Ivorian Ligue 1· Kick-off : Monday, October 12, 2026, 16:30 (UK time)
Korhogo vs US Tchologo: 3-3 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Korhogo 3-3 US Tchologo. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Korhogo (51%), while a draw was rated at only 25%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.9%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.
Match analysis
Korhogo vs US Tchologo was played on Monday, October 12, 2026 (Ivorian Ligue 1, matchday 3). Before kick-off, our model gave Korhogo a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and US Tchologo 24%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.8%), ahead of 1-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.5%).
Korhogo have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 6. US Tchologo have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 2 and conceding 3. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Korhogo score 1.20 and concede 1.20 goals per game; US Tchologo score 0.40 and concede 0.60. In the table, Korhogo sit 13th with 1 points from 2 games, US Tchologo 14th with 1 points from 2. The two teams are close in the standings.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Korhogo and US Tchologo: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Korhogo or draw" stands at 76%, "US Tchologo or draw" at 49% and "no draw" at 75%.
In short : Korhogo are tipped by our AI model in this Korhogo v US Tchologo (51%). In the table, Korhogo (13th, 1 pts) host US Tchologo (14th, 1 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Korhogo – US Tchologo. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Korhogo 1-1 US Tchologo | 11.8% |
| Korhogo 1-0 US Tchologo | 11.4% |
| Korhogo 2-1 US Tchologo | 9.5% |
| Korhogo 2-0 US Tchologo | 9.2% |
| Korhogo 0-1 US Tchologo | 7.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.65 goals in total (1.61 for Korhogo, 1.04 for US Tchologo): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 52%. Korhogo keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, US Tchologo in 20%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Korhogo expected goals | 1.61 |
| US Tchologo expected goals | 1.04 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Korhogo clean sheet | 35% |
| US Tchologo clean sheet | 20% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Korhogo
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | Zoman · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | ES Agboville · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | AS PSI · CAF Confederation Cup | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 4, 2026 | AS PSI · CAF Confederation Cup | 2-2 | D |
| May 24, 2026 | Mouna · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-2 | L |
US Tchologo
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | San-Pédro · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 27, 2026 | ISCA · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 0-0 | D |
| May 24, 2026 | ES Agboville · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 0-0 | D |
| May 18, 2026 | SOA · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 0-0 | D |
| May 10, 2026 | Bouaké · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 2-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Korhogo | 13 | 1 | 2 |
| US Tchologo | 14 | 1 | 2 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Korhogo and US Tchologo: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Korhogo
No absences reported.
US Tchologo
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Bouaké 0-3 San-PédroOct 10, 2026
- Stade d'Abidjan 1-1 ES AgbovilleOct 10, 2026
- ASEC Mimosas 1-1 AFADOct 10, 2026
- Mouna 0-1 SOLOct 11, 2026
- SOA 1-0 ISCAOct 12, 2026
- SOL 5-6 Stade d'AbidjanOct 15, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Korhogo vs US Tchologo prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Korhogo a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and US Tchologo 24%. Korhogo are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-3.
What is the most likely correct score for Korhogo vs US Tchologo?
1-1 (11.8%), followed by 1-0 (11.4%), 2-1 (9.5%), 2-0 (9.2%) and 0-1 (7.3%).
Will both teams score in Korhogo vs US Tchologo?
The probability that both Korhogo and US Tchologo score is 52%. Korhogo have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, US Tchologo 20%.
How many goals should we expect in Korhogo vs US Tchologo?
The model expects 2.65 goals (1.61 for Korhogo, 1.04 for US Tchologo). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Korhogo vs US Tchologo played?
Monday, October 12, 2026 at 16:30 (UK time), Ivorian Ligue 1, matchday 3.
What form are Korhogo and US Tchologo in?
Korhogo: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 6 conceded). US Tchologo: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (2 scored, 3 conceded).
What was the Korhogo vs US Tchologo result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Korhogo 3-3 US Tchologo. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Korhogo (51%), while a draw was rated at only 25%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.9%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.
How is the Korhogo vs US Tchologo prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.61 for Korhogo, 1.04 for US Tchologo) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Korhogo predictions
- All US Tchologo predictions
- Ivorian Ligue 1 predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology