Skip to content
Elofoot

Senegal Ligue 1Senegal Ligue 1· Kick-off : Saturday, October 17, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)

Wally Daan vs Stade de Mbour: 0-0 result and AI prediction review

Wally DaanWally Daan0 – 0Stade de MbourStade de Mbour

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Wally Daan 0-0 Stade de Mbour. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Wally Daan (52%), while a draw was rated at only 25%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (7.0%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): correct.

Match analysis

Wally Daan and Stade de Mbour met on Saturday, October 17, 2026, a Senegal Ligue 1, matchday 1 fixture. Before kick-off, our model gave Wally Daan a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Stade de Mbour 23%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.7%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.6%).

Wally Daan have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 6 and conceding 6. Stade de Mbour have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 5. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Wally Daan score 1.20 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Stade de Mbour score 0.60 and concede 1.00.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Wally Daan, 0 for Stade de Mbour and 1 draw. The most recent ended Stade de Mbour 1-1 Wally Daan (May 10, 2026). In double chance terms, "Wally Daan or draw" stands at 77%, "Stade de Mbour or draw" at 48% and "no draw" at 75%.

In short : Wally Daan are tipped by our AI model in this Wally Daan v Stade de Mbour (52%). On recent form, Wally Daan have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss in 5 while Stade de Mbour have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

52%
Wally Daan (Win)
25%
Draw
23%
Stade de Mbour (Win)

Double chance

77%
Wally Daan or draw
48%
Stade de Mbour or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Wally Daan – Stade de Mbour. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Wally Daan 1-1 Stade de Mbour11.7%
Wally Daan 1-0 Stade de Mbour11.5%
Wally Daan 2-1 Stade de Mbour9.6%
Wally Daan 2-0 Stade de Mbour9.4%
Wally Daan 0-1 Stade de Mbour7.1%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.64 expected goals for Wally Daan and 1.02 for Stade de Mbour, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 50% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Wally Daan keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, Stade de Mbour in 19%.

Probability
Wally Daan expected goals1.64
Stade de Mbour expected goals1.02
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Wally Daan clean sheet36%
Stade de Mbour clean sheet19%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Wally Daan

DateOpponentScore
Jun 4, 2026La Linguère · Senegal Ligue 11-1D
May 22, 2026Gorée · Senegal Ligue 11-1D
May 17, 2026Guédiawaye · Senegal Ligue 13-2W
May 13, 2026Teungueth · Senegal Ligue 10-1L
May 10, 2026Stade de Mbour · Senegal Ligue 11-1D

Stade de Mbour

DateOpponentScore
Jun 4, 2026Gorée · Senegal Ligue 10-0D
May 22, 2026Guédiawaye · Senegal Ligue 10-2L
May 17, 2026Teungueth · Senegal Ligue 10-2L
May 13, 2026DSC · Senegal Ligue 12-0W
May 10, 2026Wally Daan · Senegal Ligue 11-1D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Wally Daan1500
Stade de Mbour500

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Stade de Mbour 1-1 Wally DaanLigue 1
Jan 11, 2026Wally Daan 1-0 Stade de MbourLigue 1

Out and doubtful

Wally Daan

No absences reported.

Stade de Mbour

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Wally Daan vs Stade de Mbour prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Wally Daan a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Stade de Mbour 23%. Wally Daan are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Wally Daan vs Stade de Mbour?

1-1 (11.7%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%), 2-1 (9.6%), 2-0 (9.4%) and 0-1 (7.1%).

Will both teams score in Wally Daan vs Stade de Mbour?

The probability that both Wally Daan and Stade de Mbour score is 52%. Wally Daan have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Stade de Mbour 19%.

How many goals should we expect in Wally Daan vs Stade de Mbour?

The model expects 2.66 goals (1.64 for Wally Daan, 1.02 for Stade de Mbour). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is Wally Daan vs Stade de Mbour played?

Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), Senegal Ligue 1, matchday 1.

What form are Wally Daan and Stade de Mbour in?

Wally Daan: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 6 conceded). Stade de Mbour: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 5 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Wally Daan and Stade de Mbour?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Wally Daan, 0 for Stade de Mbour and 1 draw. The most recent ended Stade de Mbour 1-1 Wally Daan (May 10, 2026).

What was the Wally Daan vs Stade de Mbour result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Wally Daan 0-0 Stade de Mbour. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Wally Daan (52%), while a draw was rated at only 25%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (7.0%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): correct.

How is the Wally Daan vs Stade de Mbour prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.64 for Wally Daan, 1.02 for Stade de Mbour) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained