Ivorian Ligue 1· Kick-off : Saturday, October 10, 2026, 16:30 (UK time)
Bouaké vs San-Pédro: 0-3 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Bouaké 0-3 San-Pédro. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Bouaké (51%), while victory for San-Pédro was rated at only 24%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.3%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.
Match analysis
Bouaké and San-Pédro met on Saturday, October 10, 2026, a Ivorian Ligue 1, matchday 3 fixture. Before kick-off, our model gave Bouaké a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and San-Pédro 24%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.8%), followed by 1-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.5%).
Bouaké have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 6. San-Pédro have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 5. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Bouaké score 0.80 and concede 1.20 goals per game; San-Pédro score 1.00 and concede 1.00. In the table, Bouaké sit 8th with 3 points from 2 games, San-Pédro 5th with 3 points from 2. The two teams are close in the standings.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Bouaké and San-Pédro: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Bouaké or draw" stands at 76%, "San-Pédro or draw" at 49% and "no draw" at 75%.
In short : Bouaké are favourites for this Bouaké v San-Pédro, with a 51% win probability from our model. In the table, Bouaké (8th, 3 pts) host San-Pédro (5th, 3 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Bouaké – San-Pédro. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Bouaké 1-1 San-Pédro | 11.8% |
| Bouaké 1-0 San-Pédro | 11.4% |
| Bouaké 2-1 San-Pédro | 9.5% |
| Bouaké 2-0 San-Pédro | 9.2% |
| Bouaké 0-1 San-Pédro | 7.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.61 expected goals for Bouaké and 1.04 for San-Pédro, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 49% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Bouaké keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, San-Pédro in 20%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Bouaké expected goals | 1.61 |
| San-Pédro expected goals | 1.04 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Bouaké clean sheet | 35% |
| San-Pédro clean sheet | 20% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Bouaké
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | ISCA · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 27, 2026 | AFAD · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 2-1 | W |
| May 24, 2026 | SOA · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 0-0 | D |
| May 16, 2026 | Stella · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-2 | L |
| May 10, 2026 | US Tchologo · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-2 | L |
San-Pédro
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | US Tchologo · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Zoman · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Rivers United · CAF Champions League | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Rivers United · CAF Champions League | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 9, 2026 | CS Sfaxien · Club Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bouaké | 8 | 3 | 2 |
| San-Pédro | 5 | 3 | 2 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Bouaké and San-Pédro: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Bouaké
No absences reported.
San-Pédro
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- ISCA 1-0 BouakéOct 7, 2026
- Stade d'Abidjan 1-1 ES AgbovilleOct 10, 2026
- ASEC Mimosas 1-1 AFADOct 10, 2026
- Mouna 0-1 SOLOct 11, 2026
- Korhogo 3-3 US TchologoOct 12, 2026
- SOA 1-0 ISCAOct 12, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Bouaké vs San-Pédro prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Bouaké a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and San-Pédro 24%. Bouaké are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-3.
What is the most likely correct score for Bouaké vs San-Pédro?
1-1 (11.8%), followed by 1-0 (11.4%), 2-1 (9.5%), 2-0 (9.2%) and 0-1 (7.3%).
Will both teams score in Bouaké vs San-Pédro?
The probability that both Bouaké and San-Pédro score is 52%. Bouaké have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, San-Pédro 20%.
How many goals should we expect in Bouaké vs San-Pédro?
The model expects 2.65 goals (1.61 for Bouaké, 1.04 for San-Pédro). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Bouaké vs San-Pédro played?
Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 16:30 (UK time), Ivorian Ligue 1, matchday 3.
What form are Bouaké and San-Pédro in?
Bouaké: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 6 conceded). San-Pédro: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 5 conceded).
What was the Bouaké vs San-Pédro result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Bouaké 0-3 San-Pédro. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Bouaké (51%), while victory for San-Pédro was rated at only 24%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.3%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.
How is the Bouaké vs San-Pédro prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.61 for Bouaké, 1.04 for San-Pédro) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Bouaké predictions
- All San-Pédro predictions
- Ivorian Ligue 1 predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology