchday 3.
What form are Mouna and SOL in?
Mouna: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 7 conceded). SOL: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 4 conceded).
What was the Mouna vs SOL result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Mouna 0-1 SOL. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for SOL was the model's favourite outcome (61%). The exact score 0-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (11.8%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (50%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (52%): missed.
How is the Mouna vs SOL prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.89 for Mouna, 1.88 for SOL) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Mouna predictions
- All SOL predictions
- Ivorian Ligue 1 predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology